242 A Ln · Cocoa West, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This cozy two bedroom, one bathroom house offers lots of potential for the aspiring handyperson. The property includes a porch, fenced-in backyard, and storage space out back. It is connected to city water and septic systems. The house is being sold AS-IS.
Key facts
- Storage space
- Fenced-in backyard
- 4,792 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed with no restrictions
- HOA & community: No association amenities reported
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 garage space); 1 covered parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Three-phase electric service; Water is available to the property
- Home design: Single-family residence; Single-story; Faces west; Resale condition
- Construction: Frame construction; Built with a foundation typical for the area
- Exterior features: Screened porch; Porch
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heating available (type: other); Cooling via wall/window unit(s)
- Interior features: Unfurnished; No notable built-in interior features reported
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $413 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#481 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 511 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $130k implies a 766% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 511 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.61%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $9,524
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.67×
- Total profit
- $60,720
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32926
- Home prices YoY
- -16.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 291
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,602 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,407/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $413
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 557 Cox St Cocoa, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $1,730 | $2.13 | 23d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2506 Stratford Dr Cocoa, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 936 | $1,700 | $1.82 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 902 Canal Dr Cocoa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $1,350 | $1.45 | 14d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2467 Mercury Dr Cocoa, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 814 | $1,400 | $1.72 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 706 Lunar Lake Cir Unit B Cocoa, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 843 | $1,450 | $1.72 | 18d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 412 Country Lane Dr Cocoa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,300 | $1.59 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2449 Mercury Dr Cocoa, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,650 | $1.68 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 739 Lunar Lake Cir Cocoa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $1,100 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 511 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 510 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 509 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 508 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $129,900 Active 506 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $129,900 Active 503 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 501 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 500 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $129,900 Active 497 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 496 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 495 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 494 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 493 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 492 DOM
-
2025-01-23$129,900 Active
-
2024-12-01historical
-
2024-09-11status Active
-
2024-08-31historical
-
2024-06-07status Active
-
2024-05-03status Pending
-
2024-04-25$129,900 Active
-
2023-08-31historical
-
2023-07-19$129,900 Active
-
2020-12-11status Pending
-
2020-12-09historical
-
2020-10-23$69,900 Active
-
2020-09-01historical
-
2020-03-12$69,900 Active
-
1991-10-30soldstatus $15,000
-
1983-09-01soldstatus $13,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,407 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,407 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,218
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,407
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,537
- − Management
- −$1,537
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $3,031
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$727
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,224/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brevard
- NCES district ID
- 1200150
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,426
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2370
- State rank
- #19 of 73 in FL
Livability — Cocoa West
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #481
- US rank
- #8792
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cocoa West, FL
- County
- Brevard County · 602,871 people
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,505
- Household income
- $70,735
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 782.0
Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 623,254 people
- By 2030
- 648,420 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 690,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 715,669 · +14.8%
- By 2075
- 775,744 · +24.5%
- By 2100
- 776,687 · +24.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brevard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.32%
- Current HPI
- 335.1251
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.60%
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+834.5% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2025-01-23 Listed $129,900 Beaches MLS
- 2024-12-01 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2024-09-11 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2024-08-31 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2024-06-07 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2024-05-03 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2024-04-25 Listed $129,900 Beaches MLS
- 2023-08-31 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2023-07-19 Listed $129,900 Beaches MLS
- 2020-12-11 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2020-12-09 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2020-10-23 Listed $69,900 Beaches MLS
- 2020-09-01 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2020-03-12 Listed $69,900 Beaches MLS
- 1991-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
- 1983-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,407 · +21.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…