5005 S Us 65 · Bellefonte, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Appreciation +4.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bd 1 ba home convenient to Harrison while in Valley Springs school district. Interior has lots of storage and space. Carport and newer windows. Has a 2nd 1/2 bath that needs remodeling. Dishwasher & A/C does not work. Home is being sold AS-IS. Property will not go VA, RD or FHA. All numbers approximate. All numbers are approximate. NO OFFERS ACCEPTED UNTIL 5/26/26.
Key facts
- 2nd 1/2 bath
- Lots of storage
- Newer windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $112 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (1.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#323 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Valley Springs School District (rural): math 56% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #7 of 238 in AR (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 437 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Boone County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $130k implies a 117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.69%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $186,722
- List price
- $130,000
- Delta
- -30.38%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1749 Oaklawn | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,770 (+13%) | 0mo | $185,900 | $105 | 64 |
| 5602 Montgomery Dr | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,793 (+14%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $92 | 58 |
| 5608 Maxie Camp Rd | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 | 1,370 (-13%) | 21mo | $108,000 | $79 | 57 |
| 814 Ridgecrest Ln | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,664 (+6%) | 5mo | $226,000 | $136 | 54 |
| 5632 Montgomery Dr | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,368 (-13%) | 15mo | $185,000 | $135 | 43 |
| 875 Meadow Ln | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,789 (+14%) | 6mo | $190,900 | $107 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.92% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-7,966
- Equity at exit
- $25,718
- IRR
- 2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $7,650
- Equity at exit
- $22,428
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72601
- Home prices YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 437
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,279 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$269
- Net cashflow
- $112
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $130,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $130,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $130,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $130,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-04-20$130,000 Active 375-char remark
Show marketing remark (375 chars)
3 bd 1 ba home convenient to Harrison while in Valley Springs school district. Interior has lots of storage and space. Carport and newer windows. Has a 2nd 1/2 bath that needs remodeling. Dishwasher & A/C does not work. Home is being sold AS-IS. Property will not go VA, RD or FHA. All numbers approximate. All numbers are approximate. NO OFFERS ACCEPTED UNTIL 5/26/26.
-
2008-11-10soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,346
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,950
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,228
- − Management
- −$1,228
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable loss
- −$773
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$186
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,528/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Valley Springs School District
- NCES district ID
- 0513350
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,757
- Composite
- 46.57/100
- National rank
- #2424
- State rank
- #7 of 238 in AR
Livability — Bellefonte
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #323
- US rank
- #21230
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,180
Population outlook (Boone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,238 people
- By 2030
- 36,808 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 35,597 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 34,197 · -8.2%
- By 2075
- 30,503 · -18.1%
- By 2100
- 25,797 · -30.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Boone
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.0) · D 16.7% · R 81.6% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.3pp toward R · 2008: -39.7pp · 2024: -65.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.0 2020: R+61.9 2016: R+58.5 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+39.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.92%
- Current HPI
- 247.043
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
||
Price history
+116.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $130,000 NWARMLS
- 2008-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-9.1%/yrLatest (2025): $207 · -32.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…