3109 Meander St · Abilene, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.6/30.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- ARV discount +4.9/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring vaulted ceilings and an inviting layout. Enjoy relaxing in the screened-in porch overlooking a spacious backyard with mature shade trees—perfect for outdoor living. The property includes a storage shed with electricity and a 2-car garage equipped with 220 power. Major updates completed approximately 2 years ago include the roof, water heater, and stylish wood-look tile flooring. Foundation repairs were completed by Hat Creek Foundation in 2022.
Key facts
- Screened-in porch
- Spacious backyard
- Foundation repairs
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed for sale (standard listing); Possession at closing/funding
- Financial info: Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, and VA financing
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener and garage facing front; 2 covered parking spaces; Driveway; On-site parking; On-street parking
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity connected; Individual gas meter; Individual water meter; Cable available; Asphalt access
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential property
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition/shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built in 1975
- Exterior features: Covered porches; Rear enclosed screened porch; Gutters; Privacy wood fencing in back yard; Large backyard with grass; Landscaped yard; Many trees; Interior lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Varies
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Fireplace heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Eat-in kitchen; Decorative lighting; Cable TV available; High-speed internet available; Walk-in closets; One living area; One dining area; Living room fireplace (wood burning)
- Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Utility room; On-site laundry hookups; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $241 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#142 in TX, #4,037 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, commute F.
- Abilene ISD (urban): math 32% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #575 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bowie El (math 34% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,965 of 4,322 statewide, top 46%, 476 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 57% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+33.5%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 508 units permitted in Taylor County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Taylor County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.13%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $236,100
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3134 Vine St | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,570 (-0%) | 4mo | $249,900 | $159 | 94 |
| 1949 Chimneywood Ct | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,617 (+3%) | 0mo | $275,000 | $170 | 86 |
| 3526 Rhonni Ct | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,712 (+9%) | 6mo | $310,000 | $181 | 66 |
| 1925 Davids Ct | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,785 (+13%) | 6mo | $240,000 | $134 | 66 |
| 2302 Vine St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,524 (-3%) | 6mo | $229,000 | $150 | 65 |
| 2618 S 38th St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,625 (+3%) | 1mo | $256,000 | $158 | 61 |
| 2526 Edgemont Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,405 (-11%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $135 | 57 |
| 2701 S 27th St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-8%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $115 | 56 |
| 2409 S 38th St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,686 (+7%) | 2mo | $189,900 | $113 | 56 |
| 1701 S 21st St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,384 (-12%) | 2mo | $199,900 | $144 | 47 |
| 2410 S 38th St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,763 (+12%) | 5mo | $239,900 | $136 | 46 |
| 2502 Marshall St | 0.74mi | 3/3.0 | 1,763 (+12%) | 2mo | $269,900 | $153 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-11,709
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- 10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $70,704
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79602
- Home prices YoY
- -19.6%
- Rents YoY
- 33.5%
- Active inventory
- 372
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,532 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$345 /mo · $4,136/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$532
- Net cashflow
- $241
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $382 | -5% $312 | +0% $241 | +5% $170 | +10% $99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $41 | -5% $141 | +0% $241 | +5% $341 | +10% $441 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $367 | -0.5pp $305 | base $241 | +0.5pp $176 | +1.0pp $110 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2601 Edgemont Dr Abilene, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1624 | $2,495 | $1.54 | 22d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2701 S 40th St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,995 | $1.67 | 22d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2402 S 20th St Abilene, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2040 | $1,400 | $0.69 | 22d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1934 Portland Ave Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $1,900 | $1.71 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 108 Dotty Lou St Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1401 | $4,800 | $3.43 | 0d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3409 High Meadows Dr Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1987 | $2,995 | $1.51 | 22d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3373 S 27th St Abilene, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $1,700 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 801 S 17th St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1349 Meander St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1532 | $3,800 | $2.48 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2510 Gilmer Ave Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1974 | $2,995 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3173 Hunt St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $2,250 | $1.73 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $249,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 497-char remark
-
2026-06-17$249,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,136 · $345/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,573 · $381/mo
- Expected delta
- +$437/yr (+$36/mo · 10.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,384
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$4,136
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,431
- − Management
- −$2,431
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$1,131
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$272
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,163/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Abilene ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4807440
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,782
- Composite
- 27.71/100
- National rank
- #6909
- State rank
- #575 of 826 in TX
Livability — Abilene
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #4037
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Abilene, TX
- County
- Taylor County · 136,672 people
- City population
- 136,672
- Metro
- Abilene, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,425
- Household income
- $89,551
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 338.0
Population outlook (Taylor County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 145,270 people
- By 2030
- 150,050 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 159,417 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 168,883 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 194,436 · +33.8%
- By 2100
- 203,163 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Taylor
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.8) · D 24.6% · R 74.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.2pp toward R · 2008: -45.6pp · 2024: -49.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.8 2020: R+45.3 2016: R+51.1 2012: R+53.6 2008: R+45.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.04%
- Current HPI
- 189.3098
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 33.46%
- Metro
- Abilene, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $249,900 NTREIS
- 2021-05-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1982-07-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $4,136 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…