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229 S Main St #4
B Composite 72.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.8/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.4/10.0

$37,900

229 S Main St #4 · Paris, ID 83261
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · Manufactured · 74 Days on market
Built 1973 Good condition $400/mo HOA · 40% of rent ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Largely updated, roomy home in The Creek mobile home park in Paris, ID! Original home is 2 bed, 1 bath, but 3 more rooms were added on, giving potential for 4 or 5 bedroom house, or add a second bathroom and make a 3 or 4 bed, 2 bath! New flooring, interior paint, most light fixtures, baseboards, kitchen sink, toilet, and more! Not to mention the serene location of this lot, with lots of frontage on the beautiful Paris Creek, keeping you insulated a ways from the nearest neighbors as well! Newer pellet stove works well, with new blower and auger for cozy, instant heat. Roof has been repaired in several places, and many windows in original part of home are updated double-pane vinyl! Super ha

Key facts

  • Serene location
  • Newer pex plumbing
  • Updated home

Tags

UPDATED HOMESERENE LOCATIONFRONTAGE ON PARIS CREEKNEWER PELLET STOVEEXTERIOR ATTACHED SHEDNEWER PEX PLUMBING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $400 monthly fee; Association fee includes sewer, trash, and water; Pets permitted; Subdivision: THE CREEK RENTALS

Exterior

  • Parking: 4 open/uncovered parking spaces
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Culinary (potable) water connected
  • Home design: Mobile home style; Single level; Faces west; Agent owned; Residential use
  • Construction: Aluminum construction; Built and standing
  • Exterior features: Double-pane windows; Outbuildings; Open porch; Waterfront property; Flat terrain with stream; Full landscaping

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Den/office; Gas oven; Gas range; Accessible electrical and environmental controls; Single level living; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $38k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $127 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($999 rent vs $38k).
  • Recommended offer: $36k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#153 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Bear Lake County District (rural): math 48% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #25 of 92 in ID (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Paris Elementary School (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #176 of 357 statewide, top 53%, 165 students, 48% FRL); Bear Lake Middle School (math 43% / reading 51%, grade D+, #43 of 109 statewide, top 41%, 289 students, 38% FRL); Bear Lake High School (math 42% / reading 67%, grade C-, #26 of 169 statewide, top 17%, 352 students, 29% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 86 units permitted in Bear Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $262 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bear Lake County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 40% of rent.
Recommended offer $35,626 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.64%
Cap rate
10.32%
Cash-on-cash
14.37%
DSCR
1.64
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.3%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$2,215
Equity at exit
$5,651
10-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
2.26×
Total profit
$13,413
Equity at exit
$3,277

Cash invested: $10,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Idaho
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; minimal tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 83261

Home prices YoY
-2.6%
Active inventory
19
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$999 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$199
Tax est. 1.5%
$47 /mo · $568/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$400
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$210
Net cashflow
$127

Break-even live

Break-even rent $838
Max offer price $37,900
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,475
Closing costs
$1,137
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$400 · $4,800/yr

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $37,900 Under Contract 74 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $37,900 Active 74 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $37,900 Active 73 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $37,900 Active 71 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    days on market $37,900 Active 70 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $37,900 Active 67 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $37,900 Active 66 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $37,900 Active 65 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $37,900 Active 64 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $37,900 Active 61 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $37,900 Active 60 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $37,900 Active 59 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $37,900 Active 58 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $37,900 Active 57 DOM
  15. 2026-04-24
    price $37,900
  16. 2026-04-03
    listed $39,999 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,985
− Mortgage interest
−$2,123
− Property taxes
−$568
− Insurance
−$190
− Repairs & maintenance
−$959
− Management
−$959
− HOA
−$4,800
− Depreciation
−$1,103
Taxable income
$1,284
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$308
After-tax cash flow
$1,217/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home is in good condition with recent updates, including new flooring and fixtures. It offers a good balance of curb appeal and interior updates, making it a solid investment.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Exterior siding — Some wear is visible on the siding.
  • Minor Landscaping — Some areas of the lawn appear less maintained than others.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint touch-ups — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and home value.
  • Rental Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping increases rental appeal and tenant satisfaction.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exterior siding · Some wear is visible on the siding. Minor $500–3,000
Landscaping · Some areas of the lawn appear less maintained than others. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint touch-ups — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and home value.
  • Rental Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping increases rental appeal and tenant satisfaction.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bear Lake County District
NCES district ID
1600240
Math proficiency
48% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$45,519
Composite
43.99/100
National rank
#2892
State rank
#25 of 92 in ID

Livability — Paris

Score
64/100
State rank
#153
US rank
#14216

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Paris, ID
City population
634
Population (ZIP)
634

Population outlook (Bear Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,729 people
By 2030
5,586 · -2.5%
By 2040
5,357 · -6.5%
By 2050
5,186 · -9.5%
By 2075
4,836 · -15.6%
By 2100
4,302 · -24.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Native American 12% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Slovak 7% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bear Lake

2024 margin
Solid R (+77.0) · D 10.4% · R 87.5% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.3pp toward R · 2008: -63.7pp · 2024: -77.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+77.0 2020: R+77.3 2016: R+66.5 2012: R+77.5 2008: R+63.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -5.22%
Current HPI
196.7856
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $37,900 WFRMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $39,999 WFRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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