517 N Pine St · Taylorville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable 2 bedroom home! Features new plank vinyl flooring through out. Bathroom was completely remodeled in 2023. Water heater new in 2024. Updated pex plumbing. All appliances stay which include: stove, washer, dryer, refrigerator, deep freeze and microwave. Shed does NOT stay. Home inspection of property available on request.
Key facts
- Updated pex plumbing
- All appliances stay
- 4,694 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $200 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($820 rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 4.1% in Taylorville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#478 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
- Taylorville CUSD 3 (town): math 14% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #383 of 620 in IL (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 26 units permitted in Christian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Christian County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 208 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $65k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 208 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.23%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $97,757
- List price
- $64,900
- Delta
- -33.61%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 713 N Pine St | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 960 (-1%) | 1mo | $129,500 | $135 | 85 |
| 25 Elm Tree Ct | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,016 (+5%) | 3mo | $142,500 | $140 | 78 |
| 18 Elm Tree Ct | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 980 (+1%) | 9mo | $139,900 | $143 | 76 |
| 417 N Taylorville Blvd | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 992 (+2%) | 10mo | $85,000 | $86 | 66 |
| 813 Glenda Ln | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,043 (+8%) | 12mo | $156,000 | $150 | 63 |
| 702 N Cheney St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 927 (-4%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $119 | 61 |
| 900 N Cheney St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,040 (+7%) | 0mo | $130,000 | $125 | 56 |
| 909 W Park Blvd | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,034 (+7%) | 3mo | $124,900 | $121 | 54 |
| 916 W Park Blvd | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 892 (-8%) | 12mo | $95,000 | $107 | 49 |
| 1006 W Vine St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 1,096 (+13%) | 12mo | $111,000 | $101 | 41 |
| 1113 Vandeveer St | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,050 (+8%) | 10mo | $127,000 | $121 | 39 |
| 819 W Franklin St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-13%) | 0mo | $119,000 | $142 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $2,256
- Equity at exit
- $9,677
- IRR
- 12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $18,443
- Equity at exit
- $5,611
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62568
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $820 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $961/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$172
- Net cashflow
- $200
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $237 | -5% $219 | +0% $200 | +5% $182 | +10% $164 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $136 | -5% $168 | +0% $200 | +5% $233 | +10% $265 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $233 | -0.5pp $217 | base $200 | +0.5pp $184 | +1.0pp $166 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 913 N Taylorville Blvd Taylorville, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $820 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.37mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $64,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $64,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $64,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $64,900 Active 205 DOM
-
2025-12-09price $64,900 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
Affordable 2 bedroom home! Features new plank vinyl flooring through out. Bathroom was completely remodeled in 2023. Water heater new in 2024. Updated pex plumbing. All appliances stay which include: stove, washer, dryer, refrigerator, deep freeze and microwave. Shed does NOT stay. Home inspection of property available on request.
-
2025-09-19$69,000 Active 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
Affordable 2 bedroom home! Features new plank vinyl flooring through out. Bathroom was completely remodeled in 2023. Water heater new in 2024. Updated pex plumbing. All appliances stay which include: stove, washer, dryer, refrigerator, deep freeze and microwave. Shed does NOT stay. Home inspection of property available on request.
-
2014-09-05soldstatus $40,500
-
2014-09-03soldstatus $40,500 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
If you are looking for move in ready, this is it! Attractive 2 bedroom bungalow updated in the last 7 years. Siding, roof, efficiency furnace, central air and water heater. All new water lines and meter. Attached storage - 13.7 x 5.7, low utilities. $90/avg. Ameren for electric and gas
-
2014-07-18$39,900 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
If you are looking for move in ready, this is it! Attractive 2 bedroom bungalow updated in the last 7 years. Siding, roof, efficiency furnace, central air and water heater. All new water lines and meter. Attached storage - 13.7 x 5.7, low utilities. $90/avg. Ameren for electric and gas
-
2006-09-01soldstatus $21,794
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1997-10-01soldstatus $23,750
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $961 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,217 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- +$256/yr (+$21/mo · 26.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,840
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$961
- − Insurance
- −$324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$787
- − Management
- −$787
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable income
- $1,457
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$350
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,055/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Taylorville CUSD 3
- NCES district ID
- 1738700
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,940
- Composite
- 19.53/100
- National rank
- #8764
- State rank
- #383 of 620 in IL
Livability — Taylorville
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #478
- US rank
- #9895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Taylorville, IL
- City population
- 16,035
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,035
Population outlook (Christian County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,182 people
- By 2030
- 29,787 · -4.5%
- By 2040
- 26,793 · -14.1%
- By 2050
- 23,757 · -23.8%
- By 2075
- 17,333 · -44.4%
- By 2100
- 11,573 · -62.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Black 4% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Christian
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.7) · D 25.9% · R 72.6% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.4pp toward R · 2008: -6.3pp · 2024: -46.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.7 2020: R+44.6 2016: R+42.7 2012: R+23.1 2008: R+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -171.77%
- Current HPI
- 159.2588
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+173.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-09 Price Changed $64,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-19 Listed $69,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $40,500 Public Records
- 2014-09-03 Sold (MLS) $40,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-07-18 Listed $39,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,794 Public Records
- 1997-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,750 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2024): $961 · +10.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…