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517 N Pine St
B Composite 70.8
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,900

517 N Pine St · Taylorville, IL 62568
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 970 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 208 Days on market
Built 1920 4,694 sqft lot $67/sqft · 34% below area Est $98k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable 2 bedroom home! Features new plank vinyl flooring through out. Bathroom was completely remodeled in 2023. Water heater new in 2024. Updated pex plumbing. All appliances stay which include: stove, washer, dryer, refrigerator, deep freeze and microwave. Shed does NOT stay. Home inspection of property available on request.

Key facts

  • Updated pex plumbing
  • All appliances stay
  • 4,694 sq ft lot

Tags

NEW PLANK VINYL FLOORINGCOMPLETELY REMODELED BATHROOMUPDATED PEX PLUMBINGALL APPLIANCES STAY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $200 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($820 rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 4.1% in Taylorville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#478 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Taylorville CUSD 3 (town): math 14% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #383 of 620 in IL (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 26 units permitted in Christian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Christian County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 208 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $65k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $57,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 208 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
10.00%
Cash-on-cash
13.23%
DSCR
1.59
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$97,757
List price
$64,900
Delta
-33.61%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
713 N Pine St 0.11mi 3/1.5 (+1) 960 (-1%) 1mo $129,500 $135 85
25 Elm Tree Ct 0.06mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,016 (+5%) 3mo $142,500 $140 78
18 Elm Tree Ct 0.11mi 3/1.0 (+1) 980 (+1%) 9mo $139,900 $143 76
417 N Taylorville Blvd 0.27mi 3/1.0 (+1) 992 (+2%) 10mo $85,000 $86 66
813 Glenda Ln 0.21mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,043 (+8%) 12mo $156,000 $150 63
702 N Cheney St 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 927 (-4%) 2mo $110,000 $119 61
900 N Cheney St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,040 (+7%) 0mo $130,000 $125 56
909 W Park Blvd 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,034 (+7%) 3mo $124,900 $121 54
916 W Park Blvd 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 892 (-8%) 12mo $95,000 $107 49
1006 W Vine St 0.50mi 2/1.0 1,096 (+13%) 12mo $111,000 $101 41
1113 Vandeveer St 0.69mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,050 (+8%) 10mo $127,000 $121 39
819 W Franklin St 0.74mi 2/1.0 840 (-13%) 0mo $119,000 $142 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.2%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$2,256
Equity at exit
$9,677
10-year hold
IRR
12.8%
Equity multiple
2.01×
Total profit
$18,443
Equity at exit
$5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62568

Active inventory
87
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$820 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $961/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$172
Net cashflow
$200

Break-even live

Break-even rent $566
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $237 -5% $219 +0% $200 +5% $182 +10% $164
Rent -10% $136 -5% $168 +0% $200 +5% $233 +10% $265
Rate -1.0pp $233 -0.5pp $217 base $200 +0.5pp $184 +1.0pp $166

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
913 N Taylorville Blvd Taylorville, IL 2.0 2.0 896 $820 $0.92 21d 1 0.37mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,900 Active 208 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,900 Active 207 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,900 Active 206 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,900 Active 205 DOM
  5. 2025-12-09
    price $64,900 336-char remark
    Show marketing remark (336 chars)

    Affordable 2 bedroom home! Features new plank vinyl flooring through out. Bathroom was completely remodeled in 2023. Water heater new in 2024. Updated pex plumbing. All appliances stay which include: stove, washer, dryer, refrigerator, deep freeze and microwave. Shed does NOT stay. Home inspection of property available on request.

  6. 2025-09-19
    listed $69,000 Active 336-char remark
    Show marketing remark (336 chars)

    Affordable 2 bedroom home! Features new plank vinyl flooring through out. Bathroom was completely remodeled in 2023. Water heater new in 2024. Updated pex plumbing. All appliances stay which include: stove, washer, dryer, refrigerator, deep freeze and microwave. Shed does NOT stay. Home inspection of property available on request.

  7. 2014-09-05
    soldstatus $40,500
  8. 2014-09-03
    soldstatus $40,500 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    If you are looking for move in ready, this is it! Attractive 2 bedroom bungalow updated in the last 7 years. Siding, roof, efficiency furnace, central air and water heater. All new water lines and meter. Attached storage - 13.7 x 5.7, low utilities. $90/avg. Ameren for electric and gas

  9. 2014-07-18
    listed $39,900 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    If you are looking for move in ready, this is it! Attractive 2 bedroom bungalow updated in the last 7 years. Siding, roof, efficiency furnace, central air and water heater. All new water lines and meter. Attached storage - 13.7 x 5.7, low utilities. $90/avg. Ameren for electric and gas

  10. 2006-09-01
    soldstatus $21,794
  11. 1997-10-01
    soldstatus $23,750

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$961 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,217 · $101/mo
Expected delta
+$256/yr (+$21/mo · 26.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,840
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$961
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$787
− Management
−$787
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$1,457
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$350
After-tax cash flow
$2,055/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Taylorville CUSD 3
NCES district ID
1738700
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$45,940
Composite
19.53/100
National rank
#8764
State rank
#383 of 620 in IL

Livability — Taylorville

Score
68/100
State rank
#478
US rank
#9895

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Taylorville, IL
City population
16,035
Population (ZIP)
16,035

Population outlook (Christian County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
31,182 people
By 2030
29,787 · -4.5%
By 2040
26,793 · -14.1%
By 2050
23,757 · -23.8%
By 2075
17,333 · -44.4%
By 2100
11,573 · -62.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Black 4% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Christian

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.7) · D 25.9% · R 72.6% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-40.4pp toward R · 2008: -6.3pp · 2024: -46.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.7 2020: R+44.6 2016: R+42.7 2012: R+23.1 2008: R+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -171.77%
Current HPI
159.2588
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+173.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-09 Price Changed $64,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-19 Listed $69,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $40,500 Public Records
  • 2014-09-03 Sold (MLS) $40,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-07-18 Listed $39,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,794 Public Records
  • 1997-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,750 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $961 · +10.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…