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1011 Lincoln St
D Composite 42.45
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$12,500

1011 Lincoln St · Galesburg, IL 61401
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 696 sqft · Other public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1896 5,250 sqft lot ↓ 55% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

One-and-a-half story home with an open front porch, ideal for investors or buyers with vision and potential. Main level features a dining room open to the living room and kitchen, an eat-in kitchen, plus a main-floor bedroom and full bath. The upper level includes a bedroom with a common area that could be used as a den, office, or additional bedroom suite. Sale is strictly as-is, cash only, no survey and buyer to assume and comply with all village/city requirements, inspections, and any required repairs or violations.

Key facts

  • Main-floor bedroom
  • Dining room
  • Full bath

Tags

OPEN FRONT PORCHDINING ROOMEAT-IN KITCHENCOMMON AREAMAIN-FLOOR BEDROOMFULL BATH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property age category: 100+ years; Built before 1978
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Owned fee simple; Home is over 100 years old; Not rebuilt or rehabilitated
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 105; Lot smaller than 0.25 acre; Directions: Main St to Lincoln (N) to home

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with eating area/table space (approx. 12 x 11)
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level (approx. 11 x 8); Second bedroom on the second level (approx. 12 x 10); Two additional bedrooms indicated
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Cellar (full basement)
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $12k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $709 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $12k).
  • Cap rate 74.3% vs local median 6.4% in Galesburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#367 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, commute F.
  • Galesburg CUSD 205 (town): math 13% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #488 of 620 in IL (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $86 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $375 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Knox County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1896 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $12,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1896 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
8.05%
Cap rate
74.32%
Cash-on-cash
242.95%
DSCR
11.81
GRM
1.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.32×
Total profit
$43,120
Equity at exit
$1,864
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
28.35×
Total profit
$95,723
Equity at exit
$1,081

Cash invested: $3,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61401

Active inventory
191
Price-to-rent
1.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,006 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$66
Tax est. 1.5%
$16 /mo · $188/yr
Insurance
$5
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$211
Net cashflow
$709

Break-even live

Break-even rent $109
Max offer price $12,500
Occupancy floor 25%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,125
Closing costs
$375
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $12,500 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $12,500 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $12,500 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $12,500 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $12,500 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $12,500 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $12,500 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $12,500 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $12,500 Active 2 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 524-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $12,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,076
− Mortgage interest
−$700
− Property taxes
−$188
− Insurance
−$62
− Repairs & maintenance
−$966
− Management
−$966
− Depreciation
−$364
Taxable income
$8,830
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,119
After-tax cash flow
$6,384/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Galesburg CUSD 205
NCES district ID
1716080
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$35,901
Composite
14.46/100
National rank
#9427
State rank
#488 of 620 in IL

Livability — Galesburg

Score
70/100
State rank
#367
US rank
#7601

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Galesburg, IL
City population
32,318
Population (ZIP)
30,684

Population outlook (Knox County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,224 people
By 2030
46,333 · -3.9%
By 2040
42,424 · -12.0%
By 2050
38,929 · -19.3%
By 2075
31,523 · -34.6%
By 2100
24,092 · -50.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Knox

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.4% · R 53.7% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-29.3pp toward R · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+5.6 2016: R+3.3 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.48%
Current HPI
157.276
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-55.4% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $12,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-10-31 Sold (MLS) $11,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-09-14 Listed $11,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
  • 2008-06-11 Sold (MLS) $34,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-03-06 Listed $34,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-09-30 Sold (MLS) $27,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-05-03 Listed $29,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-09-30 Sold (MLS) $26,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-07-07 Listed $28,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $772 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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