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9131 Rosedale Hwy #49
C+ Composite 62.17
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$104,000

9131 Rosedale Hwy #49 · Greenacres, CA 93312
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured · 10 Days on market
Built 1976 Good condition $77/sqft · 30% above area Est $80k · 30% over ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to Greenacres 55+ community living! Located just minutes from major retail centers, popular restaurants, grocery stores, a movie theater, and everyday conveniences, this property places everything you need close to home. This well-maintained home has seen numerous updates, including a beautifully remodeled kitchen in 2023 featuring quartz countertops, a custom tile backsplash, and stainless-steel appliances. New vinyl flooring was installed throughout in 2021, and the primary bathroom was updated with a walk-in shower and handicap-accessible safety rails for added comfort and convenience. Additional improvements include a new HVAC system installed in 2022, as well as exterior paint

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Vinyl flooring
  • Remodeled kitchen

Tags

REMODELED KITCHENQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSCUSTOM TILE BACKSPLASHSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESVINYL FLOORINGWALK IN SHOWER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: From Coffee and Rosedale Hwy, head west on Rosedale Hwy and south into park
  • Financial info: Monthly land lease of $619 (park); Rent includes trash, water, sewer (see remarks)
  • HOA & community: Senior community; Suburban setting; Park name: Greenacres Estates; Manager approval required

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; Has parking; Located in Greenacres Estates mobile home park
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
  • Home design: Mobile home (double-wide); Single-story; Mobile home remains on site; 56 x 24 mobile dimensions
  • Construction: Year built per assessor; Assessor-provided living area
  • Exterior features: No pool; No fencing; Rectangular lot shape

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Range/stove hood; Dishwasher
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Central furnace heating
  • Interior features: Front entry; Single-level (entry on main level)
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $104k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $990 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $104k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#552 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools D, health & safety D, crime D-.
  • Fruitvale Elementary (urban): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #369 of 517 in CA (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $719 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $104,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.08%
Cap rate
17.71%
Cash-on-cash
40.79%
DSCR
2.81
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$80,000
List price
$104,000
Delta
55.00%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9131 Rosedale Hwy #33 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,391 (+4%) 6mo $115,000 $83 88
9131 Rosedale Hwy #54 0.04mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,498 (+12%) 0mo $145,000 $97 73

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.86% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.0%
Equity multiple
2.50×
Total profit
$43,771
Equity at exit
$15,507
10-year hold
IRR
42.1%
Equity multiple
4.76×
Total profit
$109,590
Equity at exit
$8,992

Cash invested: $29,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93312

Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
203
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,163 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$545
Tax est. 1.5%
$130 /mo · $1,560/yr
Insurance
$43
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$454
Net cashflow
$990

Break-even live

Break-even rent $910
Max offer price $104,000
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,000
Closing costs
$3,120
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9109 Chattaroy St Bakersfield, CA 3.0 2.0 1375 $2,200 $1.60 3d 1 0.42mi
8706 Hoodsport Ave Bakersfield, CA 3.0 2.0 1417 $2,250 $1.59 21d 1 0.58mi
9131 Anchor Island Ct Bakersfield, CA 3.0 2.0 1360 $2,499 $1.84 3d 1 0.60mi
3900 Riverlakes Dr Bakersfield, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 974 $1,900 $1.95 3d 6 1.06mi
10909 Baron Ave Bakersfield, CA 3.0 2.0 1132 $2,300 $2.03 10d 1 1.19mi
8207 Pebble Cove Ct Apt A Bakersfield, CA 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,875 $1.70 44d 1 1.25mi
8105 Pebble Cove Ct Unit C Bakersfield, CA 2.0 2.0 900 $1,550 $1.72 23d 1 1.28mi
4302 Pebble Creek Dr Unit A Bakersfield, CA 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,875 $1.70 3d 1 1.31mi
4510 Pebble Creek Dr Apt C Bakersfield, CA 2.0 2.0 950 $1,675 $1.76 44d 1 1.45mi
4510 Pebble Creek Dr Apt C Bakersfield, CA 2.0 2.0 950 $1,675 $1.76 3d 1 1.45mi
4510 Pebble Creek Dr Apt C Bakersfield, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 10d 1 1.45mi
10217 Polo Saddle Dr Bakersfield, CA 3.0 2.0 1281 $2,103 $1.64 14d 1 1.45mi
10302 Polo Saddle Dr Bakersfield, CA 3.0 2.0 1492 $2,395 $1.61 3d 1 1.48mi
3301 Chuckwagon St Bakersfield, CA 3.0 2.5 1689 $2,350 $1.39 3d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $104,000 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $104,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $104,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $104,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $104,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $104,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $104,000 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    pricedays on marketlisting id $104,000 Active 1 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $124,000 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $124,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $124,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    remarks 699-char remark
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,000 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,000 Active 17 DOM
  17. 2026-05-14
    listed $124,000 Active 1012-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 42 unhealthy d/yr today · 45 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,953
− Mortgage interest
−$5,826
− Property taxes
−$1,560
− Insurance
−$520
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,076
− Management
−$2,076
− Depreciation
−$3,025
Taxable income
$10,869
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,609
After-tax cash flow
$9,270/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with recent updates, making it a good investment for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint the exterior siding — enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both replace the ceiling fans — improves comfort and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint the exterior siding — enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both replace the ceiling fans — improves comfort and energy efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fruitvale Elementary
NCES district ID
0614700
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -33.00%
Median HH income
$70,941
Composite
24.07/100
National rank
#7759
State rank
#369 of 517 in CA

Livability — Greenacres

Score
61/100
State rank
#552
US rank
#18334

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Greenacres, CA
County
Kern County · 710,371 people
City population
58,265
Metro
Bakersfield, CA
Population (ZIP)
58,384
Household income
$114,195
Rent vs Own
20.5% rent · 79.5% own
Severe rent burden
964.0

Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
947,286 people
By 2030
978,984 · +3.3%
By 2040
1,045,018 · +10.3%
By 2050
1,105,232 · +16.7%
By 2075
1,229,538 · +29.8%
By 2100
1,238,059 · +30.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 21% Asian 6% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 26%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 16% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Kern

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -194.46%
Current HPI
325.3919
Rent YoY
▲ 1.86%
Metro
Bakersfield, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $104,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $104,000 GEMLS
  • 2026-06-08 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $124,000 GEMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $124,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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