703 Cauldwell Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.1/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- ARV discount +4.6/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$649,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful Single family home in the Melrose section of the South Bronx! Three Bed room duplex with 1.5 bath, finished basement and a beautiful large backyard which extends an additional 15 feet. The beautiful back yard is great for entertaining family and friends! Only walking distance to Jackson Avenue Train Station (2&5) for a quick commute to the City. The house is in good condition in a quiet residential area with a driveway for one car parking.
Key facts
- Private driveway
- Near major highways
- Finished basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Private driveway; 1 parking space
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Con Edison electric; Natural gas connected; Public water connected; Public sewer; Trash collection (public); Cable available; Phone available
- Home design: Single family residence; Condition: Estimated
- Construction: Brick and frame construction; Full finished basement
- Exterior features: Balcony; Garden; Mailbox; Deck; Front and back yard; Fenced yard (full)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7; Full unfinished attic
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Combination flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; Finished full basement
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Crown molding; Eat-in kitchen; Granite counters; High-speed internet available; Open floor plan; Open kitchen; Kitchen walkthrough; Washer/dryer hookup; Deck (patio/porch)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $650k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $635k (2.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $630k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $18k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $182k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($630k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $440k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.83%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $610,560
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716 St Ann's Ave | 0.07mi | 3/1.5 | 1,152 (0%) | 2mo | $610,000 | $530 | 95 |
| 686 Saint Anns Ave | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 | 1,152 (0%) | 1mo | $612,500 | $532 | 91 |
| 690 Saint Anns Ave | 0.08mi | 3/1.5 | 1,200 (+4%) | 8mo | $650,000 | $542 | 83 |
| 644 Eagle Ave | 0.10mi | 3/1.5 | 1,250 (+8%) | 19mo | $500,000 | $400 | 65 |
| 738 Brook Ave #1 | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,284 (+12%) | 22mo | $380,000 | $296 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.14% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $114,864
- Equity at exit
- $261,221
- IRR
- 14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.94×
- Total profit
- $353,881
- Equity at exit
- $379,919
Cash invested: $182,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10455
- Home prices YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 26
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,349 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,409
- Tax from tax record
- −$301 /mo · $3,610/yr
- Insurance
- −$271
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,333
- Net cashflow
- $1,036
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,404 | -5% $1,220 | +0% $1,036 | +5% $852 | +10% $668 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $534 | -5% $785 | +0% $1,036 | +5% $1,287 | +10% $1,537 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,363 | -0.5pp $1,201 | base $1,036 | +0.5pp $867 | +1.0pp $696 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $162,500
- Closing costs
- $19,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2413 3rd Ave Bronx, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 857 | $5,091 | $5.94 | 1d | 21 | 1.35mi |
| 5 Lincoln Ave Bronx, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1011 | $7,419 | $7.33 | 0d | 181 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-14price $649,999
-
2026-04-13price $650,000
-
2026-03-24$660,000 Active
-
2018-04-23soldstatus $440,000
-
2018-04-03soldstatus $440,000 Sold 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Beautiful Single family home in the Melrose section of the South Bronx! Three Bed room duplex with 1.5 bath, finished basement and a beautiful large backyard which extends an additional 15 feet. The beautiful back yard is great for entertaining family and friends! Only walking distance to Jackson Avenue Train Station (2&5) for a quick commute to the City. The house is in good condition in a quiet residential area with a driveway for one car parking.
-
2017-12-05historical Pending 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Beautiful Single family home in the Melrose section of the South Bronx! Three Bed room duplex with 1.5 bath, finished basement and a beautiful large backyard which extends an additional 15 feet. The beautiful back yard is great for entertaining family and friends! Only walking distance to Jackson Avenue Train Station (2&5) for a quick commute to the City. The house is in good condition in a quiet residential area with a driveway for one car parking.
-
2017-11-07status Active 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Beautiful Single family home in the Melrose section of the South Bronx! Three Bed room duplex with 1.5 bath, finished basement and a beautiful large backyard which extends an additional 15 feet. The beautiful back yard is great for entertaining family and friends! Only walking distance to Jackson Avenue Train Station (2&5) for a quick commute to the City. The house is in good condition in a quiet residential area with a driveway for one car parking.
-
2017-09-29historical 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Beautiful Single family home in the Melrose section of the South Bronx! Three Bed room duplex with 1.5 bath, finished basement and a beautiful large backyard which extends an additional 15 feet. The beautiful back yard is great for entertaining family and friends! Only walking distance to Jackson Avenue Train Station (2&5) for a quick commute to the City. The house is in good condition in a quiet residential area with a driveway for one car parking.
-
2017-09-20price $445,000 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Beautiful Single family home in the Melrose section of the South Bronx! Three Bed room duplex with 1.5 bath, finished basement and a beautiful large backyard which extends an additional 15 feet. The beautiful back yard is great for entertaining family and friends! Only walking distance to Jackson Avenue Train Station (2&5) for a quick commute to the City. The house is in good condition in a quiet residential area with a driveway for one car parking.
-
2017-08-15$450,000 Active 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Beautiful Single family home in the Melrose section of the South Bronx! Three Bed room duplex with 1.5 bath, finished basement and a beautiful large backyard which extends an additional 15 feet. The beautiful back yard is great for entertaining family and friends! Only walking distance to Jackson Avenue Train Station (2&5) for a quick commute to the City. The house is in good condition in a quiet residential area with a driveway for one car parking.
-
1993-05-26soldstatus $71,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,610 · $301/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,297 · $608/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,688/yr (+$307/mo · 102.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $76,193
- − Mortgage interest
- −$36,410
- − Property taxes
- −$3,610
- − Insurance
- −$3,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,095
- − Management
- −$6,095
- − Depreciation
- −$18,909
- Taxable income
- $1,823
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$438
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,991/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,940
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 71% Black 24% Two or more races 17% White 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 27% Dominican 17%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 35% English-only · Spanish 60% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.14%
- Current HPI
- 145.3911
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+815.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $649,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $650,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-24 Listed $660,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $440,000 Public Records
- 2018-04-03 Sold (MLS) $440,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-12-05 Contingent — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-11-07 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-29 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-20 Price Changed $445,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-08-15 Listed $450,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1993-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,610 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…