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8724 Bluebell St 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 34.06
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.9/30.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0
  • DSCR +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$319,900

8724 Bluebell St · East Milton, FL 32583
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,856 sqft · SingleFamily · 101 Days on market
Built 2026 Excellent condition 0.25 ac lot 2-car garage $11/mo HOA ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to Plantation Woods! The charming Beau is one of our most popular & highly desired open concept designs. Equipped with four beds, two baths, a covered patio, and a two-car garage. A thoughtfully designed kitchen offers relaxed living with a lg. island bar, quiet dishwasher, all stainless appliances, and pantry. The primary bedroom and adjoining bath feature a walk-in closet, double sink vanity, tub, and separate shower. Quartz countertops in the kitchen and baths, wood look flooring throughout, and plush carpet in the bedrooms. The Smart Home Connect System includes several convenient devices you will love. Fabric Hurricane door and window protection are also included. Call or text to schedule a tour today! ALL LISTING pictures, colors, features, and size may vary. Square footages are approximate.

Key facts

  • New construction
  • Stainless appliances
  • Lg island bar

Tags

NEW CONSTRUCTIONSMART HOME CONNECT SYSTEMWELL-DESIGNED KITCHENLG ISLAND BARQUIET DISHWASHERSTAINLESS APPLIANCES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $319,900 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $369,900.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $320k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-563 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $288k (9.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $254k (20.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $254k (20.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#199 in FL, #3,139 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, commute F.
  • Santa Rosa (suburban): math 63% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #8 of 73 in FL (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Martin Luther King Middle School (math 38% / reading 41%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 660 students, 69% FRL); Milton High School (math 44% / reading 42%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 2,085 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 36% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 41% at this address vs 62% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Santa Rosa average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 1007 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 73d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,983 units permitted in Santa Rosa County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Santa Rosa County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $253,648 (20.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
4.46%
Cash-on-cash
-6.53%
DSCR
0.71
GRM
12.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$369,900
List price
$319,900
Delta
-12.71%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8693 Bluebell St 0.02mi 4/2.0 1,856 (0%) 1mo $327,900 $177 98
8665 Philippi St 0.04mi 4/2.0 1,856 (0%) 1mo $324,900 $175 97
8674 Galatia St 0.08mi 4/2.0 1,856 (0%) 2mo $319,900 $172 94
8653 Tarsus Dr 0.22mi 4/2.0 1,830 (-1%) 1mo $315,000 $172 86
4952 Gaineswood Dr 0.42mi 4/2.0 1,856 (0%) 1mo $329,900 $178 80
5150 Gaineswood Dr 0.43mi 4/2.0 1,846 (-0%) 0mo $312,000 $169 79
8709 Bluebell St 0.02mi 4/3.0 2,035 (+10%) 1mo $369,900 $182 78
8683 Philippi St 0.50mi 4/2.0 1,856 (0%) 1mo $324,900 $175 76
8677 Philippi St 0.07mi 4/3.0 2,035 (+10%) 2mo $369,900 $182 75
8686 Galatia St 0.13mi 4/3.0 2,035 (+10%) 1mo $359,900 $177 73
8768 Philippi St 0.60mi 4/2.0 1,856 (0%) 1mo $327,900 $177 71
8671 Philippi St 0.11mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,107 (+14%) 0mo $346,900 $165 63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.53% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.9%
Equity multiple
0.11×
Total profit
$-91,818
Equity at exit
$55,153
10-year hold
IRR
-18.3%
Equity multiple
-0.05×
Total profit
$-109,199
Equity at exit
$31,982

Cash invested: $103,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
20 active · 15 under contract
Months of supply
4.8 mo (21%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$339,900 ($176/sqft)
Median days on market
75 d
This list price
15% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+13.5% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 32583

Home prices YoY
-11.3%
Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
1007
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,536 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,940
Tax est. 1.5%
$462 /mo · $5,548/yr
Insurance
$154
HOA
$11
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$533
Net cashflow
$-563

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,250
Max offer price $288,365
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-308 -5% $-436 +0% $-563 +5% $-691 +10% $-819
Rent -10% $-764 -5% $-664 +0% $-563 +5% $-463 +10% $-363
Rate -1.0pp $-377 -0.5pp $-469 base $-563 +0.5pp $-659 +1.0pp $-757

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$92,475
Closing costs
$11,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8616 Tarsus Dr Milton, FL 5.0 3.0 2554 $2,995 $1.17 72d 1 0.18mi
8617 Tarsus Dr Milton, FL 4.0 2.0 1830 $2,200 $1.20 72d 1 0.21mi
5533 Silverbell Dr Milton, FL 5.0 3.0 2143 $2,450 $1.14 72d 1 0.23mi
9330 Tara Cir Milton, FL 4.0 2.0 1786 $2,000 $1.12 63d 1 0.35mi
8839 Longmont Way Milton, FL 4.0 3.0 2302 $2,375 $1.03 72d 1 0.42mi
5199 Gaineswood Dr Milton, FL 3.0 2.0 2029 $2,200 $1.08 72d 1 0.52mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Lot roughly 0.25 acres with central access
HOA & community
Homeowners association with an annual fee of $137

Exterior

Parking
Attached 2-car garage with garage door openerFront entrance access2 covered parking spaces (total 2 spaces)
Security
Smoke detectors
Utilities
Public waterSeptic tankCable availableElectric service with circuit breakers and copper wiringPaved county-maintained road access
Home design
Single-story homeOne levelUnder construction / new constructionNot attached to another property
Construction
Frame constructionShingle roofSlab foundationBuilt as new construction
Exterior features
Covered patio/porch

Interior

Kitchen
Kitchen islandPantryBuilt-in microwaveDishwasherElectric water heater
Bedrooms
Primary bedroom on the first floor (approx. 15' x 12')
Flooring
VinylCarpetSimulated wood
Bathrooms
2 full bathroomsNew construction — bathrooms not yet updated
Heating & cooling
Central heatingCentral air conditioning
Interior features
BaseboardsHigh ceilingsRecessed lightingDouble-pane windowsShutters
Laundry & utility
Laundry inside with washer/dryer hookups

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $319,900 Active 101 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    pricedays on market $319,900 Active 100 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $322,900 Active 99 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $322,900 Active 98 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $322,900 Active 97 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $322,900 Active 96 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $322,900 Active 93 DOM
  8. 2026-07-29
    days on market $322,900 Active 91 DOM
  9. 2026-07-27
    days on market $322,900 Active 89 DOM
  10. 2026-07-25
    days on market $322,900 Active 87 DOM
  11. 2026-07-24
    days on market $322,900 Active 86 DOM
  12. 2026-07-23
    days on market $322,900 Active 85 DOM
  13. 2026-07-22
    days on market $322,900 Active 84 DOM
  14. 2026-07-22
    price $322,900 Active 83 DOM
  15. 2026-07-21
    days on market $324,900 Active 83 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $324,900 Active 80 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $324,900 Active 78 DOM
  18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $324,900 Active 77 DOM
  19. 2026-07-14
    days on market $324,900 Active 76 DOM
  20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $324,900 Active 75 DOM
  21. 2026-07-12
    days on market $324,900 Active 74 DOM
  22. 2026-07-11
    days on market $324,900 Active 73 DOM
  23. 2026-07-10
    days on market $324,900 Active 72 DOM
  24. 2026-07-09
    days on market $324,900 Active 71 DOM
  25. 2026-07-08
    days on market $324,900 Active 70 DOM
  26. 2026-07-07
    days on market $324,900 Active 69 DOM
  27. 2026-07-07
    price $324,900 Active 68 DOM
  28. 2026-07-06
    days on market $326,900 Active 68 DOM
  29. 2026-07-05
    days on market $326,900 Active 67 DOM
  30. 2026-07-04
    days on market $326,900 Active 66 DOM
  31. 2026-07-03
    days on market $326,900 Active 65 DOM
  32. 2026-07-02
    days on market $326,900 Active 64 DOM
  33. 2026-07-01
    days on market $326,900 Active 63 DOM
  34. 2026-06-30
    days on market $326,900 Active 62 DOM
  35. 2026-06-29
    days on market $326,900 Active 61 DOM
  36. 2026-06-28
    days on market $326,900 Active 60 DOM
  37. 2026-06-28
    days on market $326,900 Active 59 DOM
  38. 2026-06-27
    days on market $326,900 Active 58 DOM
  39. 2026-06-25
    days on market $326,900 Active 56 DOM
  40. 2026-06-23
    pricedays on market $326,900 Active 54 DOM
  41. 2026-06-22
    pricedays on market $328,900 Active 53 DOM
    Show marketing remark (822 chars)

    Welcome to Plantation Woods! The charming Beau is one of our most popular & highly desired open concept designs. Equipped with four beds, two baths, a covered patio, and a two-car garage. A thoughtfully designed kitchen offers relaxed living with a lg. island bar, quiet dishwasher, all stainless appliances, and pantry. The primary bedroom and adjoining bath feature a walk-in closet, double sink vanity, tub, and separate shower. Quartz countertops in the kitchen and baths, wood look flooring throughout, and plush carpet in the bedrooms. The Smart Home Connect System includes several convenient devices you will love. Fabric Hurricane door and window protection are also included. Call or text to schedule a tour today! ALL LISTING pictures, colors, features, and size may vary. Square footages are approximate.

  42. 2026-06-18
    days on market $329,900 Active 50 DOM
  43. 2026-06-17
    days on market $329,900 Active 49 DOM
  44. 2026-06-16
    days on market $329,900 Active 48 DOM
  45. 2026-06-15
    days on market $329,900 Active 47 DOM
  46. 2026-06-14
    days on market $329,900 Active 45 DOM
  47. 2026-06-10
    days on market $329,900 Active 42 DOM
  48. 2026-06-09
    days on market $329,900 Active 41 DOM
  49. 2026-06-08
    days on market $329,900 Active 40 DOM
  50. 2026-06-07
    days on market $329,900 Active 39 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,438
− Mortgage interest
−$20,720
− Property taxes
−$5,548
− Insurance
−$1,850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,435
− Management
−$2,435
− HOA
−$132
− Depreciation
−$10,761
Taxable loss
−$13,443
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,226
After-tax cash flow
$-3,535/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This home is a new construction with excellent condition and curb appeal. It features a modern kitchen, bathrooms, and smart home technology. The Smart Home Connect System and landscaping improvements would further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Smart Home Connect System — Enhances home's smart features and convenience.
  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value.
  • Both Smart security system — Enhances safety and adds value to the home.
F Composite school gradezoned avg 42/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary East Milton Elementary School D- FL #1,271/2,144 Nat'l #15,897/41,679 Middle Martin Luther King Middle School F FL #373/571 Nat'l #6,151/14,009 High Milton High School F FL #255/667 Nat'l #7,439/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Santa Rosa
NCES district ID
1201650
Math proficiency
63% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$58,161
Composite
53.12/100
National rank
#1511
State rank
#8 of 73 in FL
B Composite livability gradescore 77/100

Livability — East Milton

Score
77/100
State rank
#199
US rank
#3139

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Milton, FL
County
Santa Rosa County · 195,978 people
City population
31,415
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
Population (ZIP)
31,828
Household income
$85,440
Rent vs Own
12.9% rent · 87.1% own
Severe rent burden
4% of renters

Population outlook (Santa Rosa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
195,978 people
By 2030
209,782 · +7.0%
By 2040
235,293 · +20.1%
By 2050
256,408 · +30.8%
By 2075
298,074 · +52.1%
By 2100
303,216 · +54.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 11% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Santa Rosa

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.0) · D 24.1% · R 75.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: -47.9pp · 2024: -51.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.0 2020: R+46.5 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+52.6 2008: R+47.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-3.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-22 Price Changed $326,900 PARMLS
  • 2026-06-22 Price Changed $326,900 ECAR
  • 2026-06-20 Price Changed $328,900 PARMLS
  • 2026-06-20 Price Changed $328,900 ECAR
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $329,900 PARMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $329,900 ECAR
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $334,900 PARMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $334,900 ECAR
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $339,900 ECAR
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $339,900 PARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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