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1528 Hickory Grove Rd
D+ Composite 47.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

1528 Hickory Grove Rd · Wallace, SC 29512
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,288 sqft · SingleFamily · 50 Days on market
Built 2002 0.51 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 3BR/2BA Home with Peaceful Country Setting – No Restrictions! Enjoy the freedom of country living with this well-maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home situated in a quiet, peaceful setting. With no zoning or restrictions, this property offers endless possibilities—perfect for a primary residence, rental investment, or even a small homestead. Inside, you’ll find a functional layout featuring a bright kitchen with ample cabinet space, updated flooring, and a cozy living area filled with natural light. The home offers three comfortable bedrooms and two full bathrooms, providing plenty of space for family or guests. Step outside and appreciate the open yard, ideal for

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Covered carport
  • Country setting

Tags

COUNTRY SETTINGNO ZONING OR RESTRICTIONSCOVERED CARPORTSPACIOUS YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.51 acres

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Residential single-family home
  • Construction: Above-grade finished living area: 1,288; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio; Storm door(s); Fenced yard; Metal roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Insulated windows; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $158 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (5.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (5.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#311 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marlboro 01 (town): math 16% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #71 of 80 in SC (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Bennettsville Primary (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #515 of 597 statewide, top 89%, 552 students, 100% FRL); Marlboro County High (math 22% / reading 77%, grade D, #151 of 196 statewide, top 79%, 1,047 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 76% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 20% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Marlboro 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Marlboro County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marlboro County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $15k; list at $125k implies a 733% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $117,928 (5.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.81%
Cash-on-cash
5.43%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.9%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-10,202
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
1.6%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$3,937
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29512

Active inventory
54
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,179 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$66 /mo · $797/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$248
Net cashflow
$158

Break-even live

Break-even rent $979
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $229 -5% $194 +0% $158 +5% $123 +10% $87
Rent -10% $65 -5% $112 +0% $158 +5% $205 +10% $251
Rate -1.0pp $221 -0.5pp $190 base $158 +0.5pp $126 +1.0pp $93

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $124,900 Active 50 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $124,900 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $124,900 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 39 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,900 Active 38 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $124,900 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,900 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,900 Active 32 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,900 Active 31 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $124,900 Active 30 DOM
  17. 2026-04-30
    listed $124,900 Active
  18. 2025-06-10
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$797 · $66/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$797 · $66/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,151
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$797
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,132
− Management
−$1,132
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable loss
−$164
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$39
After-tax cash flow
$1,938/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marlboro 01
NCES district ID
4502970
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$29,865
Composite
16.37/100
National rank
#9201
State rank
#71 of 80 in SC

Livability — Wallace

Score
55/100
State rank
#311
US rank
#23554

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
1,972
Population (ZIP)
17,408

Population outlook (Marlboro County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,477 people
By 2030
24,266 · -4.8%
By 2040
21,862 · -14.2%
By 2050
19,665 · -22.8%
By 2075
15,673 · -38.5%
By 2100
12,390 · -51.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% White 32% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Marlboro

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.6% · R 48.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-3.7pp toward R · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 2.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.4 2020: D+10.9 2016: D+16.1 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.61%
Current HPI
108.4261
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+732.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $124,900 RAGPD
  • 2025-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+45.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $797 · +9.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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