722 Hickey St · Alice, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$68,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Sweet cottage is conveniently located in the heart of Alice and ready for your special touches. Underneath the carpet there are original hardwood floors that have already been uncovered in one of the bedrooms. This home can easily be converted into a 3/2 as the garage conversion includes plumbing already in place. Established neighborhood, large, flat backyard that is fully fenced is also a plus! House can be a great starter home or possibly an investment property. Come see it today.
Key facts
- Garage conversion
- Fully fenced
- Large flat backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $229 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($941 rent vs $68k).
- Recommended offer: $60k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 4.1% in Alice — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#558 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
- Alice ISD (town): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #799 of 826 in TX (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 220 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6 units permitted in Jim Wells County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $474 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jim Wells County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 238 days — a 12% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 238 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.30%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $89,838
- List price
- $68,500
- Delta
- -23.75%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 910 Louis St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,059 (-6%) | 9mo | $75,000 | $71 | 71 |
| 1801 Tina St | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,160 (+4%) | 14mo | $185,000 | $159 | 61 |
| 208 Scott St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,192 (+6%) | 10mo | $86,500 | $73 | 60 |
| 1622 S Reynolds St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,256 (+12%) | 9mo | $138,600 | $110 | 52 |
| 202 E Hill Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,168 (+4%) | 23mo | $159,000 | $136 | 44 |
| 1126 Cynthia Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,223 (+9%) | 19mo | $139,900 | $114 | 42 |
| 311 Escobar St | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,152 (+3%) | 23mo | $45,000 | $39 | 40 |
| 909 Loma St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 984 (-12%) | 20mo | $140,000 | $142 | 36 |
| 209 Prospect St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 952 (-15%) | 13mo | $29,900 | $31 | 35 |
| 100 Cactus Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 968 (-14%) | 20mo | $49,000 | $51 | 35 |
| 715 Lucero St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,274 (+14%) | 16mo | $39,000 | $31 | 34 |
| 2104 Suarez St | 0.67mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 952 (-15%) | 18mo | $32,000 | $34 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $3,499
- Equity at exit
- $10,214
- IRR
- 14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.14×
- Total profit
- $21,957
- Equity at exit
- $5,923
Cash invested: $19,180 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78332
- Active inventory
- 220
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $941 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$359
- Tax from tax record
- −$127 /mo · $1,526/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$198
- Net cashflow
- $229
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $267 | -5% $248 | +0% $229 | +5% $209 | +10% $190 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $154 | -5% $191 | +0% $229 | +5% $266 | +10% $303 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $263 | -0.5pp $246 | base $229 | +0.5pp $211 | +1.0pp $193 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,125
- Closing costs
- $2,055
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2555 S Cameron St Alice, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 869 | $868 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 110 S Stadium Rd Alice, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 753 | $775 | $1.03 | 13d | 7 | 1.21mi |
| 516 E 6th St Unit B Alice, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,200 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-31statusdays on market $68,500 Pending 238 DOM
-
2026-04-26price $68,500 488-char remark
Show marketing remark (488 chars)
Sweet cottage is conveniently located in the heart of Alice and ready for your special touches. Underneath the carpet there are original hardwood floors that have already been uncovered in one of the bedrooms. This home can easily be converted into a 3/2 as the garage conversion includes plumbing already in place. Established neighborhood, large, flat backyard that is fully fenced is also a plus! House can be a great starter home or possibly an investment property. Come see it today.
-
2026-03-05price $72,500 488-char remark
Show marketing remark (488 chars)
Sweet cottage is conveniently located in the heart of Alice and ready for your special touches. Underneath the carpet there are original hardwood floors that have already been uncovered in one of the bedrooms. This home can easily be converted into a 3/2 as the garage conversion includes plumbing already in place. Established neighborhood, large, flat backyard that is fully fenced is also a plus! House can be a great starter home or possibly an investment property. Come see it today.
-
2026-02-10price $77,500 488-char remark
Show marketing remark (488 chars)
Sweet cottage is conveniently located in the heart of Alice and ready for your special touches. Underneath the carpet there are original hardwood floors that have already been uncovered in one of the bedrooms. This home can easily be converted into a 3/2 as the garage conversion includes plumbing already in place. Established neighborhood, large, flat backyard that is fully fenced is also a plus! House can be a great starter home or possibly an investment property. Come see it today.
-
2025-12-27price $82,500 488-char remark
Show marketing remark (488 chars)
Sweet cottage is conveniently located in the heart of Alice and ready for your special touches. Underneath the carpet there are original hardwood floors that have already been uncovered in one of the bedrooms. This home can easily be converted into a 3/2 as the garage conversion includes plumbing already in place. Established neighborhood, large, flat backyard that is fully fenced is also a plus! House can be a great starter home or possibly an investment property. Come see it today.
-
2025-11-11price $99,975 488-char remark
Show marketing remark (488 chars)
Sweet cottage is conveniently located in the heart of Alice and ready for your special touches. Underneath the carpet there are original hardwood floors that have already been uncovered in one of the bedrooms. This home can easily be converted into a 3/2 as the garage conversion includes plumbing already in place. Established neighborhood, large, flat backyard that is fully fenced is also a plus! House can be a great starter home or possibly an investment property. Come see it today.
-
2025-09-25$110,000 Active 488-char remark
Show marketing remark (488 chars)
Sweet cottage is conveniently located in the heart of Alice and ready for your special touches. Underneath the carpet there are original hardwood floors that have already been uncovered in one of the bedrooms. This home can easily be converted into a 3/2 as the garage conversion includes plumbing already in place. Established neighborhood, large, flat backyard that is fully fenced is also a plus! House can be a great starter home or possibly an investment property. Come see it today.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,526 · $127/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,526 · $127/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,295
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,837
- − Property taxes
- −$1,526
- − Insurance
- −$342
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$904
- − Management
- −$904
- − Depreciation
- −$1,993
- Taxable income
- $1,789
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$429
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,314/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alice ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4807800
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,747
- Composite
- 14.63/100
- National rank
- #9407
- State rank
- #799 of 826 in TX
Livability — Alice
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #558
- US rank
- #10742
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alice, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,281
Population outlook (Jim Wells County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 43,325 people
- By 2030
- 44,156 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 45,790 · +5.7%
- By 2050
- 47,455 · +9.5%
- By 2075
- 51,800 · +19.6%
- By 2100
- 52,006 · +20.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 84% White 14% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 76%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Spanish 49%
Political lean MEDSL · Jim Wells
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.5) · D 42.0% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -15.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.5 2020: R+9.8 2016: D+10.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -123.86%
- Current HPI
- 77.6253
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-37.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Price Changed $68,500 CBMLS
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $72,500 CBMLS
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $77,500 CBMLS
- 2025-12-27 Price Changed $82,500 CBMLS
- 2025-11-11 Price Changed $99,975 CBMLS
- 2025-09-25 Listed $110,000 CBMLS
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,526 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…