6480 Katherine Rd Spc 18 · Simi Valley, CA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$220,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Modern Living & Massive Storage! ? Renovated 2 Bed / 2 Bath This beautifully maintained home in the quiet Susana Woods Prestige community offers the perfect blend of modern comfort and incredible utility. Located just minutes from the 118 Fwy for an easy commute. The Highlights: • Total Peace of Mind: Move in with zero worries! This home features a brand-new roof, new central AC, and a new tankless water heater. • Sun-Drenched Interior: Open-concept layout with new large dual-pane Wui-compliant windows and custom blinds that flood the space with natural light. • Chef’s Kitchen: Plenty of cabinet and counter space featuring a stunning large island—the heart of the home. • Owner’s Retreat: Spacious Master Suite with a private en-suite bathroom, vanity, and a large walk-in closet. • Outdoor Living: Relax on your private deck/porch, featuring easy-maintenance artificial grass. The "Ultimate" Workshop & Storage: This property is a hobbyist’s dream! Includes TWO 10x12 Tough Shed Tall Barns, both equipped with: • 8x8 overhead rafter storage. • Full electrical hookups. • Covered Workshop Area with lights • Ample room for a workshop, studio, or massive storage needs. Price: $220,000 Location: Susana Woods Prestige (Close to 118 Fwy) * * * * MUST BE PARK APPROVED…Serious Inquiries ONLY * * * This home won't last long given the upgrades! Message me today to schedule your private walkthrough.
Key facts
- Brand new roof
- New central ac
- Large island
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $220k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $220k).
- Recommended offer: $207k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 3.0% in Simi Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#456 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute D-, cost of living F.
- Simi Valley Unified (suburban): math 36% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #170 of 517 in CA (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 150 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,759 units permitted in Ventura County in 2024 (1,196 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($125k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ventura County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.50%
- DSCR
- 2.36
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $175,000
- List price
- $220,000
- Delta
- 25.71%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6480 Katherine Rd #79 | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-8%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $118 | 79 |
| 6480 Katherine St #109 | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-8%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $125 | 76 |
| 6480 Katherine Rd #135 | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-8%) | 13mo | $183,000 | $127 | 73 |
| 6480 Katherine Rd #26 | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-14%) | 12mo | $284,999 | $212 | 57 |
| 1550 Rory Ln #266 | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,560 (+0%) | 12mo | $275,000 | $176 | 56 |
| 1550 Rory Ln #215 | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-14%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $100 | 42 |
| 1550 Rory Ln #70 | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-14%) | 11mo | $219,700 | $163 | 37 |
| 1550 Rory Ln #101 | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-14%) | 15mo | $224,000 | $167 | 33 |
| 1550 Rory Ln #68 | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-14%) | 23mo | $250,000 | $186 | 28 |
| 1550 Rory Ln #76 | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-14%) | 20mo | $225,000 | $167 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $73,040
- Equity at exit
- $32,803
- IRR
- 36.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.74×
- Total profit
- $230,535
- Equity at exit
- $19,022
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93063
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 150
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,906 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$275 /mo · $3,300/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$820
- Net cashflow
- $1,566
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 911 Katherine Rd Simi Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1501 | $4,350 | $2.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 990 Alta Vista Rd Simi Valley, CA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1880 | $5,200 | $2.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 6769 Cowboy St Simi Valley, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1659 | $4,300 | $2.59 | 3d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 6769 Cowboy St Simi Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1659 | $4,300 | $2.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1830 Rory Ln Simi Valley, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1437 | $3,288 | $2.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 5960 Juniper Ct Simi Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1602 | $3,700 | $2.31 | 14d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1948 Rory Ln #4 Simi Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1583 | $3,900 | $2.46 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1930 Yosemite Ave Simi Valley, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $2,718 | $3.20 | 1d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1700 Yosemite Ave Simi Valley, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $2,600 | $3.06 | 1d | 3 | 0.85mi |
| 1768 Grover Cir Simi Valley, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1982 | $3,995 | $2.02 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $220,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $220,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $220,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $220,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $220,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $220,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $220,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $220,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $220,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $220,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $220,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $220,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $220,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $220,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $220,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-03-23$220,000 Active 1511-char remark
Show marketing remark (1511 chars)
Modern Living & Massive Storage! ? Renovated 2 Bed / 2 Bath This beautifully maintained home in the quiet Susana Woods Prestige community offers the perfect blend of modern comfort and incredible utility. Located just minutes from the 118 Fwy for an easy commute. The Highlights: • Total Peace of Mind: Move in with zero worries! This home features a brand-new roof, new central AC, and a new tankless water heater. • Sun-Drenched Interior: Open-concept layout with new large dual-pane Wui-compliant windows and custom blinds that flood the space with natural light. • Chef’s Kitchen: Plenty of cabinet and counter space featuring a stunning large island—the heart of the home. • Owner’s Retreat: Spacious Master Suite with a private en-suite bathroom, vanity, and a large walk-in closet. • Outdoor Living: Relax on your private deck/porch, featuring easy-maintenance artificial grass. The "Ultimate" Workshop & Storage: This property is a hobbyist’s dream! Includes TWO 10x12 Tough Shed Tall Barns, both equipped with: • 8x8 overhead rafter storage. • Full electrical hookups. • Covered Workshop Area with lights • Ample room for a workshop, studio, or massive storage needs. Price: $220,000 Location: Susana Woods Prestige (Close to 118 Fwy) * * * * MUST BE PARK APPROVED…Serious Inquiries ONLY * * * This home won't last long given the upgrades! Message me today to schedule your private walkthrough.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥101°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $46,875
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$3,300
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,750
- − Management
- −$3,750
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable income
- $16,252
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,900
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,886/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This beautifully maintained and recently renovated home offers modern comfort and utility, with a fresh coat of paint and landscaping improvements recommended to maximize its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value.
- Both Add smart home features — Improves convenience and marketability.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value. ↑
- Both Add smart home features — Improves convenience and marketability. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Simi Valley Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0636840
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $88,818
- Composite
- 40.23/100
- National rank
- #3773
- State rank
- #170 of 517 in CA
Livability — Simi Valley
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #456
- US rank
- #15494
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Simi Valley, CA
- County
- Ventura County · 829,955 people
- City population
- 128,600
- Metro
- Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,066
- Household income
- $125,098
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1322.0
Population outlook (Ventura County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 895,754 people
- By 2030
- 912,134 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 931,454 · +4.0%
- By 2050
- 934,609 · +4.3%
- By 2075
- 924,899 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 864,712 · -3.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 15% Asian 11% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 4% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Ventura
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.1) · D 56.1% · R 41.0% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.8pp toward D · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: 15.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.1 2020: D+21.1 2016: D+16.8 2012: D+5.3 2008: D+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -910.70%
- Current HPI
- 297.7444
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.22%
- Metro
- Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Listed $220,000 Fizber.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…