217 3rd Ave N · Texas City, TX
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,700
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This house is truly a diamond in the rough. Great layout, Need new finish on wood floors, paint and clean up wood trim around all the windows (there are lots) 6" baseboards. This home could be grand again. A real show stopper. A decorators dream. There nis a lot of square footage in living area on first floor including utility room and half bath, covered porch. There are 4 bedrooms on second floor with 2 full bathrooms. Perfect for with extra large lot for kids, family functions and enjoyment with a garage. A steal for handiman and large families. Loads of potential to bring this older home back to all its charm.
Key facts
- Wide front porch
- Downtown shopping
- Large lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 4.3% in Texas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#907 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Texas City ISD (suburban): math 28% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #655 of 826 in TX (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 296 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,258 units permitted in Galveston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Galveston County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 284 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $70k (31%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 284 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.69%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $208,837
- List price
- $159,700
- Delta
- -23.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 217 10th Ave N | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,087 (+2%) | 11mo | $240,000 | $115 | 59 |
| 214 9th Ave N | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,252 (+10%) | 2mo | $229,900 | $102 | 50 |
| 30 12th Ave N | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 1,867 (-8%) | 19mo | $135,000 | $72 | 36 |
| 18 12th Ave N | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,834 (-10%) | 13mo | $199,800 | $109 | 33 |
| 201 13th Ave N | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 2,331 (+14%) | 22mo | $235,000 | $101 | 24 |
| 321 13th Ave N | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,757 (-14%) | 22mo | $217,000 | $124 | 18 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.91% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-3,174
- Equity at exit
- $23,812
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $38,215
- Equity at exit
- $13,808
Cash invested: $44,716 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77590
- Home prices YoY
- -19.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 296
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,956 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$837
- Tax from tax record
- −$280 /mo · $3,361/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$411
- Net cashflow
- $294
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $385 | -5% $340 | +0% $294 | +5% $249 | +10% $204 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $140 | -5% $217 | +0% $294 | +5% $372 | +10% $449 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $375 | -0.5pp $335 | base $294 | +0.5pp $253 | +1.0pp $211 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,925
- Closing costs
- $4,791
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1137 1st Ave N Texas City, TX | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $1,775 | $0.99 | 26d | 1 | 0.87mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $159,700 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,700 Active 281 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $159,700 Active 280 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $159,700 Active 279 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $159,700 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,700 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,700 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,700 Active 271 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $159,700 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $159,700 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,700 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,700 Active 265 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $159,700 Active 264 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $159,700 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $159,700 625-char remark
Show marketing remark (625 chars)
This house is truly a diamond in the rough. Great layout, Need new finish on wood floors, paint and clean up wood trim around all the windows (there are lots) 6" baseboards. This home could be grand again. A real show stopper. A decorators dream. There nis a lot of square footage in living area on first floor including utility room and half bath, covered porch. There are 4 bedrooms on second floor with 2 full bathrooms. Perfect for with extra large lot for kids, family functions and enjoyment with a garage. A steal for handiman and large families. Loads of potential to bring this older home back to all its charm.
-
2026-03-26price $169,700 625-char remark
Show marketing remark (625 chars)
This house is truly a diamond in the rough. Great layout, Need new finish on wood floors, paint and clean up wood trim around all the windows (there are lots) 6" baseboards. This home could be grand again. A real show stopper. A decorators dream. There nis a lot of square footage in living area on first floor including utility room and half bath, covered porch. There are 4 bedrooms on second floor with 2 full bathrooms. Perfect for with extra large lot for kids, family functions and enjoyment with a garage. A steal for handiman and large families. Loads of potential to bring this older home back to all its charm.
-
2026-03-02price $179,700 625-char remark
Show marketing remark (625 chars)
This house is truly a diamond in the rough. Great layout, Need new finish on wood floors, paint and clean up wood trim around all the windows (there are lots) 6" baseboards. This home could be grand again. A real show stopper. A decorators dream. There nis a lot of square footage in living area on first floor including utility room and half bath, covered porch. There are 4 bedrooms on second floor with 2 full bathrooms. Perfect for with extra large lot for kids, family functions and enjoyment with a garage. A steal for handiman and large families. Loads of potential to bring this older home back to all its charm.
-
2026-01-15price $189,700 625-char remark
Show marketing remark (625 chars)
This house is truly a diamond in the rough. Great layout, Need new finish on wood floors, paint and clean up wood trim around all the windows (there are lots) 6" baseboards. This home could be grand again. A real show stopper. A decorators dream. There nis a lot of square footage in living area on first floor including utility room and half bath, covered porch. There are 4 bedrooms on second floor with 2 full bathrooms. Perfect for with extra large lot for kids, family functions and enjoyment with a garage. A steal for handiman and large families. Loads of potential to bring this older home back to all its charm.
-
2026-01-03status Active 625-char remark
Show marketing remark (625 chars)
This house is truly a diamond in the rough. Great layout, Need new finish on wood floors, paint and clean up wood trim around all the windows (there are lots) 6" baseboards. This home could be grand again. A real show stopper. A decorators dream. There nis a lot of square footage in living area on first floor including utility room and half bath, covered porch. There are 4 bedrooms on second floor with 2 full bathrooms. Perfect for with extra large lot for kids, family functions and enjoyment with a garage. A steal for handiman and large families. Loads of potential to bring this older home back to all its charm.
-
2025-12-31historical 625-char remark
Show marketing remark (625 chars)
This house is truly a diamond in the rough. Great layout, Need new finish on wood floors, paint and clean up wood trim around all the windows (there are lots) 6" baseboards. This home could be grand again. A real show stopper. A decorators dream. There nis a lot of square footage in living area on first floor including utility room and half bath, covered porch. There are 4 bedrooms on second floor with 2 full bathrooms. Perfect for with extra large lot for kids, family functions and enjoyment with a garage. A steal for handiman and large families. Loads of potential to bring this older home back to all its charm.
-
2025-10-24price $199,700 625-char remark
Show marketing remark (625 chars)
This house is truly a diamond in the rough. Great layout, Need new finish on wood floors, paint and clean up wood trim around all the windows (there are lots) 6" baseboards. This home could be grand again. A real show stopper. A decorators dream. There nis a lot of square footage in living area on first floor including utility room and half bath, covered porch. There are 4 bedrooms on second floor with 2 full bathrooms. Perfect for with extra large lot for kids, family functions and enjoyment with a garage. A steal for handiman and large families. Loads of potential to bring this older home back to all its charm.
-
2025-09-07$230,000 Active 625-char remark
Show marketing remark (625 chars)
This house is truly a diamond in the rough. Great layout, Need new finish on wood floors, paint and clean up wood trim around all the windows (there are lots) 6" baseboards. This home could be grand again. A real show stopper. A decorators dream. There nis a lot of square footage in living area on first floor including utility room and half bath, covered porch. There are 4 bedrooms on second floor with 2 full bathrooms. Perfect for with extra large lot for kids, family functions and enjoyment with a garage. A steal for handiman and large families. Loads of potential to bring this older home back to all its charm.
-
2022-07-18soldstatus
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2022-07-12soldstatus Sold 430-char remark
Show marketing remark (430 chars)
Beautiful 4 bedroom, 2 full & 1 half bath home in Texas City. Charming front porch! Home sits on a large homesite with storage shed. Plenty of natural lighting throughout home! Gorgeous hardwoods! Built-in cabinets & storage spaces! Kitchen has ample cabinet space. Hardwood stairs. Contemporary paint colors, lighted ceiling fans, window with blinds, great closet spaces, replaced doors & more! A must see home!
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2022-04-20status Pending 430-char remark
Show marketing remark (430 chars)
Beautiful 4 bedroom, 2 full & 1 half bath home in Texas City. Charming front porch! Home sits on a large homesite with storage shed. Plenty of natural lighting throughout home! Gorgeous hardwoods! Built-in cabinets & storage spaces! Kitchen has ample cabinet space. Hardwood stairs. Contemporary paint colors, lighted ceiling fans, window with blinds, great closet spaces, replaced doors & more! A must see home!
-
2022-04-11status Option Pending 430-char remark
Show marketing remark (430 chars)
Beautiful 4 bedroom, 2 full & 1 half bath home in Texas City. Charming front porch! Home sits on a large homesite with storage shed. Plenty of natural lighting throughout home! Gorgeous hardwoods! Built-in cabinets & storage spaces! Kitchen has ample cabinet space. Hardwood stairs. Contemporary paint colors, lighted ceiling fans, window with blinds, great closet spaces, replaced doors & more! A must see home!
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2022-04-01$219,900 Active 430-char remark
Show marketing remark (430 chars)
Beautiful 4 bedroom, 2 full & 1 half bath home in Texas City. Charming front porch! Home sits on a large homesite with storage shed. Plenty of natural lighting throughout home! Gorgeous hardwoods! Built-in cabinets & storage spaces! Kitchen has ample cabinet space. Hardwood stairs. Contemporary paint colors, lighted ceiling fans, window with blinds, great closet spaces, replaced doors & more! A must see home!
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2022-02-07price $1,750
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2012-12-31historical
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2012-05-11$99,999
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2012-04-13historical
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2012-01-24$114,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,361 · $280/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,361 · $280/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,469
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,946
- − Property taxes
- −$3,361
- − Insurance
- −$1,596
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,878
- − Management
- −$1,878
- − Depreciation
- −$4,646
- Taxable income
- $1,165
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$280
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,254/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Texas City ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4842510
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,875
- Composite
- 24.47/100
- National rank
- #7664
- State rank
- #655 of 826 in TX
Livability — Texas City
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #907
- US rank
- #16268
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Texas City, TX
- County
- Galveston County · 357,330 people
- City population
- 49,936
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,642
- Household income
- $65,801
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1821.0
Population outlook (Galveston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 390,640 people
- By 2030
- 425,226 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 493,765 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 559,698 · +43.3%
- By 2075
- 719,260 · +84.1%
- By 2100
- 819,628 · +109.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 20% Black 17% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 33% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 26% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Galveston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 35.7% · R 63.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.5pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+26.9 2008: R+19.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.35%
- Current HPI
- 244.5809
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.91%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+39.0% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $159,700 HARMLS
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $169,700 HARMLS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $179,700 HARMLS
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $189,700 HARMLS
- 2026-01-03 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-10-24 Price Changed $199,700 HARMLS
- 2025-09-07 Listed $230,000 HARMLS
- 2022-07-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-07-12 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2022-04-20 Pending — HARMLS
- 2022-04-11 Pending — HARMLS
- 2022-04-01 Listed $219,900 HARMLS
- 2022-02-07 Price Changed $1,750 RENT.
- 2012-12-31 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2012-05-11 Listed $99,999 HARMLS
- 2012-04-13 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2012-01-24 Listed $114,900 HARMLS
Property tax history
+10.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,361 · +11.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…