249 W Birch St · Ironwood, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$12,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great fix it and flip it or tear it down and build on a level corner city lot with utilities on site! There is some potential if you can shore up the foundation. The home has a nice layout, and some of the prep work has been completed. There's a nice front porch as you enter. The main floor has a good sized living room with a room off to the side that could be turned into a bedroom, or used as an office. The kitchen has ample size, and there is a main floor bathroom roughed in. On the upper level, there are 3 large open rooms that could be sectioned off into nice bedrooms along with a spacious entry to a large bathroom. There has been some plumbing, and electrical updates. This one really could have a lot of potential as it sits on a great corner lot.
Key facts
- Ample size kitchen
- Front porch
- Large open rooms
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Three or more parking spaces; On-street parking
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sanitary sewer; Internet (Spectrum)
- Home design: Residential property (1 to 4 units); Two-story structure; Built in 1900
- Construction: Vinyl exterior; Michigan basement foundation; 1900 construction year
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Front porch; Street lights; Corner lot within city limits; Large lot frontage (65+ ft.); Road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator included
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level (approx. 9 x 13; 10 x 13; 13-wide)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one main-floor full bathroom; total 2 bathrooms)
- Heating & cooling: Heating: other (see remarks); No central cooling listed
- Interior features: Cable/internet available; Basement present (Michigan-style)
- Laundry & utility: Basement provides utility/laundry space
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $13k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $853 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $13k).
- Recommended offer: $13k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 85.7% vs local median 5.8% in Ironwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#325 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Ironwood Area Schools Of Gogebic County (town): math 23% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #361 of 540 in MI (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 28 units permitted in Gogebic County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $476 of equity ($89 loan paydown + $387 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Gogebic County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($13k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (35%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 9.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 85.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 283.53%
- DSCR
- 13.62
- GRM
- 0.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $97,344
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 332 W Ash St | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,341 (+8%) | 17mo | $90,300 | $67 | 66 |
| 402 Alfred Wright Blvd | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 | 1,424 (+14%) | 5mo | $129,900 | $91 | 65 |
| 111 E Ash St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,105 (-12%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $109 | 63 |
| 102 W Ash St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,142 (-8%) | 6mo | $74,900 | $66 | 61 |
| 107 E McLeod St | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+8%) | 10mo | $85,000 | $63 | 51 |
| 334 W Ayer St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (-10%) | 6mo | $20,000 | $18 | 50 |
| 240 E Ash St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (-8%) | 17mo | $154,000 | $135 | 49 |
| 308 W Ayer St | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,402 (+12%) | 2mo | $118,450 | $84 | 48 |
| 210 Norrie St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,211 (-3%) | 13mo | $46,800 | $39 | 48 |
| 326 W Frederick St | 0.58mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,410 (+13%) | 12mo | $110,000 | $78 | 34 |
| 230 W Frederick St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,083 (-13%) | 12mo | $139,000 | $128 | 31 |
| 311 W Norrie St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,060 (-15%) | 14mo | $35,000 | $33 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 16.49×
- Total profit
- $55,940
- Equity at exit
- $5,800
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 35.05×
- Total profit
- $123,005
- Equity at exit
- $8,939
Cash invested: $3,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49938-1111
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 0.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,217 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$68
- Tax from tax record
- −$35 /mo · $418/yr
- Insurance
- −$5
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $853
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,225
- Closing costs
- $387
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $12,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $12,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $12,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $12,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $12,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $12,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $17,500 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $17,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $17,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $17,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $17,500 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $17,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $17,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $17,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $17,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-19$19,900 Active 761-char remark
Show marketing remark (761 chars)
Great fix it and flip it or tear it down and build on a level corner city lot with utilities on site! There is some potential if you can shore up the foundation. The home has a nice layout, and some of the prep work has been completed. There's a nice front porch as you enter. The main floor has a good sized living room with a room off to the side that could be turned into a bedroom, or used as an office. The kitchen has ample size, and there is a main floor bathroom roughed in. On the upper level, there are 3 large open rooms that could be sectioned off into nice bedrooms along with a spacious entry to a large bathroom. There has been some plumbing, and electrical updates. This one really could have a lot of potential as it sits on a great corner lot.
-
2026-05-19$19,900 Active 761-char remark
Show marketing remark (761 chars)
Great fix it and flip it or tear it down and build on a level corner city lot with utilities on site! There is some potential if you can shore up the foundation. The home has a nice layout, and some of the prep work has been completed. There's a nice front porch as you enter. The main floor has a good sized living room with a room off to the side that could be turned into a bedroom, or used as an office. The kitchen has ample size, and there is a main floor bathroom roughed in. On the upper level, there are 3 large open rooms that could be sectioned off into nice bedrooms along with a spacious entry to a large bathroom. There has been some plumbing, and electrical updates. This one really could have a lot of potential as it sits on a great corner lot.
-
2026-05-19$19,900 Active 761-char remark
Show marketing remark (761 chars)
Great fix it and flip it or tear it down and build on a level corner city lot with utilities on site! There is some potential if you can shore up the foundation. The home has a nice layout, and some of the prep work has been completed. There's a nice front porch as you enter. The main floor has a good sized living room with a room off to the side that could be turned into a bedroom, or used as an office. The kitchen has ample size, and there is a main floor bathroom roughed in. On the upper level, there are 3 large open rooms that could be sectioned off into nice bedrooms along with a spacious entry to a large bathroom. There has been some plumbing, and electrical updates. This one really could have a lot of potential as it sits on a great corner lot.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $418 · $35/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $418 · $35/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,602
- − Mortgage interest
- −$723
- − Property taxes
- −$418
- − Insurance
- −$64
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,168
- − Management
- −$1,168
- − Depreciation
- −$375
- Taxable income
- $10,685
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,564
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,677/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ironwood Area Schools Of Gogebic County
- NCES district ID
- 2619470
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,313
- Composite
- 25.78/100
- National rank
- #7369
- State rank
- #361 of 540 in MI
Livability — Ironwood
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #325
- US rank
- #8024
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ironwood, MI
Population outlook (Gogebic County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,951 people
- By 2030
- 13,191 · -5.4%
- By 2040
- 11,739 · -15.9%
- By 2050
- 10,580 · -24.2%
- By 2075
- 8,530 · -38.9%
- By 2100
- 6,903 · -50.5%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $19,900 UPAR
- 2026-05-19 Listed $19,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-19 Listed $19,900 GNMLS
Property tax history
-1.7%/yrLatest (2024): $418 · -3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…