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249 W Birch St
D+ Composite 48.58
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$12,900

249 W Birch St · Ironwood, MI 49938-1111
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1900 5,227 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great fix it and flip it or tear it down and build on a level corner city lot with utilities on site! There is some potential if you can shore up the foundation. The home has a nice layout, and some of the prep work has been completed. There's a nice front porch as you enter. The main floor has a good sized living room with a room off to the side that could be turned into a bedroom, or used as an office. The kitchen has ample size, and there is a main floor bathroom roughed in. On the upper level, there are 3 large open rooms that could be sectioned off into nice bedrooms along with a spacious entry to a large bathroom. There has been some plumbing, and electrical updates. This one really could have a lot of potential as it sits on a great corner lot.

Key facts

  • Ample size kitchen
  • Front porch
  • Large open rooms

Tags

LEVEL CORNER CITY LOTFRONT PORCHGOOD SIZED LIVING ROOMAMPLE SIZE KITCHENMAIN FLOOR BATHROOM ROUGHED INLARGE OPEN ROOMS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Three or more parking spaces; On-street parking
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sanitary sewer; Internet (Spectrum)
  • Home design: Residential property (1 to 4 units); Two-story structure; Built in 1900
  • Construction: Vinyl exterior; Michigan basement foundation; 1900 construction year
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Front porch; Street lights; Corner lot within city limits; Large lot frontage (65+ ft.); Road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator included
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level (approx. 9 x 13; 10 x 13; 13-wide)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one main-floor full bathroom; total 2 bathrooms)
  • Heating & cooling: Heating: other (see remarks); No central cooling listed
  • Interior features: Cable/internet available; Basement present (Michigan-style)
  • Laundry & utility: Basement provides utility/laundry space

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $13k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $853 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $13k).
  • Recommended offer: $13k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 85.7% vs local median 5.8% in Ironwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#325 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
  • Ironwood Area Schools Of Gogebic County (town): math 23% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #361 of 540 in MI (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 28 units permitted in Gogebic County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $476 of equity ($89 loan paydown + $387 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Gogebic County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($13k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (35%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $12,706 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
9.43%
Cap rate
85.68%
Cash-on-cash
283.53%
DSCR
13.62
GRM
0.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$97,344
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
332 W Ash St 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,341 (+8%) 17mo $90,300 $67 66
402 Alfred Wright Blvd 0.11mi 3/1.5 1,424 (+14%) 5mo $129,900 $91 65
111 E Ash St 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,105 (-12%) 1mo $120,000 $109 63
102 W Ash St 0.22mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,142 (-8%) 6mo $74,900 $66 61
107 E McLeod St 0.49mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (+8%) 10mo $85,000 $63 51
334 W Ayer St 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,120 (-10%) 6mo $20,000 $18 50
240 E Ash St 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,144 (-8%) 17mo $154,000 $135 49
308 W Ayer St 0.52mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,402 (+12%) 2mo $118,450 $84 48
210 Norrie St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,211 (-3%) 13mo $46,800 $39 48
326 W Frederick St 0.58mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,410 (+13%) 12mo $110,000 $78 34
230 W Frederick St 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,083 (-13%) 12mo $139,000 $128 31
311 W Norrie St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,060 (-15%) 14mo $35,000 $33 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.49×
Total profit
$55,940
Equity at exit
$5,800
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
35.05×
Total profit
$123,005
Equity at exit
$8,939

Cash invested: $3,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49938-1111

Active inventory
5
Price-to-rent
0.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,217 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$68
Tax from tax record
$35 /mo · $418/yr
Insurance
$5
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$853

Break-even live

Break-even rent $137
Max offer price $12,900
Occupancy floor 25%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,225
Closing costs
$387
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $12,900 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $12,900 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $12,900 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $12,900 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $12,900 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $12,900 Active 24 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $17,500 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $17,500 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $17,500 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $17,500 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $17,500 Active 15 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $17,500 Active 14 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $17,500 Active 13 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $17,500 Active 12 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $17,500 Active 11 DOM
  16. 2026-05-19
    listed $19,900 Active 761-char remark
    Show marketing remark (761 chars)

    Great fix it and flip it or tear it down and build on a level corner city lot with utilities on site! There is some potential if you can shore up the foundation. The home has a nice layout, and some of the prep work has been completed. There's a nice front porch as you enter. The main floor has a good sized living room with a room off to the side that could be turned into a bedroom, or used as an office. The kitchen has ample size, and there is a main floor bathroom roughed in. On the upper level, there are 3 large open rooms that could be sectioned off into nice bedrooms along with a spacious entry to a large bathroom. There has been some plumbing, and electrical updates. This one really could have a lot of potential as it sits on a great corner lot.

  17. 2026-05-19
    listed $19,900 Active 761-char remark
    Show marketing remark (761 chars)

    Great fix it and flip it or tear it down and build on a level corner city lot with utilities on site! There is some potential if you can shore up the foundation. The home has a nice layout, and some of the prep work has been completed. There's a nice front porch as you enter. The main floor has a good sized living room with a room off to the side that could be turned into a bedroom, or used as an office. The kitchen has ample size, and there is a main floor bathroom roughed in. On the upper level, there are 3 large open rooms that could be sectioned off into nice bedrooms along with a spacious entry to a large bathroom. There has been some plumbing, and electrical updates. This one really could have a lot of potential as it sits on a great corner lot.

  18. 2026-05-19
    listed $19,900 Active 761-char remark
    Show marketing remark (761 chars)

    Great fix it and flip it or tear it down and build on a level corner city lot with utilities on site! There is some potential if you can shore up the foundation. The home has a nice layout, and some of the prep work has been completed. There's a nice front porch as you enter. The main floor has a good sized living room with a room off to the side that could be turned into a bedroom, or used as an office. The kitchen has ample size, and there is a main floor bathroom roughed in. On the upper level, there are 3 large open rooms that could be sectioned off into nice bedrooms along with a spacious entry to a large bathroom. There has been some plumbing, and electrical updates. This one really could have a lot of potential as it sits on a great corner lot.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$418 · $35/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$418 · $35/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,602
− Mortgage interest
−$723
− Property taxes
−$418
− Insurance
−$64
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,168
− Management
−$1,168
− Depreciation
−$375
Taxable income
$10,685
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,564
After-tax cash flow
$7,677/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ironwood Area Schools Of Gogebic County
NCES district ID
2619470
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$33,313
Composite
25.78/100
National rank
#7369
State rank
#361 of 540 in MI

Livability — Ironwood

Score
70/100
State rank
#325
US rank
#8024

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ironwood, MI

Population outlook (Gogebic County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,951 people
By 2030
13,191 · -5.4%
By 2040
11,739 · -15.9%
By 2050
10,580 · -24.2%
By 2075
8,530 · -38.9%
By 2100
6,903 · -50.5%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $19,900 UPAR
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $19,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $19,900 GNMLS

Property tax history

-1.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $418 · -3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…