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7952 Jefferson St
B Composite 71.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

7952 Jefferson St · Rutherford, PA 17036
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,224 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1975 7,405 sqft lot $151/sqft · 28% below area Est $257k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great starter! Half a double located close to Hummelstown & Chamber Hill areas with nice yard, shed and plenty of off street parking. Open living room, dining and kitchen area with great potential. Spacious basement that could be finished into family room. Three bedroom, 1.5 baths, full basement and central air. First time buyers and investors welcomed! Price for quick sale. Home needs TLC and is a great home to build fast equity. Call for details!

Key facts

  • 4 parking spots
  • Built 1975
  • Listed 4 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Four total garage/parking spaces; Driveway with four spaces; Asphalt driveway; On-street and off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 200+ amp electric service with circuit breakers; Electric hot water
  • Home design: End of row townhouse; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Aluminum siding, block, brick, and frame construction; Block foundation; Architectural shingle roof; Above-grade structure
  • Exterior features: Patio(s); Side yard(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Refrigerator; Freezer; Stainless steel appliances; Water heater
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper level); One half bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Electric heating and cooling systems
  • Interior features: Dining area; Eat-in kitchen; Built-ins; Ceiling fans; Family room off kitchen; Kitchen island
  • Laundry & utility: Basement utility space (full, unfinished)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $559 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#1,007 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Central Dauphin SD (suburban): math 30% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #305 of 539 in PA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Central Dauphin East Shs (math 50% / reading 15%, grade F, #330 of 437 statewide, top 76%, 1,590 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 33% district-wide (67 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 106 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $185,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
9.92%
Cash-on-cash
12.96%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$256,800
List price
$185,000
Delta
-27.96%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8160 Somerset St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,189 (-3%) 6mo $230,000 $193 73
7810 Chambers Hill Rd 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,189 (-3%) 5mo $259,900 $219 56
7220 Jefferson St 0.47mi 3/1.5 1,116 (-9%) 9mo $230,000 $206 56
370-N N 70th St 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,144 (-6%) 6mo $260,000 $227 53
12 Oakshire Dr 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,218 (-0%) 14mo $222,000 $182 52
7880 Chambers Hill Rd 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,172 (-4%) 11mo $240,000 $205 42
117 Brompton Rd 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,040 (-15%) 20mo $167,500 $161 28
6950 Huntingdon St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,040 (-15%) 19mo $201,900 $194 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.1%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$187
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
7.1%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$24,684
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17036

Home prices YoY
-28.4%
Rents YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
106
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,277 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$192 /mo · $2,305/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$478
Net cashflow
$559

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,569
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $664 -5% $612 +0% $559 +5% $507 +10% $455
Rent -10% $380 -5% $470 +0% $559 +5% $649 +10% $739
Rate -1.0pp $653 -0.5pp $607 base $559 +0.5pp $512 +1.0pp $463

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7466 Stephen Dr Harrisburg, PA 2.0–3.0 2.5 1626 $2,399 $1.47 14d 1 0.20mi
7214 Huntingdon St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 2.5 1374 $1,900 $1.38 44d 1 0.47mi
50 N 67th St Unit 3 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 770 $1,525 $1.98 44d 1 0.87mi
6550 Somerset St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 2.0 1488 $2,250 $1.51 14d 1 0.95mi
54 N 62nd St Unit 1 Harrisburg, PA 3.0 2.0 1340 $1,750 $1.31 14d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 799-char remark
  2. 2026-05-01
    listed $185,000 Active 799-char remark
  3. 2026-04-29
    historical $185,000 799-char remark
  4. 2016-04-21
    soldstatus $89,900
  5. 2016-04-15
    soldstatus $89,900 458-char remark
    Show marketing remark (458 chars)

    Great starter! Half a double located close to Hummelstown & Chamber Hill areas with nice yard, shed and plenty of off street parking. Open living room, dining and kitchen area with great potential. Spacious basement that could be finished into family room. Three bedroom, 1.5 baths, full basement and central air. First time buyers and investors welcomed! Price for quick sale. Home needs TLC and is a great home to build fast equity. Call for details!

  6. 2016-02-12
    historical 458-char remark
    Show marketing remark (458 chars)

    Great starter! Half a double located close to Hummelstown & Chamber Hill areas with nice yard, shed and plenty of off street parking. Open living room, dining and kitchen area with great potential. Spacious basement that could be finished into family room. Three bedroom, 1.5 baths, full basement and central air. First time buyers and investors welcomed! Price for quick sale. Home needs TLC and is a great home to build fast equity. Call for details!

  7. 2015-12-07
    listed $89,900 458-char remark
    Show marketing remark (458 chars)

    Great starter! Half a double located close to Hummelstown & Chamber Hill areas with nice yard, shed and plenty of off street parking. Open living room, dining and kitchen area with great potential. Spacious basement that could be finished into family room. Three bedroom, 1.5 baths, full basement and central air. First time buyers and investors welcomed! Price for quick sale. Home needs TLC and is a great home to build fast equity. Call for details!

  8. 2015-10-31
    historical
  9. 2015-05-01
    listed $89,900
  10. 2012-07-31
    historical
  11. 2012-02-07
    listed $114,900
  12. 2000-06-02
    soldstatus $73,900
  13. 1983-06-16
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,305 · $192/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,614 · $218/mo
Expected delta
+$309/yr (+$26/mo · 13.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,323
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$2,305
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,186
− Management
−$2,186
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable income
$3,977
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$955
After-tax cash flow
$5,759/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Central Dauphin SD
NCES district ID
4205400
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$62,792
Composite
36.46/100
National rank
#4664
State rank
#305 of 539 in PA

Livability — Rutherford

Score
67/100
State rank
#1007
US rank
#11116

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rutherford, PA
County
Dauphin County · 247,857 people
City population
35,818
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
Population (ZIP)
23,520
Household income
$115,533
Rent vs Own
25.0% rent · 75.0% own
Severe rent burden
357.0

Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
281,628 people
By 2030
283,549 · +0.7%
By 2040
285,385 · +1.3%
By 2050
286,188 · +1.6%
By 2075
291,053 · +3.3%
By 2100
282,374 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Asian 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · China, Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
89% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.37%
Current HPI
245.2109
Rent YoY
▲ 0.55%
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+344.4% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Sold (MLS) $200,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-05 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $185,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-29 Coming Soon $185,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
  • 2016-04-15 Sold (MLS) $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-02-12 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-12-07 Listed $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-10-31 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-05-01 Listed $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-07-31 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-02-07 Listed $114,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $73,900 Public Records
  • 1983-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,305 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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