400 Greenfield Dr Spc 101 · Bostonia, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come check out this spacious 3 bed/ 2 bath home located in El Cajon with private back patio, large driveway to fit 3+ cars and large kitchen/dining area to entertain family and friends.
Key facts
- Central heating
- Fresh interior paint
- Additional storage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Breed-restricted pets allowed
- HOA & community: Greenfield Mobile Home Estates community
Exterior
- Parking: 1 parking space
- Utilities: Sewer connected
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story
- Construction: Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Community in-ground pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Double oven; Electric oven; Gas cooktop; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Up to 3 possible bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Wall/window cooling units
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Disposal; Double oven; Electric oven; Gas cooktop; Refrigerator
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $195k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $195k).
- Recommended offer: $183k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 6.0% in Bostonia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#383 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing B+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Grossmont Union High (suburban): math 31% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #173 of 517 in CA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 244 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,181/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 4178% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $134k; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.61%
- DSCR
- 2.14
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $182,628
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400 Greenfield Dr Spc 26 #26 | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-10%) | 5mo | $160,200 | $111 | 77 |
| 255 E Bradley Ave Spc 21 | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-6%) | 14mo | $143,000 | $95 | 67 |
| 450 E Bradley Ave #89 | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-10%) | 0mo | $85,000 | $59 | 54 |
| 450 E Bradley Ave #41 | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-9%) | 15mo | $198,000 | $136 | 50 |
| 450 E Bradley Ave #115 | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-10%) | 7mo | $169,000 | $117 | 48 |
| 450 E Bradley Ave Spc 79 | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-10%) | 14mo | $75,000 | $52 | 44 |
| 450 E Bradley Ave #46 | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,419 (-11%) | 21mo | $180,000 | $127 | 41 |
| 450 E Bradley Ave #96 | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-13%) | 21mo | $159,998 | $114 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $33,334
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $88,751
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92021
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 244
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,181 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$244 /mo · $2,925/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$668
- Net cashflow
- $1,165
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,300 | -5% $1,232 | +0% $1,165 | +5% $1,098 | +10% $1,030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $914 | -5% $1,039 | +0% $1,165 | +5% $1,291 | +10% $1,416 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,263 | -0.5pp $1,215 | base $1,165 | +0.5pp $1,115 | +1.0pp $1,063 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 375 Broadway El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $2,800 | $2.00 | 0d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 360 E Bradley Ave El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $2,974 | $2.66 | 0d | 4 | 0.49mi |
| 1219 Denver Ln Unit 1465013P El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1194 | $8,558 | $7.17 | 22d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 534 Jeffree St El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $3,895 | $3.48 | 4d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 534 Jeffree St El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $3,895 | $3.48 | 11d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 339 Chambers St El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $3,500 | $2.19 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1171 Marline Ave Unit 1171-A El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1141 | $3,100 | $2.72 | 0d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 816 Oro St El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1235 | $3,400 | $2.75 | 3d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1255 Marline Ave Unit 1255 El Cajon, CA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1730 | $4,200 | $2.43 | 0d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 800 E Lexington Ave El Cajon, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $3,210 | $3.09 | 0d | 5 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $195,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $195,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $195,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $195,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $195,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $195,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $195,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $195,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $195,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $195,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $195,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $195,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $195,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $195,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $195,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-04-10$199,999 Active
-
2023-04-03soldstatus $134,000 Closed Sale 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
Come check out this spacious 3 bed/ 2 bath home located in El Cajon with private back patio, large driveway to fit 3+ cars and large kitchen/dining area to entertain family and friends.
-
2023-03-10status Pending Sale 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
Come check out this spacious 3 bed/ 2 bath home located in El Cajon with private back patio, large driveway to fit 3+ cars and large kitchen/dining area to entertain family and friends.
-
2023-02-03$140,000 Active 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
Come check out this spacious 3 bed/ 2 bath home located in El Cajon with private back patio, large driveway to fit 3+ cars and large kitchen/dining area to entertain family and friends.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 5 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,168
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$2,925
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,053
- − Management
- −$3,053
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable income
- $11,565
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,776
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,206/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Greenfield Mobile Home Estates offers a functional layout and thoughtful updates, making it a great investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace the carport roof — Protects the carport and adds value
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace the carport roof — Protects the carport and adds value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grossmont Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0616230
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,801
- Composite
- 40.07/100
- National rank
- #3810
- State rank
- #173 of 517 in CA
Livability — Bostonia
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #383
- US rank
- #13065
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bostonia, CA
- County
- San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 70,501
- Household income
- $74,013
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4178.0
Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,678,185 people
- By 2030
- 3,856,546 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 4,171,407 · +13.4%
- By 2050
- 4,421,607 · +20.2%
- By 2075
- 4,831,599 · +31.4%
- By 2100
- 4,832,502 · +31.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 14% Black 6% Asian 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 6% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 18% Arabic 7% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · San Diego
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -654.88%
- Current HPI
- 335.0617
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.83%
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+42.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Listed $199,999 SDMLS
- 2023-04-03 Sold (MLS) $134,000 CRMLS
- 2023-03-10 Pending — CRMLS
- 2023-02-03 Listed $140,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…