17793 N Nocera Rd · Maricopa, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 114°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- Cash flow +6.8/30.0
- Appreciation +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- 1% rule +1.2/10.0
- DSCR +1.1/10.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
**** ASK ABOUT OUR 2/1 RATE BUYDOWN OPPORTUNITY **** Beautifully remodeled home with new plank style tile flooring in all common areas and bathrooms, plush new carpet with upgraded 1/2 inch padding in bedrooms, and all new baseboards throughout home. A signature upgrade in the home is the matching tiled bathroom showers. Kitchen features matching stainless steel appliances and a large center island. Other features include new recessed LED lighting throughout home, new matching ceiling fans, matching 2 inch white blinds throughout home, new garbage disposal, new kitchen faucet, etc. This home looks clean, fresh and modern with neutral color tones and a new two toned interior paint job as well. Lot features a huge rocked in backyard ready to accommodate whatever your heart desires.
Key facts
- Large center island
- Remodeled home
- 6,027 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-461 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $218k (27.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (37.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $187k (37.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 3.7% in Maricopa — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#28 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Maricopa Unified School District (4441) (town): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #128 of 249 in AZ (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 845 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $200k; 50% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.62% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.59%
- DSCR
- 0.71
- GRM
- 13.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $348,406
- List price
- $299,900
- Delta
- -13.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37635 W Capri Ave | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,525 (-2%) | 1mo | $295,000 | $193 | 94 |
| 38031 W San Alvarez Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,573 (+1%) | 1mo | $309,000 | $196 | 80 |
| 38135 W Cannataro Ln | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,572 (+1%) | 1mo | $312,000 | $198 | 75 |
| 38149 W Isabella Ln | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,542 (-1%) | 1mo | $299,000 | $194 | 72 |
| 18570 N Toledo Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,571 (+1%) | 3mo | $295,000 | $188 | 63 |
| 37064 W Mondragone Ln | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,766 (+14%) | 2mo | $298,995 | $169 | 59 |
| 36796 W Mondragone Ln | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,381 (-11%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $188 | 57 |
| 36618 W San Sisto Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,434 (-8%) | 1mo | $285,000 | $199 | 55 |
| 36585 W Maddaloni Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,403 (-10%) | 3mo | $320,000 | $228 | 49 |
| 17530 N Salerno Dr | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,787 (+15%) | 1mo | $354,990 | $199 | 48 |
| 38205 W Frascati Ave | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,787 (+15%) | 2mo | $354,990 | $199 | 48 |
| 38220 W Frascati Ave | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,787 (+15%) | 4mo | $354,990 | $199 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.89% appreciation · 1.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-52,772
- Equity at exit
- $74,012
- IRR
- -9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-67,095
- Equity at exit
- $79,107
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85138
- Home prices YoY
- -0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 845
- Price-to-rent
- 13.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,871 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$158 /mo · $1,890/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$84
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$393
- Net cashflow
- $-461
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37392 W Capri Ave Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1764 | $1,695 | $0.96 | 14d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 37392 W Capri Ave Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1764 | $1,695 | $0.96 | 16d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 17936 N Lettere Cir Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2012 | $1,800 | $0.89 | 5d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 17878 N Pietra Rd Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1555 | $1,625 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 37154 W Amalfi Ave Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2223 | $1,695 | $0.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 37144 W Amalfi Ave Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $1,669 | $1.10 | 1d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 37144 W Amalfi Ave Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $1,839 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 37088 W Amalfi Ave Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $1,735 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 37128 W Mondragone Ln Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1409 | $1,450 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 38060 W Frascati Ave Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1790 | $1,995 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 37078 W Mondragone Ln Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1409 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 1d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 38165 W Excussare Way Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $1,995 | $1.27 | 5d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 38128 W San Sisto Ave Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1593 | $1,995 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 36837 W Mediterranean Way Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,595 | $1.25 | 1d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 36837 W Mediterranean Way Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,695 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 36822 W Maddaloni Ave Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1825 | $1,775 | $0.97 | 1d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 38105 W Isabella Ln Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1795 | $1,736 | $0.97 | 5d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 36990 W Nola Way Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1769 | $1,639 | $0.93 | 10d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 36605 W Mondragone Ln Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,595 | $1.36 | 10d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 38248 W Santa Clara Ave Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,150 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 36355 W Mediterranean Way Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $2,050 | $1.45 | 1d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 36419 W San Ildefanso Ave Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1849 | $1,795 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 17589 N Del Mar Ave Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1177 | $1,895 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 36085 W San Sisto Ave Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1605 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 1d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 18853 N Vemto St Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2233 | $1,895 | $0.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 35963 W San Alvarez Ave Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1922 | $1,995 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 36043 W Santa Clara Ave Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,895 | $1.11 | 1d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 37014 W Prado St Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,700 | $1.08 | 16d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 36972 W Prado St Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,700 | $1.08 | 16d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 37043 W Vera Cruz Dr Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1832 | $2,300 | $1.26 | 1d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 36033 W San Clemente Ave Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1775 | $1,700 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 19270 N Costa Verdez Ave Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,610 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 19270 N Costa Verdez Ave Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,730 | $1.42 | 1d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 18392 N Los Gabrieles Way Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1662 | $1,785 | $1.07 | 4d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 36635 W Honeycutt Rd Maricopa, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 972 | $2,259 | $2.32 | 1d | 82 | 1.27mi |
| 35579 W San Capistrano Ave Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1662 | $1,650 | $0.99 | 5d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 18099 N Los Gabrieles Way Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,000 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 35423 W San Sisto Ave Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1571 | $1,950 | $1.24 | 4d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 35420 W San Alvarez Ave Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1571 | $1,800 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 35408 W San Alvarez Ave Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,599 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $84 · $1,008/yr
- Likely covers
- trash
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $299,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $295,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $295,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $295,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $295,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $295,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $295,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $295,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $295,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-10price $295,000 796-char remark
Show marketing remark (796 chars)
**** ASK ABOUT OUR 2/1 RATE BUYDOWN OPPORTUNITY **** Beautifully remodeled home with new plank style tile flooring in all common areas and bathrooms, plush new carpet with upgraded 1/2 inch padding in bedrooms, and all new baseboards throughout home. A signature upgrade in the home is the matching tiled bathroom showers. Kitchen features matching stainless steel appliances and a large center island. Other features include new recessed LED lighting throughout home, new matching ceiling fans, matching 2 inch white blinds throughout home, new garbage disposal, new kitchen faucet, etc. This home looks clean, fresh and modern with neutral color tones and a new two toned interior paint job as well. Lot features a huge rocked in backyard ready to accommodate whatever your heart desires.
-
2026-04-22price $299,900 796-char remark
Show marketing remark (796 chars)
**** ASK ABOUT OUR 2/1 RATE BUYDOWN OPPORTUNITY **** Beautifully remodeled home with new plank style tile flooring in all common areas and bathrooms, plush new carpet with upgraded 1/2 inch padding in bedrooms, and all new baseboards throughout home. A signature upgrade in the home is the matching tiled bathroom showers. Kitchen features matching stainless steel appliances and a large center island. Other features include new recessed LED lighting throughout home, new matching ceiling fans, matching 2 inch white blinds throughout home, new garbage disposal, new kitchen faucet, etc. This home looks clean, fresh and modern with neutral color tones and a new two toned interior paint job as well. Lot features a huge rocked in backyard ready to accommodate whatever your heart desires.
-
2026-04-15price $305,000 796-char remark
Show marketing remark (796 chars)
**** ASK ABOUT OUR 2/1 RATE BUYDOWN OPPORTUNITY **** Beautifully remodeled home with new plank style tile flooring in all common areas and bathrooms, plush new carpet with upgraded 1/2 inch padding in bedrooms, and all new baseboards throughout home. A signature upgrade in the home is the matching tiled bathroom showers. Kitchen features matching stainless steel appliances and a large center island. Other features include new recessed LED lighting throughout home, new matching ceiling fans, matching 2 inch white blinds throughout home, new garbage disposal, new kitchen faucet, etc. This home looks clean, fresh and modern with neutral color tones and a new two toned interior paint job as well. Lot features a huge rocked in backyard ready to accommodate whatever your heart desires.
-
2026-03-24$310,000 Active 796-char remark
Show marketing remark (796 chars)
**** ASK ABOUT OUR 2/1 RATE BUYDOWN OPPORTUNITY **** Beautifully remodeled home with new plank style tile flooring in all common areas and bathrooms, plush new carpet with upgraded 1/2 inch padding in bedrooms, and all new baseboards throughout home. A signature upgrade in the home is the matching tiled bathroom showers. Kitchen features matching stainless steel appliances and a large center island. Other features include new recessed LED lighting throughout home, new matching ceiling fans, matching 2 inch white blinds throughout home, new garbage disposal, new kitchen faucet, etc. This home looks clean, fresh and modern with neutral color tones and a new two toned interior paint job as well. Lot features a huge rocked in backyard ready to accommodate whatever your heart desires.
-
2019-09-15soldstatus $199,990 Closed 553-char remark
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
Check it out. OVERSIZED LOT.. This amazing single level ''smart home'' features a 3 way split floorplan with great room concept! Light and bright with 9 foot ceilings throughout! Kitchen is stunning with modern espresso cabinets, beautiful HUGE kitchen island, GRANITE tile throughout and all stainless steel appliances! Fridge,washer/dryer, blinds, garage remote all included! SMARTHOME TECHNOLOGY includes WIFI T STAT PROGRAMMABLE DOORLOCK, TOUCH SCREEN SMART PANEL FOR 2 CAMERAS, AMAZON ECHO AND DOT! Other FREE extras: FRONT AND BACK LANDSCAPE!
-
2019-07-08status Pending 553-char remark
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
Check it out. OVERSIZED LOT.. This amazing single level ''smart home'' features a 3 way split floorplan with great room concept! Light and bright with 9 foot ceilings throughout! Kitchen is stunning with modern espresso cabinets, beautiful HUGE kitchen island, GRANITE tile throughout and all stainless steel appliances! Fridge,washer/dryer, blinds, garage remote all included! SMARTHOME TECHNOLOGY includes WIFI T STAT PROGRAMMABLE DOORLOCK, TOUCH SCREEN SMART PANEL FOR 2 CAMERAS, AMAZON ECHO AND DOT! Other FREE extras: FRONT AND BACK LANDSCAPE!
-
2019-06-09$197,990 Active 553-char remark
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
Check it out. OVERSIZED LOT.. This amazing single level ''smart home'' features a 3 way split floorplan with great room concept! Light and bright with 9 foot ceilings throughout! Kitchen is stunning with modern espresso cabinets, beautiful HUGE kitchen island, GRANITE tile throughout and all stainless steel appliances! Fridge,washer/dryer, blinds, garage remote all included! SMARTHOME TECHNOLOGY includes WIFI T STAT PROGRAMMABLE DOORLOCK, TOUCH SCREEN SMART PANEL FOR 2 CAMERAS, AMAZON ECHO AND DOT! Other FREE extras: FRONT AND BACK LANDSCAPE!
-
2017-10-17soldstatus $6,365,000
-
2012-10-03soldstatus $11,950,000
-
2007-11-30soldstatus $5,346,250
-
2005-05-27soldstatus $20,117,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,890 · $158/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,979 · $165/mo
- Expected delta
- +$89/yr (+$7/mo · 4.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,446
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$1,890
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,796
- − Management
- −$1,796
- − HOA
- −$1,008
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable loss
- −$11,066
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,656
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,882/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Maricopa Unified School District (4441)
- NCES district ID
- 0404720
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,725
- Composite
- 22.92/100
- National rank
- #7993
- State rank
- #128 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Maricopa
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #5943
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Maricopa, AZ
- County
- Pinal County · 399,947 people
- City population
- 76,044
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,260
- Household income
- $95,867
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 432.0
Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 437,574 people
- By 2030
- 446,903 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 452,589 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 444,126 · +1.5%
- By 2075
- 430,300 · -1.7%
- By 2100
- 393,536 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 17% Black 13% Native American 3% Asian 3% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinal
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.89%
- Current HPI
- 258.1461
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.78%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Price history
-98.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Price Changed $295,000 ARMLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $299,900 ARMLS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $305,000 ARMLS
- 2026-03-24 Listed $310,000 ARMLS
- 2019-09-15 Sold (MLS) $199,990 ARMLS
- 2019-07-08 Pending — ARMLS
- 2019-06-09 Listed $197,990 ARMLS
- 2017-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $6,365,000 Public Records
- 2012-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $11,950,000 Public Records
- 2007-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $5,346,250 Public Records
- 2005-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $20,117,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+22.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,890 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…