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803 Ripley St
C Composite 58.45
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$152,900

803 Ripley St · Ennis, TX 75119
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,476 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1969 8,450 sqft lot $104/sqft · 43% below area Est $268k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming fixer-upper located on a quiet street in the small town of Ennis, Texas—home of the famous Ennis Bluebonnet Trails Festival, local shops, dining, and small-town charm. This 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home offers great potential for an investor or first-time homebuyer not afraid of a little work and ready to make it their own. Conveniently located close to schools, shopping, and everyday amenities while still enjoying a peaceful neighborhood setting. Less than an hour from Dallas and Fort Worth, making for an easy commute or weekend getaway from the city. With a little vision and TLC, this property could truly shine. Buyer and buyer’s agent to verify all information.

Key facts

  • Quiet street
  • Close to schools
  • Easy commute

Tags

QUIET STREETPEACEFUL NEIGHBORHOODCLOSE TO SCHOOLSCLOSE TO SHOPPINGEASY COMMUTE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2 covered parking spaces (garage)
  • Security: Security system
  • Utilities: Electricity available and connected; Public water available and connected; Public sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-story home; Faces east; Resale property
  • Construction: Cement siding; Composition roof; Block foundation; Built per public records
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Covered front porch; Many trees; Back yard privacy fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Granite counters; Eat-in kitchen; Breakfast bar; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms; Main level primary
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Ceiling fan(s); Eat-in kitchen; Granite counters; Pantry; Storage; Soaking tub; Natural woodwork; Storm windows
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet and laundry room on main level; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $153k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $148 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $153k).
  • Recommended offer: $151k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.5% in Ennis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#304 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Ennis ISD (rural): math 41% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #411 of 826 in TX (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 363 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,016 units permitted in Ellis County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ellis County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($151k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 39% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,606 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
7.46%
Cash-on-cash
4.16%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$267,527
List price
$152,900
Delta
-40.23%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
510 Washington St 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,404 (-5%) 1mo $260,000 $185 76
801 E Tyler St 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,384 (-6%) 10mo $290,000 $210 76
206 E Belknap St 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,442 (-2%) 4mo $175,000 $121 72
1308 N Kaufman St 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,394 (-6%) 1mo $195,000 $140 70
705 E Denton St 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,627 (+10%) 7mo $298,000 $183 69
1308 Daffan Ave 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,550 (+5%) 4mo $260,000 $168 65
603 N Mckinney St 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,593 (+8%) 5mo $178,200 $112 56
907 W Main St 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,326 (-10%) 10mo $68,000 $51 50
609 N Sherman St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,308 (-11%) 8mo $299,000 $229 44
804 N Mckinney St 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,316 (-11%) 8mo $206,000 $157 41
121 Highland Dr 0.75mi 3/1.5 1,304 (-12%) 10mo $199,999 $153 36
409 S Paris St 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,320 (-11%) 10mo $215,000 $163 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.8%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-15,293
Equity at exit
$22,798
10-year hold
IRR
-0.3%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-1,005
Equity at exit
$13,220

Cash invested: $42,812 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75119

Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
363
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,728 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$802
Tax from tax record
$351 /mo · $4,215/yr
Insurance
$64
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$363
Net cashflow
$148

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,540
Max offer price $152,900
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,225
Closing costs
$4,587
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
206 E Belknap St Ennis, TX 3.0 1.0 1442 $1,700 $1.18 43d 1 0.39mi
205 W Gilmer St Ennis, TX 2.0 1.0 1052 $1,495 $1.42 12d 1 0.52mi
205 W Gilmer St Ennis, TX 2.0 1.0 1052 $1,400 $1.33 7d 1 0.52mi
110 W Knox St Unit 202 Ennis, TX 2.0 1.0 882 $1,400 $1.59 24d 1 0.62mi
2000 N Kaufman St Ennis, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0 821 $1,300 $1.58 1d 6 0.73mi
136 Highland Dr Ennis, TX 3.0 1.0 1181 $1,600 $1.35 43d 1 0.77mi
136 Highland Dr Ennis, TX 3.0 1.0 1181 $1,600 $1.35 12d 1 0.77mi
508 W Baylor St Apt B Ennis, TX 3.0 2.0 1260 $1,495 $1.19 22d 1 0.80mi
2001 Floyd St Ennis, TX 4.0 2.0 1350 $1,641 $1.22 1d 1 0.81mi
1203 N Clay St Unit 122 Ennis, TX 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 43d 1 0.90mi
715 W Tyler St Unit 715 Ennis, TX 4.0 1.5 1000 $1,700 $1.70 43d 1 0.90mi
1309 N Clay St Ennis, TX 3.0 2.0 1609 $1,650 $1.03 1d 1 0.93mi
1050 E Burnett St Unit 1B Ennis, TX 3.0 2.0 1164 $1,595 $1.37 43d 1 0.93mi
910 W Knox St Unit B Ennis, TX 2.0 2.0 1248 $1,750 $1.40 43d 1 1.08mi
710 W Waco St Ennis, TX 3.0 2.0 1092 $1,750 $1.60 12d 1 1.16mi
517 Cherry Ln Ennis, TX 4.0 2.0 1440 $1,975 $1.37 12d 1 1.17mi
914 S Chatfield St Ennis, TX 2.0 2.0 948 $1,595 $1.68 6d 1 1.38mi
1500 W Baldridge St Ennis, TX 3.0 2.0 1602 $1,800 $1.12 43d 1 1.40mi
1409 Fantail Ln Ennis, TX 3.0 2.0 1346 $1,795 $1.33 43d 1 1.45mi
2402 Woodlawn Dr Ennis, TX 3.0 2.0 1752 $2,000 $1.14 22d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $152,900 Active 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $152,900 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $152,900 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $152,900 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $152,900 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-04
    days on market $152,900 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $152,900 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $152,900 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $152,900 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $152,900 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-05-18
    listed $159,900 Active 691-char remark
  12. 2026-05-13
    listed $159,900 Active 691-char remark
  13. 2026-05-13
    listed $159,900 Active
  14. 2026-05-06
    listed $159,900 Active
  15. 2021-02-09
    soldstatus
  16. 2021-01-28
    soldstatus Sold
  17. 2021-01-18
    status Pending
  18. 2021-01-03
    historical Active Option Contract
  19. 2020-12-28
    listed $145,000 Active
  20. 2017-02-28
    soldstatus Sold
  21. 2017-02-09
    status Pending
  22. 2017-01-26
    status Active
  23. 2017-01-11
    status Pending
  24. 2016-12-23
    price $44,900
  25. 2016-11-16
    price $54,900
  26. 2016-10-14
    price $63,900
  27. 2016-09-13
    listed $78,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,215 · $351/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,215 · $351/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 39% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,736
− Mortgage interest
−$8,565
− Property taxes
−$4,215
− Insurance
−$764
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,659
− Management
−$1,659
− Depreciation
−$4,448
Taxable loss
−$574
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$138
After-tax cash flow
$1,917/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ennis ISD
NCES district ID
4818540
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,105
Composite
34.14/100
National rank
#5283
State rank
#411 of 826 in TX

Livability — Ennis

Score
71/100
State rank
#304
US rank
#6893

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ennis, TX
County
Ellis County · 199,237 people
City population
31,866
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
31,866
Household income
$77,053
Rent vs Own
31.1% rent · 68.9% own
Severe rent burden
784.0

Population outlook (Ellis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
194,556 people
By 2030
209,679 · +7.8%
By 2040
238,837 · +22.8%
By 2050
265,451 · +36.4%
By 2075
326,571 · +67.9%
By 2100
362,156 · +86.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 13% Black 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 37%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada
Languages at home
69% English-only · Spanish 29% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ellis

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.0% · R 65.1%
2008→2024 swing
+11.2pp toward D · 2008: -42.2pp · 2024: -31.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.1 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+45.4 2012: R+47.5 2008: R+42.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -207.30%
Current HPI
253.0134
Rent YoY
▲ 2.95%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+93.8% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-06-15 Listing Removed CTXMLS
  • 2026-06-06 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2026-06-05 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-06-02 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-05-25 Price Changed $152,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-25 Price Changed Unlock MLS
  • 2026-05-25 Price Changed $152,900 HARMLS
  • 2026-05-25 Price Changed $152,900 CTXMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Listed Unlock MLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $159,900 HARMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $159,900 CTXMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $159,900 NTREIS
  • 2021-02-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-01-28 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2021-01-18 Pending NTREIS
  • 2021-01-03 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2020-12-28 Listed $145,000 NTREIS
  • 2017-02-28 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2017-02-09 Pending NTREIS
  • 2017-01-26 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2017-01-11 Pending NTREIS
  • 2016-12-23 Price Changed $44,900 NTREIS
  • 2016-11-16 Price Changed $54,900 NTREIS
  • 2016-10-14 Price Changed $63,900 NTREIS
  • 2016-09-13 Listed $78,900 NTREIS

Property tax history

+8.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,215 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…