8437 Bedford Rd · Riviera Beach, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 63.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$330,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Seller says sell after this dramatic Price Reduction for this home loc in water privledged community of Sunset Beach. This Colonial, constructed in 1995, boast 3 BR 2.5 BA, lovely Kitchen, dining area and lrg Deck w/ large backyard and quaint patio. A water filtration system, rec room w/ dry bar and heatilator FP are extra features in this well cared for home.
Key facts
- 4,000 sq ft lot
- Built 1995
- Listed 2 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Above-grade finished area recorded as 1,240 (source: assessor); Below-grade finished area and unfinished area recorded (600 below-grade); Year built source: assessor; Property assessed and tax details recorded
- HOA & community: HOA fee frequency unknown
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric hot water
- Home design: Detached property; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Combination construction materials; Permanent foundation
- Exterior features: Driveway; Above-grade and below-grade structures noted
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump(s) heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Fully finished basement; Not in a federal flood zone; Accessibility features present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $330k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $6 ($72/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $272k (17.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $272k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#280 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, cost of living D, schools D-.
- Anne Arundel County Public Schools (suburban): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #10 of 24 in MD (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 254 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,303 units permitted in Anne Arundel County in 2024 (299 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Anne Arundel County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.08%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $395,560
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8437 Bedford Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,240 (0%) | 1mo | $337,300 | $272 | 99 |
| 8413 Bedford Rd | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,340 (+8%) | 4mo | $400,000 | $299 | 75 |
| 8440 Spring Rd | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,368 (+10%) | 9mo | $470,000 | $344 | 70 |
| 8504 Jenkins Rd | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+1%) | 1mo | $425,000 | $341 | 69 |
| 8426 Smallwood Ct | 0.13mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,380 (+11%) | 6mo | $333,050 | $241 | 61 |
| 163 Park Rd | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,180 (-5%) | 14mo | $377,000 | $319 | 52 |
| 8435 Church Rd | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,104 (-11%) | 10mo | $355,000 | $322 | 50 |
| 8437 Church Rd | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,122 (-10%) | 14mo | $395,000 | $352 | 46 |
| 8528 Main Ave | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,304 (+5%) | 11mo | $414,500 | $318 | 44 |
| 103 Arundel Rd | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,392 (+12%) | 3mo | $379,900 | $273 | 43 |
| 214 Dale Rd | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,136 (-8%) | 10mo | $420,000 | $370 | 39 |
| 181 Roland Rd | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,424 (+15%) | 7mo | $435,000 | $305 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.76% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-59,134
- Equity at exit
- $49,204
- IRR
- -15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-74,704
- Equity at exit
- $28,532
Cash invested: $92,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21122
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 254
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,720 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,731
- Tax from tax record
- −$274 /mo · $3,294/yr
- Insurance
- −$138
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$571
- Net cashflow
- $6
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $193 | -5% $99 | +0% $6 | +5% $-87 | +10% $-181 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-209 | -5% $-101 | +0% $6 | +5% $113 | +10% $221 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $172 | -0.5pp $90 | base $6 | +0.5pp $-80 | +1.0pp $-167 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,500
- Closing costs
- $9,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 959 Mount Desert Harbour Pasadena, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $2,600 | $1.86 | 25d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 8638 Gambier Harbour Pasadena, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $2,700 | $1.93 | 0d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 8436 Bay Dr Pasadena, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1004 | $3,200 | $3.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 8582 Beacon Point Rd Pasadena, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1159 | $2,650 | $2.29 | 3d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1122 Hilltop Rd Orchard Beach, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1041 | $2,399 | $2.30 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 329 Bar Harbor Rd Pasadena, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $2,050 | $1.37 | 16d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 329 Bar Harbor Rd Pasadena, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $2,150 | $1.43 | 11d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 216 Dunlap Rd Pasadena, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $3,000 | $2.70 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1346 Riverwood Way Stoney Beach, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,700 | $1.80 | 5d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1346 Riverwood Way Stoney Beach, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,700 | $1.80 | 4d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1346 Riverwood Way Stoney Beach, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $2,700 | $1.80 | 0d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 7810 East Rd Pasadena, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 832 | $2,500 | $3.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 7810 East Rd Pasadena, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 832 | $2,500 | $3.00 | 0d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 7707 Warsaw Ave Glen Burnie, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $2,400 | $2.60 | 12d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending
-
2026-05-11$330,000 Active
-
2006-08-02soldstatus $309,500
-
2006-08-02soldstatus $309,500
-
2006-07-23soldstatus $309,500 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
Seller says sell after this dramatic Price Reduction for this home loc in water privledged community of Sunset Beach. This Colonial, constructed in 1995, boast 3 BR 2.5 BA, lovely Kitchen, dining area and lrg Deck w/ large backyard and quaint patio. A water filtration system, rec room w/ dry bar and heatilator FP are extra features in this well cared for home.
-
2006-06-24historical 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
Seller says sell after this dramatic Price Reduction for this home loc in water privledged community of Sunset Beach. This Colonial, constructed in 1995, boast 3 BR 2.5 BA, lovely Kitchen, dining area and lrg Deck w/ large backyard and quaint patio. A water filtration system, rec room w/ dry bar and heatilator FP are extra features in this well cared for home.
-
2006-04-22$309,500 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
Seller says sell after this dramatic Price Reduction for this home loc in water privledged community of Sunset Beach. This Colonial, constructed in 1995, boast 3 BR 2.5 BA, lovely Kitchen, dining area and lrg Deck w/ large backyard and quaint patio. A water filtration system, rec room w/ dry bar and heatilator FP are extra features in this well cared for home.
-
2004-11-09soldstatus $258,000
-
2004-11-09soldstatus $258,000
-
2004-10-22soldstatus $258,000 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
REDUCED!COLONIAL W/ COMMUNITY BEACH & BOAT PIER PRIV. UPGRADED CARPET(NEW), TILE & FRESHLY PAINTED THROUGHOUT. COUNTRY STYLE KITCHEN W/ //NEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES & BREAKFAST BAR. LL FULLY FINISHED W/ CUSTOM MARBLE TOP BAR, WAINSCOT & BAR LEDGE. NEW WASHER/DRYER. FRENCH DOORS FROM DINING ROOM TO DECK, PATIO, SHED & NEW LATTICE TOP FENCE. MULTI PHONE/CABLE LINES, APPLIANCE WARR CONVEY TO YOU, PLUS AHS WARR
-
2004-09-12historical 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
REDUCED!COLONIAL W/ COMMUNITY BEACH & BOAT PIER PRIV. UPGRADED CARPET(NEW), TILE & FRESHLY PAINTED THROUGHOUT. COUNTRY STYLE KITCHEN W/ //NEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES & BREAKFAST BAR. LL FULLY FINISHED W/ CUSTOM MARBLE TOP BAR, WAINSCOT & BAR LEDGE. NEW WASHER/DRYER. FRENCH DOORS FROM DINING ROOM TO DECK, PATIO, SHED & NEW LATTICE TOP FENCE. MULTI PHONE/CABLE LINES, APPLIANCE WARR CONVEY TO YOU, PLUS AHS WARR
-
2004-08-17$258,000 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
REDUCED!COLONIAL W/ COMMUNITY BEACH & BOAT PIER PRIV. UPGRADED CARPET(NEW), TILE & FRESHLY PAINTED THROUGHOUT. COUNTRY STYLE KITCHEN W/ //NEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES & BREAKFAST BAR. LL FULLY FINISHED W/ CUSTOM MARBLE TOP BAR, WAINSCOT & BAR LEDGE. NEW WASHER/DRYER. FRENCH DOORS FROM DINING ROOM TO DECK, PATIO, SHED & NEW LATTICE TOP FENCE. MULTI PHONE/CABLE LINES, APPLIANCE WARR CONVEY TO YOU, PLUS AHS WARR
-
2001-07-26historical
-
2001-07-10
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,294 · $274/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,445 · $287/mo
- Expected delta
- +$152/yr (+$13/mo · 4.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,635
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,485
- − Property taxes
- −$3,294
- − Insurance
- −$1,650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,611
- − Management
- −$2,611
- − Depreciation
- −$9,600
- Taxable loss
- −$5,615
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,348
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,419/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Anne Arundel County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400060
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $87,880
- Composite
- 28.52/100
- National rank
- #6733
- State rank
- #10 of 24 in MD
Livability — Riviera Beach
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #280
- US rank
- #14429
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Riviera Beach, MD
- County
- Anne Arundel County · 535,653 people
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 61,566
- Household income
- $127,587
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 791.0
Population outlook (Anne Arundel County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 617,384 people
- By 2030
- 642,094 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 686,621 · +11.2%
- By 2050
- 723,031 · +17.1%
- By 2075
- 809,346 · +31.1%
- By 2100
- 837,658 · +35.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Two or more races 7% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Anne Arundel
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.9) · D 55.7% · R 41.7% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +15.7pp toward D · 2008: -1.8pp · 2024: 13.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.9 2020: D+14.5 2016: D+0.7 2012: R+0.9 2008: R+1.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -401.00%
- Current HPI
- 283.1566
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.76%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+27.9% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $330,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $309,500 Public Records
- 2006-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $309,500 Public Records
- 2006-07-23 Sold (MLS) $309,500 MRIS
- 2006-06-24 Delisted — MRIS
- 2006-04-22 Listed $309,500 MRIS
- 2004-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $258,000 Public Records
- 2004-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $258,000 Public Records
- 2004-10-22 Sold (MLS) $258,000 MRIS
- 2004-09-12 Delisted — MRIS
- 2004-08-17 Listed $258,000 MRIS
- 2001-07-26 Delisted — MRIS
- 2001-07-10 Listed — MRIS
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,294 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…