9130 W 140th St Unit 2NE · Orland Park, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1980
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Building contains 12 units
- Financial info: Homeowner tax exemption
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Managed by off-site manager; Pets allowed (cats and dogs), max pet weight 25 lbs
Exterior
- Parking: Two parking spaces; Asphalt parking lot with off-street, unassigned spaces
- Utilities: Water from Lake Michigan / public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Attached single condo; Entry level on second floor; Fee simple ownership; Rehab completed in 2026
- Construction: Brick construction; Property age: 41–50 years
- Exterior features: Common grounds
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on second level (6 x 10) with vinyl flooring
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on second level (14 x 11) with vinyl flooring; Second bedroom on second level (12 x 10) with vinyl flooring; Additional bedrooms listed
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring throughout main rooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Five total rooms; School bus service available
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.3% in Orland Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#29 in IL, #529 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+.
- Cons Hsd 230 (suburban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #146 of 620 in IL (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Carl Sandburg High School (math 41% / reading 45%, grade F, #72 of 693 statewide, top 10%, 2,894 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 101 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $82k; list at $190k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.15%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-17,446
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- -5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-15,659
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60462
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 101
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,409 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$165 /mo · $1,985/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$346
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$506
- Net cashflow
- $317
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $424 | -5% $371 | +0% $317 | +5% $263 | +10% $209 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $127 | -5% $222 | +0% $317 | +5% $412 | +10% $507 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $412 | -0.5pp $365 | base $317 | +0.5pp $268 | +1.0pp $218 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9510 140th St Orland Park, IL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1364 | $3,138 | $2.30 | 2d | 7 | 0.40mi |
| 9750 Crescent Park Cir Orland Park, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $2,325 | $3.08 | 3d | 1 | 0.81mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-06-18$189,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,985 · $165/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,148 · $262/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,163/yr (+$97/mo · 58.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,910
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$1,985
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,313
- − Management
- −$2,313
- − HOA
- −$4,152
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable income
- $1,036
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$249
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,554/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cons Hsd 230
- NCES district ID
- 1708400
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,953
- Composite
- 34.29/100
- National rank
- #5244
- State rank
- #146 of 620 in IL
Livability — Orland Park
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #29
- US rank
- #529
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Orland Park, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 41,456
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,456
- Household income
- $96,526
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 668.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 6% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 17% Armenian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 7% Arabic 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -198.71%
- Current HPI
- 203.5329
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.17%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+258.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $189,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1997-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records
- 1990-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $6,360,000 Public Records
- 1988-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2023): $1,985 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…