2228 22nd Ave N · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- ARV discount +2.7/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.1/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ready to add to your rental portfolio? Check out this investment property! Long term tenant in place (6+ years). No showings until contract in place. Please DO NOT DISTURB TENANT.
Key facts
- 6,969 sq ft lot
- Built 1935
- Listed 304 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($925 rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 304 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $65k implies a 313% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 304 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.46%
- DSCR
- 1.78
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $58,721
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- 10.69%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2212 22nd Ave N | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 | 1,170 (-1%) | 12mo | $42,500 | $36 | 87 |
| 2212 20th St N | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,141 (-4%) | 13mo | $45,000 | $39 | 72 |
| 2418 Finley Blvd | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (-3%) | 20mo | $50,000 | $44 | 60 |
| 1626 19th St N | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,242 (+5%) | 8mo | $40,000 | $32 | 60 |
| 2107 16th Ave N | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (-5%) | 18mo | $115,000 | $103 | 54 |
| 2208 N 14th Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,170 (-1%) | 17mo | $180,000 | $154 | 45 |
| 2700 24th St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-11%) | 20mo | $82,500 | $78 | 40 |
| 2129 N 30th Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,042 (-12%) | 9mo | $45,000 | $43 | 36 |
| 1402 21st St | 0.66mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,283 (+8%) | 20mo | $60,000 | $47 | 34 |
| 1616 26th Ave N | 0.73mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,343 (+13%) | 19mo | $77,000 | $57 | 21 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $6,356
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $27,349
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35234
- Home prices YoY
- -3.8%
- Active inventory
- 54
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $925 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,177/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$194
- Net cashflow
- $265
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2300 21st Ave N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $880 | $1.26 | 43d | 2 | 0.06mi |
| 2000 Stouts Rd Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $880 | $1.26 | 43d | 2 | 0.11mi |
| 2428 21st Ave N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $975 | $1.39 | 10d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2428 21st Ave N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $975 | $1.39 | 1d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2428 21st Ave N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $975 | $1.39 | 2d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2108 25th St N Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $1,300 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1911 19th Ct N Apt 1 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $845 | $1.13 | 11d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2212 20th St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1141 | $895 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2400 19th Ave N Unit B Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1909 18th St N Unit 1909 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $799 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1917 18th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $799 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2608 20th Ave N Unit 5 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $875 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2608 20th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1938 18th Pl N Unit 1938 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $799 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1940 18th Pl N Unit 1940 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $799 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1954 18th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $975 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1994 18th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $799 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2004 18th Pl N Unit 2004 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $799 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2010 18th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $799 | $0.89 | 10d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2012 18th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $799 | $0.89 | 10d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1906 18th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $799 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1576 20th St N Apt D Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $725 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1906 15th Ct N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1311 | $1,000 | $0.76 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1742 17th St N Unit 2 Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1608 18th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $950 | $0.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1428 F L Shuttlesworth Dr Fl Shuttlesworth Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 803 | $825 | $1.03 | 23d | 3 | 0.64mi |
| 2413 14th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $675 | $0.94 | 1d | 3 | 0.70mi |
| 1802 14th Ct N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 19d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2129 30th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1042 | $1,000 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3001 Norwood Blvd Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,500 | $1.37 | 3d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1500 12th St N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1625 29th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $1,200 | $1.05 | 15d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2129 30th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1042 | $1,000 | $0.96 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1444 31st St N Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,295 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 353 16th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $995 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1305 16th St N Unit 1305 D Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $595 | $0.72 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3311 16th Ave N Unit 3321 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3311 16th Ave N Unit 3317 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3311 16th Ave N Unit 3323 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 1d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1317 11th St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1340 | $1,200 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 303 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $65,000 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-03-20price $65,000 179-char remark
Show marketing remark (179 chars)
Ready to add to your rental portfolio? Check out this investment property! Long term tenant in place (6+ years). No showings until contract in place. Please DO NOT DISTURB TENANT.
-
2026-02-02status Active 179-char remark
Show marketing remark (179 chars)
Ready to add to your rental portfolio? Check out this investment property! Long term tenant in place (6+ years). No showings until contract in place. Please DO NOT DISTURB TENANT.
-
2025-12-02historical Contingent 179-char remark
Show marketing remark (179 chars)
Ready to add to your rental portfolio? Check out this investment property! Long term tenant in place (6+ years). No showings until contract in place. Please DO NOT DISTURB TENANT.
-
2025-08-18$75,000 Active 179-char remark
Show marketing remark (179 chars)
Ready to add to your rental portfolio? Check out this investment property! Long term tenant in place (6+ years). No showings until contract in place. Please DO NOT DISTURB TENANT.
-
2019-02-27soldstatus $15,750 14-char remark
Show marketing remark (14 chars)
FOR COMPS ONLY
-
2019-02-21$15,750 14-char remark
Show marketing remark (14 chars)
FOR COMPS ONLY
-
2003-10-03soldstatus $50,000
-
1979-08-01soldstatus $9,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,177 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,177 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,102
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$1,177
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$888
- − Management
- −$888
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $2,291
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$550
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,628/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- City population
- 210,422
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,828
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 80% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.89%
- Current HPI
- 250.4724
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+563.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $65,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-02-02 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-12-02 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-08-18 Listed $75,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2019-02-27 Sold (MLS) $15,750 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2019-02-21 Listed $15,750 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2003-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 1979-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $9,800 Public Records
Property tax history
+18.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,177 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…