5747 Kingsbury St · Dearborn Heights, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.6/30.0
- ARV discount +5.6/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CRESTWOOD SCHOOLS!. LOCATION! LOCATION!LOCATION!. STEP INTO THIS UPDATED 3 BEDROOM 1 BATH BUNGALOW IN HEART OF DEARBORN HEIGHTS. YOU COULDNT ASK FOR A BETTER PRICE, ESPECIALLY IN THIS AREA. LARGE SPACIOUS BACKYARD WITH WOODEN DECK FOR YOUR SUMMER TIME GATHERINGS. WALKING DISTANCE FROM SCHOOLS, PARKS, TRANSPORTATION, AND RESTAURANTS. DO NOT MISS ON A OPPORTUNITY LIKE THIS. IT WILL NOT LAST.
Key facts
- 5,663 sq ft lot
- Built 1937
- Listed 69 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $134 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (8.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $155k (8.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 5.5% in Dearborn Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#82 in MI, #1,885 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+, employment D+.
- Crestwood School District (suburban): math 32% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #242 of 540 in MI (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 143 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $170k implies a 690% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.38%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $162,985
- List price
- $169,900
- Delta
- 4.24%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5955 N Silvery Ln | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 975 (+4%) | 4mo | $224,900 | $231 | 83 |
| 5651 Fenton St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 848 (-10%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $171 | 76 |
| 5939 Robindale Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (-4%) | 4mo | $190,000 | $211 | 75 |
| 6165 Nightingale St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (-8%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $174 | 68 |
| 5903 N Silvery Ln | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 800 (-15%) | 1mo | $144,000 | $180 | 62 |
| 24903 Hass St | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 999 (+6%) | 5mo | $255,000 | $255 | 62 |
| 6556 Drexel St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 988 (+5%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $233 | 58 |
| 6627 Mayburn St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+2%) | 5mo | $160,000 | $167 | 57 |
| 24122 Hass St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 825 (-12%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $218 | 54 |
| 6564 N Waverly St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,014 (+8%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $158 | 48 |
| 6822 N Lafayette St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+15%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $139 | 40 |
| 25659 Baldwin St | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,080 (+15%) | 1mo | $281,000 | $260 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-22,968
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- -9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-24,474
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48127
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,551 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$129 /mo · $1,551/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$326
- Net cashflow
- $134
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5722 Centralia St Dearborn Heights, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 999 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 1d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 7080 Highview St Dearborn Heights, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1105 | $2,000 | $1.81 | 18d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 7014 Kinmore St Dearborn Heights, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,900 | $1.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 23700 W Warren St Dearborn Heights, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,120 | $1.24 | 43d | 2 | 1.00mi |
| 7420 Drexel St Dearborn Heights, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,700 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 7420 Drexel St Dearborn Heights, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,600 | $1.48 | 4d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 7420 Drexel St Dearborn Heights, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,700 | $1.57 | 17d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 181 Terri Dr Unit 181 Dearborn Heights, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $1,119 | $1.33 | 5d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 79 3rd St Unit 79 Dearborn Heights, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,339 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 7466 W Parkway St Redford, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 672 | $1,200 | $1.79 | 2d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 22330 W Warren Ave Redford Charter Twp, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 167 Cherry Valley Dr Inkster, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,395 | $1.78 | 14d | 12 | 1.46mi |
| 26322 Westphal St Dearborn Heights, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 762 | $1,455 | $1.91 | 1d | 24 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,900 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $169,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $169,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-04-10$169,900 Active 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
CRESTWOOD SCHOOLS!. LOCATION! LOCATION!LOCATION!. STEP INTO THIS UPDATED 3 BEDROOM 1 BATH BUNGALOW IN HEART OF DEARBORN HEIGHTS. YOU COULDNT ASK FOR A BETTER PRICE, ESPECIALLY IN THIS AREA. LARGE SPACIOUS BACKYARD WITH WOODEN DECK FOR YOUR SUMMER TIME GATHERINGS. WALKING DISTANCE FROM SCHOOLS, PARKS, TRANSPORTATION, AND RESTAURANTS. DO NOT MISS ON A OPPORTUNITY LIKE THIS. IT WILL NOT LAST.
-
2026-04-10$169,900 Active 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
CRESTWOOD SCHOOLS!. LOCATION! LOCATION!LOCATION!. STEP INTO THIS UPDATED 3 BEDROOM 1 BATH BUNGALOW IN HEART OF DEARBORN HEIGHTS. YOU COULDNT ASK FOR A BETTER PRICE, ESPECIALLY IN THIS AREA. LARGE SPACIOUS BACKYARD WITH WOODEN DECK FOR YOUR SUMMER TIME GATHERINGS. WALKING DISTANCE FROM SCHOOLS, PARKS, TRANSPORTATION, AND RESTAURANTS. DO NOT MISS ON A OPPORTUNITY LIKE THIS. IT WILL NOT LAST.
-
2026-04-03historical $169,900 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
CRESTWOOD SCHOOLS!. LOCATION! LOCATION!LOCATION!. STEP INTO THIS UPDATED 3 BEDROOM 1 BATH BUNGALOW IN HEART OF DEARBORN HEIGHTS. YOU COULDNT ASK FOR A BETTER PRICE, ESPECIALLY IN THIS AREA. LARGE SPACIOUS BACKYARD WITH WOODEN DECK FOR YOUR SUMMER TIME GATHERINGS. WALKING DISTANCE FROM SCHOOLS, PARKS, TRANSPORTATION, AND RESTAURANTS. DO NOT MISS ON A OPPORTUNITY LIKE THIS. IT WILL NOT LAST.
-
2008-04-29soldstatus $21,500
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2008-04-10$18,500
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2008-03-21historical
-
2008-01-23$43,890
-
2008-01-23historical
-
2007-12-03soldstatus $38,782
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2007-01-10$53,000
-
2007-01-10historical
-
2006-12-04$79,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,551 · $129/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,084 · $174/mo
- Expected delta
- +$533/yr (+$44/mo · 34.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,606
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$1,551
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,489
- − Management
- −$1,489
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable loss
- −$1,230
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$295
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,902/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crestwood School District
- NCES district ID
- 2600016
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,101
- Composite
- 32.1/100
- National rank
- #5806
- State rank
- #242 of 540 in MI
Livability — Dearborn Heights
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #1885
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dearborn Heights, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 61,771
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,646
- Household income
- $60,742
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1196.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 8% Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 46% English-only · Arabic 45% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -319.04%
- Current HPI
- 225.9407
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.41%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+112.6% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Listed $169,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-10 Listed $169,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-03 Coming Soon $169,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-04-29 Sold (MLS) $21,500 REALCOMP
- 2008-04-10 Listed $18,500 REALCOMP
- 2008-03-21 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2008-01-23 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2008-01-23 Listed $43,890 REALCOMP
- 2007-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $38,782 Public Records
- 2007-01-10 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-01-10 Listed $53,000 REALCOMP
- 2006-12-04 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,551 · -27.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…