110 Mountainside Dr W · Dawsonville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
COUNTRY RANCH HOME ON LARGE PRIVATE LOT, LARGE OPEN KITCHEN W/NEW CABINETS-STAINED, ISLAND, 3 BD W/1 OVERSIZED BATH
Key facts
- Double pane windows
- Built 1994
- Listed 37 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $367 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
- Recommended offer: $189k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.0% in Dawsonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#155 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Dawson County (rural): math 40% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #30 of 174 in GA (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 573 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 887 units permitted in Dawson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dawson County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $195k implies a 225% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.07%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $332,640
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mountainside Dr E | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+7%) | 0mo | $275,000 | $229 | 76 |
| 290 Silver Fox Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (0%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $290 | 69 |
| 100 Plantation Dr | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,040 (-7%) | 12mo | $355,000 | $341 | 61 |
| 57 Toto Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+7%) | 5mo | $385,000 | $321 | 50 |
| 89 Silver Fox Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,258 (+12%) | 6mo | $285,000 | $227 | 38 |
| 220 Silver Fox Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-14%) | 11mo | $285,000 | $297 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-8,126
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- 5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $23,425
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30534
- Home prices YoY
- -23.0%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 573
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,170 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$244 /mo · $2,925/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$456
- Net cashflow
- $367
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109 Moss Overlook Rd Dawsonville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 1d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $195,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $195,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $195,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $195,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $195,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $195,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $195,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $195,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $195,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $195,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $195,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $195,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $195,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $195,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-12$195,000 Active 233-char remark
-
2009-10-23soldstatus $60,000 115-char remark
Show marketing remark (115 chars)
COUNTRY RANCH HOME ON LARGE PRIVATE LOT, LARGE OPEN KITCHEN W/NEW CABINETS-STAINED, ISLAND, 3 BD W/1 OVERSIZED BATH
-
2009-07-24$58,900 115-char remark
Show marketing remark (115 chars)
COUNTRY RANCH HOME ON LARGE PRIVATE LOT, LARGE OPEN KITCHEN W/NEW CABINETS-STAINED, ISLAND, 3 BD W/1 OVERSIZED BATH
-
2003-11-10soldstatus $80,000
-
2003-11-10soldstatus $80,000
-
2000-06-09soldstatus $100,000
-
1999-07-28soldstatus $67,000
-
1998-10-30soldstatus $51,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,045
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$2,925
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,084
- − Management
- −$2,084
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable income
- $1,382
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$332
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,072/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dawson County
- NCES district ID
- 1301650
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,562
- Composite
- 36.68/100
- National rank
- #4604
- State rank
- #30 of 174 in GA
Livability — Dawsonville
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #155
- US rank
- #9928
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Dawson County · 34,365 people
- City population
- 34,365
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,365
- Household income
- $95,341
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 390.0
Population outlook (Dawson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,423 people
- By 2030
- 26,299 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 27,482 · +8.1%
- By 2050
- 27,937 · +9.9%
- By 2075
- 28,056 · +10.4%
- By 2100
- 26,102 · +2.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dawson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.2) · D 17.1% · R 82.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.0pp toward D · 2008: -66.3pp · 2024: -65.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.2 2020: R+67.9 2016: R+72.2 2012: R+74.3 2008: R+66.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.36%
- Current HPI
- 289.1765
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.03%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+278.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $195,000 FSBO.com
- 2009-10-23 Sold (MLS) $60,000 FMLS
- 2009-07-24 Listed $58,900 FMLS
- 2003-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2003-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2000-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 1999-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
- 1998-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $51,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $124 · +357.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…