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3855 E Chestnut St
B- Composite 67.5
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

3855 E Chestnut St · Kankakee, IL 60901
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · Other · 116 Days on market
0.28 ac lot $62/sqft · 62% below area ↓ 21% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming single-family home in East Kankakee with room to make it your own. Located on a quiet residential street, this property sits on an oversized approx. 0.28-acre lot, offering ample outdoor space. The home features a functional floor plan and solid bones. With some cosmetic updates, there is excellent potential to personalize and build equity. A standout feature is the separate 26x30 insulated structure with electricity, ideal for hobbies, a workshop, storage, or additional workspace. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and downtown Kankakee.

Key facts

  • Near schools
  • Near shopping
  • Near downtown

Tags

OVERSIZED LOTSEPARATE INSULATED STRUCTURENEAR SCHOOLSNEAR SHOPPINGNEAR DOWNTOWN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $673 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $90k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 5.8% in Kankakee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#832 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Kankakee SD 111 (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #584 of 620 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 145 units permitted in Kankakee County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kankakee County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $90,090 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.73%
Cap rate
14.44%
Cash-on-cash
29.11%
DSCR
2.30
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$261,037
List price
$99,000
Delta
-62.07%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.1%
Equity multiple
2.05×
Total profit
$29,233
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
33.7%
Equity multiple
4.28×
Total profit
$90,915
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60901

Home prices YoY
-32.5%
Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,717 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax est. 1.5%
$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$361
Net cashflow
$673

Break-even live

Break-even rent $866
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $741 -5% $707 +0% $673 +5% $638 +10% $604
Rent -10% $537 -5% $605 +0% $673 +5% $740 +10% $808
Rate -1.0pp $722 -0.5pp $698 base $673 +0.5pp $647 +1.0pp $621

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,000 Active 116 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 115 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 114 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 113 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 112 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,000 Active 110 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 109 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,000 Active 107 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 106 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 105 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 104 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 100 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 99 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 98 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 97 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,000 Active 96 DOM
  17. 2026-04-27
    price $110,000 563-char remark
    Show marketing remark (563 chars)

    Charming single-family home in East Kankakee with room to make it your own. Located on a quiet residential street, this property sits on an oversized approx. 0.28-acre lot, offering ample outdoor space. The home features a functional floor plan and solid bones. With some cosmetic updates, there is excellent potential to personalize and build equity. A standout feature is the separate 26x30 insulated structure with electricity, ideal for hobbies, a workshop, storage, or additional workspace. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and downtown Kankakee.

  18. 2026-03-24
    price $130,000 563-char remark
    Show marketing remark (563 chars)

    Charming single-family home in East Kankakee with room to make it your own. Located on a quiet residential street, this property sits on an oversized approx. 0.28-acre lot, offering ample outdoor space. The home features a functional floor plan and solid bones. With some cosmetic updates, there is excellent potential to personalize and build equity. A standout feature is the separate 26x30 insulated structure with electricity, ideal for hobbies, a workshop, storage, or additional workspace. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and downtown Kankakee.

  19. 2026-03-09
    price $140,000 563-char remark
    Show marketing remark (563 chars)

    Charming single-family home in East Kankakee with room to make it your own. Located on a quiet residential street, this property sits on an oversized approx. 0.28-acre lot, offering ample outdoor space. The home features a functional floor plan and solid bones. With some cosmetic updates, there is excellent potential to personalize and build equity. A standout feature is the separate 26x30 insulated structure with electricity, ideal for hobbies, a workshop, storage, or additional workspace. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and downtown Kankakee.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,608
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,485
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,649
− Management
−$1,649
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$6,905
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,657
After-tax cash flow
$6,413/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kankakee SD 111
NCES district ID
1720760
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$37,968
Composite
8.03/100
National rank
#9921
State rank
#584 of 620 in IL

Livability — Kankakee

Score
62/100
State rank
#832
US rank
#16432

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Kankakee County · 61,801 people
City population
33,128
Metro
Kankakee, IL
Population (ZIP)
33,128
Household income
$58,309
Rent vs Own
38.6% rent · 61.4% own
Severe rent burden
1317.0

Population outlook (Kankakee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
105,479 people
By 2030
101,792 · -3.5%
By 2040
93,479 · -11.4%
By 2050
85,061 · -19.4%
By 2075
67,314 · -36.2%
By 2100
52,439 · -50.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 16%

Political lean MEDSL · Kankakee

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.7% · R 59.5% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.5 2016: R+13.3 2012: R+3.4 2008: D+4.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.12%
Current HPI
190.8755
Rent YoY
▲ 4.38%
Metro
Kankakee, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-21.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $110,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $130,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $140,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+15.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $5,488 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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