113 Cedar Ln · Cambridge, VT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $480 – $892
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.9/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable move in ready home on private dirt road. This well-maintained home sits on over an acre of land with plenty of garden space and established perennial beds. A short drive to 108/Route 15 for an easy commute, near new section of Lamoille valley rail trail, and about 15 minutes to smugglers notch resort. Enjoy the quaint village of Jeffersonville offering a variety of local dining, and unique small businesses.
Key facts
- New appliances
- Owned land
- Mature landscaping
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Crushed stone driveway parking
- Utilities: Drilled well water; Septic system; Circuit breaker electrical service; High-speed internet available; Cable available; Fuel delivered by Corse Fuels (kerosene); Electric service by GMP
- Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Existing construction; Facing direction: TBD
- Construction: Built in 1993; Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: City lot in a country setting with views; Crushed stone driveway; Public road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen/dining area; Microwave; Electric range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Kerosene heating; Hot air heating
- Interior features: Five total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $159 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (10.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $171k (10.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 1.0% in Cambridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#87 in VT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living B+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Lamoille County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Lamoille County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $152k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.59%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $113,567
- Equity at exit
- $171,167
- IRR
- 23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.13×
- Total profit
- $326,366
- Equity at exit
- $369,128
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Vermont
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 05464
- Home prices YoY
- 9.2%
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,709 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$115 /mo · $1,382/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$359
- Net cashflow
- $159
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-13status Pending
-
2026-04-08$190,000 Active
-
2023-06-14soldstatus $152,000
-
2023-06-09soldstatus $152,000 Closed 421-char remark
Show marketing remark (421 chars)
Affordable move in ready home on private dirt road. This well-maintained home sits on over an acre of land with plenty of garden space and established perennial beds. A short drive to 108/Route 15 for an easy commute, near new section of Lamoille valley rail trail, and about 15 minutes to smugglers notch resort. Enjoy the quaint village of Jeffersonville offering a variety of local dining, and unique small businesses.
-
2023-04-24historical Active with Contract 421-char remark
Show marketing remark (421 chars)
Affordable move in ready home on private dirt road. This well-maintained home sits on over an acre of land with plenty of garden space and established perennial beds. A short drive to 108/Route 15 for an easy commute, near new section of Lamoille valley rail trail, and about 15 minutes to smugglers notch resort. Enjoy the quaint village of Jeffersonville offering a variety of local dining, and unique small businesses.
-
2023-04-18$139,000 Active 421-char remark
Show marketing remark (421 chars)
Affordable move in ready home on private dirt road. This well-maintained home sits on over an acre of land with plenty of garden space and established perennial beds. A short drive to 108/Route 15 for an easy commute, near new section of Lamoille valley rail trail, and about 15 minutes to smugglers notch resort. Enjoy the quaint village of Jeffersonville offering a variety of local dining, and unique small businesses.
-
2023-04-13soldstatus $100,000
-
2003-12-02soldstatus $79,000 155-char remark
Show marketing remark (155 chars)
1992 14X70 MOBILEHOME ON A NICE 1.13 ACRE OWNED LOT IN THE COUNTRY. SHARED PRIVATE ROAD. SHARED WELL AND SEPTIC. PLEASANT COUNTRY VIEWS. NICE STARTER HOME.
-
2003-10-09$79,500 155-char remark
Show marketing remark (155 chars)
1992 14X70 MOBILEHOME ON A NICE 1.13 ACRE OWNED LOT IN THE COUNTRY. SHARED PRIVATE ROAD. SHARED WELL AND SEPTIC. PLEASANT COUNTRY VIEWS. NICE STARTER HOME.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,382 · $115/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,496 · $208/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,114/yr (+$93/mo · 80.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,505
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$1,382
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,640
- − Management
- −$1,640
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$1,278
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$307
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,217/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Cambridge
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #87
- US rank
- #18183
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,125
Population outlook (Lamoille County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,543 people
- By 2030
- 27,035 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 27,643 · +4.1%
- By 2050
- 27,674 · +4.3%
- By 2075
- 27,012 · +1.8%
- By 2100
- 24,175 · -8.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lamoille
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+35.8) · D 66.3% · R 30.5% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.8pp toward R · 2008: 42.6pp · 2024: 35.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+35.8 2020: D+40.8 2016: D+31.5 2012: D+42.1 2008: D+42.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 26.25%
- Current HPI
- 310.9551
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+139.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Pending — PrimeMLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $190,000 PrimeMLS
- 2023-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $152,000 Public Records
- 2023-06-09 Sold (MLS) $152,000 PrimeMLS
- 2023-04-24 Contingent — PrimeMLS
- 2023-04-18 Listed $139,000 PrimeMLS
- 2023-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2003-12-02 Sold (MLS) $79,000 PrimeMLS
- 2003-10-09 Listed $79,500 PrimeMLS
Property tax history
+18.6%/yrLatest (2024): $1,382 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…