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128 Bettis Ln
D+ Composite 49.93
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$259,900

128 Bettis Ln · Kingston, TN 37763
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,525 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1966 0.45 ac lot $170/sqft · at area comps Est $266k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Wow! Located in the heart of Kingston with a Kitchen straight out of a magazine! -open concept, nice outdoor area, large 2 car garage and a brand new roof! Call this one home today - Beautifully renovated home with too many new items to list!

Key facts

  • 0.45 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1966

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; Attached garage on main level
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family home (not attached)
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction; Other construction materials
  • Exterior features: Rolling slope lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave
  • Flooring: Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump and electric heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Eat-in kitchen; 6 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $325 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (7.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $240k (7.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.8% in Kingston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#205 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Roane County (town): math 30% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #64 of 139 in TN (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 229 units permitted in Roane County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Roane County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($252k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $190k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $240,000 (7.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.79%
Cash-on-cash
5.36%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$266,005
List price
$259,900
Delta
-2.30%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1225 Timber Ln 0.48mi 3/1.5 1,518 (-0%) 7mo $268,000 $177 69
902 Valley Rd 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,352 (-11%) 7mo $273,000 $202 66
678 Peachtree Ln 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,620 (+6%) 18mo $209,000 $129 66
904 Valley Rd 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,408 (-8%) 16mo $290,000 $206 66
511 Patton Ferry Rd 0.36mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,405 (-8%) 2mo $155,900 $111 61
1190 Circle Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,632 (+7%) 5mo $195,000 $119 60
607 Peachtree Rd 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,344 (-12%) 10mo $279,900 $208 58
821 Rosedale Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,500 (-2%) 18mo $295,000 $197 48
813 Sargent Dr 0.27mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,736 (+14%) 18mo $285,000 $164 41
452 Davis Dr 0.54mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,700 (+12%) 22mo $224,900 $132 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.0%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-21,527
Equity at exit
$38,752
10-year hold
IRR
1.5%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$7,481
Equity at exit
$22,471

Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37763

Home prices YoY
-30.8%
Active inventory
151
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,400 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$100 /mo · $1,199/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$504
Net cashflow
$325

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,989
Max offer price $259,900
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $472 -5% $398 +0% $325 +5% $251 +10% $178
Rent -10% $135 -5% $230 +0% $325 +5% $420 +10% $514
Rate -1.0pp $456 -0.5pp $391 base $325 +0.5pp $258 +1.0pp $189

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,975
Closing costs
$7,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
203 W Cumberland St Kingston, TN 2.0 1.0 1094 $2,400 $2.19 44d 1 0.77mi
203 W Cumberland St Kingston, TN 2.0 1.0 1094 $2,400 $2.19 22d 1 0.77mi

Listing history 44 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $259,900 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $259,900 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $259,900 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $259,900 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $259,900 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $259,900 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $259,900 Active 35 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $259,900 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $259,900 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $259,900 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $259,900 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $259,900 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $259,900 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $259,900 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $259,900 Active 24 DOM
  16. 2026-05-06
    listed $259,900 Active 623-char remark
  17. 2026-02-28
    historical
  18. 2026-01-12
    price $269,000
  19. 2025-09-25
    price $284,900
  20. 2025-08-28
    listed $299,900 Active
  21. 2021-04-08
    soldstatus $190,000
  22. 2021-03-26
    soldstatus $190,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    Wow! Located in the heart of Kingston with a Kitchen straight out of a magazine! -open concept, nice outdoor area, large 2 car garage and a brand new roof! Call this one home today - Beautifully renovated home with too many new items to list!

  23. 2021-03-26
    soldstatus $190,000
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    Wow! Located in the heart of Kingston with a Kitchen straight out of a magazine! -open concept, nice outdoor area, large 2 car garage and a brand new roof! Call this one home today - Beautifully renovated home with too many new items to list!

  24. 2021-02-24
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    Wow! Located in the heart of Kingston with a Kitchen straight out of a magazine! -open concept, nice outdoor area, large 2 car garage and a brand new roof! Call this one home today - Beautifully renovated home with too many new items to list!

  25. 2021-02-19
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    Wow! Located in the heart of Kingston with a Kitchen straight out of a magazine! -open concept, nice outdoor area, large 2 car garage and a brand new roof! Call this one home today - Beautifully renovated home with too many new items to list!

  26. 2021-02-07
    historical Pending - Continue to Show - Inspection
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    Wow! Located in the heart of Kingston with a Kitchen straight out of a magazine! -open concept, nice outdoor area, large 2 car garage and a brand new roof! Call this one home today - Beautifully renovated home with too many new items to list!

  27. 2021-01-17
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    Wow! Located in the heart of Kingston with a Kitchen straight out of a magazine! -open concept, nice outdoor area, large 2 car garage and a brand new roof! Call this one home today - Beautifully renovated home with too many new items to list!

  28. 2021-01-10
    historical Pending - Continue to Show - Inspection
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    Wow! Located in the heart of Kingston with a Kitchen straight out of a magazine! -open concept, nice outdoor area, large 2 car garage and a brand new roof! Call this one home today - Beautifully renovated home with too many new items to list!

  29. 2021-01-02
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    Wow! Located in the heart of Kingston with a Kitchen straight out of a magazine! -open concept, nice outdoor area, large 2 car garage and a brand new roof! Call this one home today - Beautifully renovated home with too many new items to list!

  30. 2020-12-18
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    Wow! Located in the heart of Kingston with a Kitchen straight out of a magazine! -open concept, nice outdoor area, large 2 car garage and a brand new roof! Call this one home today - Beautifully renovated home with too many new items to list!

  31. 2020-12-11
    historical Pending - Continue to Show
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    Wow! Located in the heart of Kingston with a Kitchen straight out of a magazine! -open concept, nice outdoor area, large 2 car garage and a brand new roof! Call this one home today - Beautifully renovated home with too many new items to list!

  32. 2020-12-04
    price $189,900
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    Wow! Located in the heart of Kingston with a Kitchen straight out of a magazine! -open concept, nice outdoor area, large 2 car garage and a brand new roof! Call this one home today - Beautifully renovated home with too many new items to list!

  33. 2020-11-29
    price $199,000
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    Wow! Located in the heart of Kingston with a Kitchen straight out of a magazine! -open concept, nice outdoor area, large 2 car garage and a brand new roof! Call this one home today - Beautifully renovated home with too many new items to list!

  34. 2020-11-29
    price $209,000
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    Wow! Located in the heart of Kingston with a Kitchen straight out of a magazine! -open concept, nice outdoor area, large 2 car garage and a brand new roof! Call this one home today - Beautifully renovated home with too many new items to list!

  35. 2020-11-20
    listed $219,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    Wow! Located in the heart of Kingston with a Kitchen straight out of a magazine! -open concept, nice outdoor area, large 2 car garage and a brand new roof! Call this one home today - Beautifully renovated home with too many new items to list!

  36. 2020-09-23
    soldstatus $90,000
  37. 2020-09-18
    soldstatus $90,000 Closed
  38. 2020-09-18
    soldstatus $90,000
  39. 2020-08-23
    status Active
  40. 2020-08-09
    historical Pending - Continue to Show - Inspection
  41. 2020-08-07
    listed $105,000 Active
  42. 2001-11-02
    soldstatus $79,000
  43. 2001-11-02
    soldstatus $79,000
  44. 1998-02-27
    soldstatus $68,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,199 · $100/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,845 · $154/mo
Expected delta
+$646/yr (+$54/mo · 53.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,800
− Mortgage interest
−$14,558
− Property taxes
−$1,199
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,304
− Management
−$2,304
− Depreciation
−$7,561
Taxable loss
−$426
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$102
After-tax cash flow
$4,000/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Roane County
NCES district ID
4703590
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,611
Composite
25.0/100
National rank
#7557
State rank
#64 of 139 in TN

Livability — Kingston

Score
63/100
State rank
#205
US rank
#16055

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kingston, TN
Population (ZIP)
16,394

Population outlook (Roane County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
49,652 people
By 2030
47,648 · -4.0%
By 2040
43,306 · -12.8%
By 2050
39,294 · -20.9%
By 2075
32,318 · -34.9%
By 2100
27,137 · -45.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Roane

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.5) · D 22.1% · R 76.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.3pp toward R · 2008: -36.2pp · 2024: -54.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.5 2020: R+50.9 2016: R+51.1 2012: R+41.3 2008: R+36.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -104.77%
Current HPI
235.9959
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+282.2% since first listed
29 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $259,900 Knoxville MLS
  • 2026-02-28 Listing Removed Knoxville MLS
  • 2026-01-12 Price Changed $269,000 Knoxville MLS
  • 2025-09-25 Price Changed $284,900 Knoxville MLS
  • 2025-08-28 Listed $299,900 Knoxville MLS
  • 2021-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
  • 2021-03-26 Sold (MLS) $190,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-03-26 Sold (MLS) $190,000 Knoxville MLS
  • 2021-02-24 Pending Knoxville MLS
  • 2021-02-19 Relisted Knoxville MLS
  • 2021-02-07 Contingent Knoxville MLS
  • 2021-01-17 Relisted Knoxville MLS
  • 2021-01-10 Contingent Knoxville MLS
  • 2021-01-02 Relisted Knoxville MLS
  • 2020-12-18 Relisted Knoxville MLS
  • 2020-12-11 Contingent Knoxville MLS
  • 2020-12-04 Price Changed $189,900 Knoxville MLS
  • 2020-11-29 Price Changed $199,000 Knoxville MLS
  • 2020-11-29 Price Changed $209,000 Knoxville MLS
  • 2020-11-20 Listed $219,000 Knoxville MLS
  • 2020-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 2020-09-18 Sold (MLS) $90,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-09-18 Sold (MLS) $90,000 Knoxville MLS
  • 2020-08-23 Relisted Knoxville MLS
  • 2020-08-09 Contingent Knoxville MLS
  • 2020-08-07 Listed $105,000 Knoxville MLS
  • 2001-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
  • 2001-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
  • 1998-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,199 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…