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5993 North Fork Rd
B Composite 74.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +1.5/5.0

$60,000

5993 North Fork Rd · Chapmanville, WV 25508
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · SingleFamily · 9 Days on market
Poor condition 0.65 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2005 manufactured home situated on approximately 0.52 acres. This 1,456 sq. ft. home offers 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms with plenty of potential for the right buyer. The property is in need of renovation and repairs, making it an excellent investment opportunity or project for someone looking to customize a home to their liking. Convenient layout, spacious lot, and endless possibilities. Being sold as-is.

Key facts

  • 0.65 acre lot
  • Listed 8 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Single-family residential; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: 0.65-acre lot; Located in Guyan District subdivision

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms; No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $82 ($985/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#178 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Logan County Schools (rural): math 18% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #48 of 55 in WV (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Chapmanville Intermediate School (math 13% / reading 21%, grade F, #363 of 377 statewide, top 97%, 306 students, 0% FRL); Chapmanville Middle School (math 13% / reading 38%, grade F, #75 of 109 statewide, top 73%, 524 students, 0% FRL); Chapmanville Regional High School (math 12% / reading 42%, grade F, #79 of 110 statewide, top 78%, 721 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 49% district-wide (49 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (6.0% local appreciation)).
  • Logan County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 8→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $60,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.95%
Cap rate
16.47%
Cash-on-cash
36.33%
DSCR
2.62
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.04% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.5%
Equity multiple
2.37×
Total profit
$22,979
Equity at exit
$37,875
10-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
4.81×
Total profit
$64,014
Equity at exit
$68,819

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25508

Home prices YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
23
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,169 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $900/yr
Insurance
$25
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$82

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,065
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $124 -5% $103 +0% $82 +5% $61 +10% $41
Rent -10% $-10 -5% $36 +0% $82 +5% $128 +10% $174
Rate -1.0pp $112 -0.5pp $97 base $82 +0.5pp $67 +1.0pp $51

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $60,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $60,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    remarks 412-char remark
  9. 2026-06-13
    listed $60,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥100°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,025
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$900
− Insurance
−$5,418
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,122
− Management
−$1,122
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$356
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$85
After-tax cash flow
$900/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Poor 30/100 Extensive rehab

This 2005 manufactured home requires extensive renovation and repairs, making it an excellent investment opportunity for someone looking to customize a home to their liking.

Repairs flagged

  • Major kitchen cabinets — Damaged and unsafe
  • Major bathroom tiles — Damaged and unsafe
  • Moderate HVAC system — No visible damage but may need cleaning

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal
  • Resale Replace kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Resale Replace bathroom tiles — New tiles improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · Damaged and unsafe Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom tiles · Damaged and unsafe Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC system · No visible damage but may need cleaning Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $33,000–115,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal
  • Resale Replace kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Resale Replace bathroom tiles — New tiles improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Logan County Schools
NCES district ID
5400690
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$36,127
Composite
20.68/100
National rank
#8531
State rank
#48 of 55 in WV

Livability — Chapmanville

Score
62/100
State rank
#178
US rank
#16281

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,282

Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
30,218 people
By 2030
27,848 · -7.8%
By 2040
23,262 · -23.0%
By 2050
19,582 · -35.2%
By 2075
12,739 · -57.8%
By 2100
7,787 · -74.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Logan

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.7) · D 16.1% · R 82.8% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-55.9pp toward R · 2008: -10.8pp · 2024: -66.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.7 2020: R+63.0 2016: R+63.2 2012: R+39.7 2008: R+10.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.04%
Current HPI
156.5895
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $60,000 KVBOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…