18927 Wicklow Cir · Athens, AL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- Cash flow +7.3/30.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$255,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Under Construction-The Kerry is a 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom, with 1,537 sq ft with a 2-car garage. Two front bedrooms share a bath, ideal for guests or an office. The open concept layout connects the dining, kitchen, and living areas. The kitchen includes a breakfast bar, granite or quartz counters, stainless appliances, and a pantry. The primary suits offers a walk in closet and dual vanities. Smart home features come included. Photos may be of a similar home and for representational purposes only.
Key facts
- Dual vanities
- Stainless appliances
- Walk in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $256k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-345 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $206k (19.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (28.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $183k (28.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.5% in Athens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#18 in AL, #4,019 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
- Limestone County (rural): math 21% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #52 of 129 in AL (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Creekside Elementary School (math 42% / reading 66%, grade C, #96 of 627 statewide, top 16%, 560 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 41% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 54% at this address vs 32% district-wide (+22 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Limestone County average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 1031 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 494 units permitted in Limestone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Limestone County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($225k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.78%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $268,159
- List price
- $255,900
- Delta
- -2.71%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25675 Finchley Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,535 (-0%) | 2mo | $253,505 | $165 | 94 |
| 25690 Finchley Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,535 (-0%) | 2mo | $253,875 | $165 | 92 |
| 25721 Finchley Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,535 (-0%) | 4mo | $241,590 | $157 | 91 |
| 25698 Finchley Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,535 (-0%) | 4mo | $259,615 | $169 | 90 |
| 19977 Wicklow Cir | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,535 (-0%) | 1mo | $249,875 | $163 | 82 |
| 19964 Wicklow Cir | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,535 (-0%) | 1mo | $260,305 | $170 | 82 |
| 25709 Finchley Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,679 (+9%) | 3mo | $275,240 | $164 | 77 |
| 25676 Finchley Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,679 (+9%) | 2mo | $283,205 | $169 | 77 |
| 25801 Finchley Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,679 (+9%) | 3mo | $260,190 | $155 | 74 |
| 18509 Wicklow Cir | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,679 (+9%) | 1mo | $287,130 | $171 | 74 |
| 19956 Wicklow Cir | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,679 (+9%) | 0mo | $262,995 | $157 | 74 |
| 19374 Meadows Rd | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (+2%) | 4mo | $295,000 | $188 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-63,392
- Equity at exit
- $38,156
- IRR
- -23.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.16×
- Total profit
- $-83,314
- Equity at exit
- $22,126
Cash invested: $71,652 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 35 active · 16 under contract
- Months of supply
- 9.1 mo (11%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $266,545 ($167/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 558 d
- This list price
- 34% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +4.4% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 35613
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Active inventory
- 1031
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,834 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,342
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$320 /mo · $3,838/yr
- Insurance
- −$107
- HOA
- −$25
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $-345
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-168 | -5% $-257 | +0% $-345 | +5% $-433 | +10% $-522 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-490 | -5% $-417 | +0% $-345 | +5% $-272 | +10% $-200 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-216 | -0.5pp $-280 | base $-345 | +0.5pp $-411 | +1.0pp $-479 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $63,975
- Closing costs
- $7,677
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $255,900 Active 138 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $255,900 Active 137 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $255,900 Active 136 DOM
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2026-08-05price $255,900 Active 135 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $260,900 Active 135 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $260,900 Active 134 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $260,900 Active 133 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $260,900 Active 130 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $260,900 Active 128 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $260,900 Active 126 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $260,900 Active 124 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $260,900 Active 122 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $260,900 Active 121 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $260,900 Active 120 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $260,900 Active 117 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $260,900 Active 115 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $260,900 Active 114 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $260,900 Active 113 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $260,900 Active 112 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $260,900 Active 111 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $260,900 Active 110 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $260,900 Active 109 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $260,900 Active 108 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $260,900 Active 107 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $260,900 Active 106 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $260,900 Active 105 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $260,900 Active 104 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $260,900 Active 103 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $260,900 Active 102 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $260,900 Active 101 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $260,900 Active 100 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $260,900 Active 99 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $260,900 Active 98 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $260,900 Active 97 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $260,900 Active 96 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $260,900 Active 95 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $260,900 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $260,900 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $260,900 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-18remarks 571-char remark
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2026-06-18days on market $260,900 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $260,900 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $260,900 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $260,900 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $260,900 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $260,900 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $260,900 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $260,900 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $260,900 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $260,900 Active 73 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,003
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,334
- − Property taxes
- −$3,838
- − Insurance
- −$1,280
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,760
- − Management
- −$1,760
- − HOA
- −$300
- − Depreciation
- −$7,444
- Taxable loss
- −$8,714
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,091
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,048/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It is move-in ready with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. The highest-ROI updates would be painting the exterior and landscaping, as well as updating the flooring and kitchen appliances.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior brick and siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality ↑
- Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and enhances functionality ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Limestone County
- NCES district ID
- 0102100
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,972
- Composite
- 28.09/100
- National rank
- #6829
- State rank
- #52 of 129 in AL
Livability — Athens
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #4019
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Limestone County · 111,441 people
- City population
- 55,492
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,523
- Household income
- $100,845
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1% of renters
Population outlook (Limestone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,441 people
- By 2030
- 121,272 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 140,705 · +26.3%
- By 2050
- 159,069 · +42.7%
- By 2075
- 202,231 · +81.5%
- By 2100
- 230,608 · +106.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Limestone
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.9) · D 27.5% · R 71.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.0pp toward R · 2008: -41.9pp · 2024: -43.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.9 2020: R+42.6 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+41.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.56%
- Current HPI
- 173.0763
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Listed $260,900 VMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…