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9113 Rosecrans Ave
D+ Composite 45.65
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$20,000

9113 Rosecrans Ave · Bellflower, CA 90706
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 768 sqft · Land public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1955 $26/sqft · 100% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor Special & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; 1 Bed Mobile Home in Bellflower (Fixer Upper) Great opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to customize a space to their liking! This 1-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home features a functional layout with a small living area, gas kitchen, and standing shower. With some vision and renovation, this property has strong potential. ?? Property Highlights: & Acirc; & nbsp; & Acirc; & nbsp; & Acirc; & nbsp; & acirc; & euro; & cent; & Acirc; & nbsp; & Acirc; & nbsp; & Acirc; & nbsp; 1 Bedroom / 1 Bathroom & Acirc; & nbsp; & Acirc; & nbsp; & Acirc; &

Key facts

  • Gas kitchen
  • Standing shower
  • Built 1955

Tags

GAS KITCHENSTANDING SHOWERLOCATED IN BELLFLOWER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath land listed at $20k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $20k).
  • Recommended offer: $19k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 105.4% vs local median 2.5% in Bellflower — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#483 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety D+, crime F.
  • Downey Unified (suburban): math 41% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #481 of 1,400 in CA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 70 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $600 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $19,400 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
11.33%
Cap rate
105.44%
Cash-on-cash
354.11%
DSCR
16.76
GRM
0.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$2,237,142,153
List price
$20,000
Delta
-100.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.79% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
19.14×
Total profit
$101,565
Equity at exit
$2,982
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
40.67×
Total profit
$222,152
Equity at exit
$1,729

Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 90706

Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
70
Price-to-rent
0.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,267 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$105
Tax est. 1.5%
$25 /mo · $300/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$476
Net cashflow
$1,653

Break-even live

Break-even rent $175
Max offer price $20,000
Occupancy floor 22%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,666 -5% $1,659 +0% $1,653 +5% $1,646 +10% $1,639
Rent -10% $1,473 -5% $1,563 +0% $1,653 +5% $1,742 +10% $1,832
Rate -1.0pp $1,663 -0.5pp $1,658 base $1,653 +0.5pp $1,647 +1.0pp $1,642

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,000
Closing costs
$600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 36 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8831 Rosecrans Ave Unit 17 Downey, CA 2.0 1.0 675 $2,150 $3.19 8d 1 0.34mi
9610 Rosecrans Ave Bellflower, CA 2.0 1.0 1050 $3,195 $3.04 44d 1 0.60mi
9200 Somerset Blvd Bellflower, CA 1.0 1.0 600 $1,865 $3.11 8d 1 0.61mi
9308 Somerset Blvd Bellflower, CA 1.0 1.0 650 $1,925 $2.96 19d 1 0.64mi
12709 Lakewood Blvd Unit 107 Downey, CA 2.0 1.5 1110 $2,575 $2.32 44d 1 0.70mi
15109 Ryon Ave Bellflower, CA 2.0 2.0 816 $2,700 $3.31 8d 1 0.83mi
8709 Lyndora St Unit D Downey, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $2,100 $2.80 25d 1 0.87mi
8747 Imperial Hwy Downey, CA 1.0 1.0 551 $1,995 $3.62 17d 1 0.89mi
8350 Gardendale St Paramount, CA 2.0 2.0 920 $2,750 $2.99 17d 1 0.89mi
8721 Imperial Hwy Downey, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 907 $2,358 $2.60 7d 1 0.92mi
13202 Downey Ave Paramount, CA 2.0 2.0 875 $2,550 $2.91 8d 1 0.95mi
8629 Imperial Hwy Downey, CA 1.0 1.0 650 $1,970 $3.03 13d 2 0.96mi
15754 Faculty Ave Unit 1/2 Bellflower, CA 1.0 1.0 600 $2,200 $3.67 25d 1 0.99mi
13940 Paramount Blvd Paramount, CA 1.0 1.0 600 $1,950 $3.25 44d 1 1.21mi
9408 Harvard St Unit 6 Bellflower, CA 2.0 1.0 661 $2,450 $3.71 25d 1 1.23mi
9515 Harvard St Bellflower, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $3,195 $3.55 25d 1 1.23mi
14009 Paramount Blvd Paramount, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 880 $1,950 $2.22 44d 1 1.25mi
13947 Paramount Blvd Paramount, CA 2.0 2.0 900 $2,605 $2.89 44d 1 1.27mi
7950 Howe St Paramount, CA 2.0 2.0 876 $2,350 $2.68 44d 1 1.27mi
9453 Los Angeles St Bellflower, CA 1.0 1.0 750 $2,250 $3.00 44d 1 1.27mi
9649 Harvard St Bellflower, CA 2.0 1.0 720 $2,680 $3.72 11d 1 1.28mi
16245 Lakewood Blvd Bellflower, CA 2.0 1.0 966 $2,402 $2.49 44d 1 1.29mi
13801 Paramount Blvd Paramount, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 899 $2,277 $2.53 2d 10 1.32mi
9700 Harvard St Bellflower, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $2,300 $2.88 44d 1 1.34mi
15153 1/4 Woodruff Pl Bellflower, CA 2.0 2.0 954 $3,100 $3.25 22d 1 1.34mi
9420 Olive St Bellflower, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $2,695 $3.37 25d 1 1.35mi
10129 Foster Rd Unit 15C Downey, CA 2.0 1.0 810 $2,420 $2.99 44d 1 1.38mi
15147 Woodruff Pl Bellflower, CA 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 962 $2,795 $2.90 44d 1 1.39mi
15561 Cornuta Ave Bellflower, CA 1.0 1.0 560 $2,000 $3.57 5d 1 1.42mi
8105 Imperial Hwy Downey, CA 1.0 1.0 800 $2,210 $2.76 44d 3 1.42mi
9563 Mayne St Unit 9565 1/2 Bellflower, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $2,400 $3.00 44d 1 1.43mi
13822 Arthur Ave Paramount, CA 2.0 2.0 817 $2,410 $2.95 25d 1 1.45mi
9815 Imperial Hwy Downey, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $2,195 $2.58 44d 1 1.46mi
12405 Benedict Ave Downey, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 750 $1,895 $2.53 44d 1 1.47mi
10020 Alondra Blvd Bellflower, CA 1.0 1.0 741 $1,925 $2.60 25d 1 1.50mi
9462 Oak St Apt 8 Bellflower, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $2,095 $2.46 16d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    days on market $20,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $20,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $20,000 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $20,000 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $20,000 Active 28 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $20,000 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $20,000 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $20,000 Active 23 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $20,000 Active 22 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $20,000 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $20,000 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $20,000 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-05-12
    listed $20,000 Active 2056-char remark
  14. 2006-12-19
    soldstatus $3,425,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,201
− Mortgage interest
−$1,120
− Property taxes
−$300
− Insurance
−$100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,176
− Management
−$2,176
− Depreciation
−$582
Taxable income
$20,747
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,979
After-tax cash flow
$14,851/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Downey Unified
NCES district ID
0611460
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$61,344
Composite
43.5/100
National rank
#6458
State rank
#481 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Bellflower

Score
62/100
State rank
#483
US rank
#16431

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C+ Housing C+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bellflower, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
76,819
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
76,819
Household income
$78,722
Rent vs Own
60.7% rent · 39.3% own
Severe rent burden
4049.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 61% Two or more races 18% White 13% Asian 12% Black 11% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 50%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
31% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
42% English-only · Spanish 46% Tagalog/Filipino 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -796.81%
Current HPI
407.4327
Rent YoY
▲ 2.79%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2006-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $3,425,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $67,044 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…