9113 Rosecrans Ave · Bellflower, CA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$20,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Special & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; 1 Bed Mobile Home in Bellflower (Fixer Upper) Great opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to customize a space to their liking! This 1-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home features a functional layout with a small living area, gas kitchen, and standing shower. With some vision and renovation, this property has strong potential. ?? Property Highlights: & Acirc; & nbsp; & Acirc; & nbsp; & Acirc; & nbsp; & acirc; & euro; & cent; & Acirc; & nbsp; & Acirc; & nbsp; & Acirc; & nbsp; 1 Bedroom / 1 Bathroom & Acirc; & nbsp; & Acirc; & nbsp; & Acirc; &
Key facts
- Gas kitchen
- Standing shower
- Built 1955
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath land listed at $20k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $20k).
- Recommended offer: $19k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 105.4% vs local median 2.5% in Bellflower — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#483 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety D+, crime F.
- Downey Unified (suburban): math 41% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #481 of 1,400 in CA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 70 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $600 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 11.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 105.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 354.11%
- DSCR
- 16.76
- GRM
- 0.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $2,237,142,153
- List price
- $20,000
- Delta
- -100.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.79% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 19.14×
- Total profit
- $101,565
- Equity at exit
- $2,982
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 40.67×
- Total profit
- $222,152
- Equity at exit
- $1,729
Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 90706
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 0.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,267 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$105
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$25 /mo · $300/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$476
- Net cashflow
- $1,653
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,666 | -5% $1,659 | +0% $1,653 | +5% $1,646 | +10% $1,639 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,473 | -5% $1,563 | +0% $1,653 | +5% $1,742 | +10% $1,832 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,663 | -0.5pp $1,658 | base $1,653 | +0.5pp $1,647 | +1.0pp $1,642 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,000
- Closing costs
- $600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8831 Rosecrans Ave Unit 17 Downey, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $2,150 | $3.19 | 8d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 9610 Rosecrans Ave Bellflower, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $3,195 | $3.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 9200 Somerset Blvd Bellflower, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,865 | $3.11 | 8d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 9308 Somerset Blvd Bellflower, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,925 | $2.96 | 19d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 12709 Lakewood Blvd Unit 107 Downey, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1110 | $2,575 | $2.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 15109 Ryon Ave Bellflower, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 816 | $2,700 | $3.31 | 8d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 8709 Lyndora St Unit D Downey, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,100 | $2.80 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 8747 Imperial Hwy Downey, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 551 | $1,995 | $3.62 | 17d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 8350 Gardendale St Paramount, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $2,750 | $2.99 | 17d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 8721 Imperial Hwy Downey, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 907 | $2,358 | $2.60 | 7d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 13202 Downey Ave Paramount, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $2,550 | $2.91 | 8d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 8629 Imperial Hwy Downey, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,970 | $3.03 | 13d | 2 | 0.96mi |
| 15754 Faculty Ave Unit 1/2 Bellflower, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,200 | $3.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 13940 Paramount Blvd Paramount, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,950 | $3.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 9408 Harvard St Unit 6 Bellflower, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 661 | $2,450 | $3.71 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 9515 Harvard St Bellflower, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,195 | $3.55 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 14009 Paramount Blvd Paramount, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 880 | $1,950 | $2.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 13947 Paramount Blvd Paramount, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,605 | $2.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 7950 Howe St Paramount, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $2,350 | $2.68 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 9453 Los Angeles St Bellflower, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,250 | $3.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 9649 Harvard St Bellflower, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $2,680 | $3.72 | 11d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 16245 Lakewood Blvd Bellflower, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $2,402 | $2.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 13801 Paramount Blvd Paramount, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 899 | $2,277 | $2.53 | 2d | 10 | 1.32mi |
| 9700 Harvard St Bellflower, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,300 | $2.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 15153 1/4 Woodruff Pl Bellflower, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $3,100 | $3.25 | 22d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 9420 Olive St Bellflower, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,695 | $3.37 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 10129 Foster Rd Unit 15C Downey, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $2,420 | $2.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 15147 Woodruff Pl Bellflower, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 962 | $2,795 | $2.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 15561 Cornuta Ave Bellflower, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $2,000 | $3.57 | 5d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 8105 Imperial Hwy Downey, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,210 | $2.76 | 44d | 3 | 1.42mi |
| 9563 Mayne St Unit 9565 1/2 Bellflower, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,400 | $3.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 13822 Arthur Ave Paramount, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 817 | $2,410 | $2.95 | 25d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 9815 Imperial Hwy Downey, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,195 | $2.58 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 12405 Benedict Ave Downey, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,895 | $2.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 10020 Alondra Blvd Bellflower, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 741 | $1,925 | $2.60 | 25d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 9462 Oak St Apt 8 Bellflower, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,095 | $2.46 | 16d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-16days on market $20,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $20,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $20,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $20,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $20,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $20,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $20,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $20,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $20,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $20,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $20,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $20,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$20,000 Active 2056-char remark
-
2006-12-19soldstatus $3,425,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,201
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,120
- − Property taxes
- −$300
- − Insurance
- −$100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,176
- − Management
- −$2,176
- − Depreciation
- −$582
- Taxable income
- $20,747
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,979
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,851/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Downey Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0611460
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,344
- Composite
- 43.5/100
- National rank
- #6458
- State rank
- #481 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Bellflower
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #483
- US rank
- #16431
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bellflower, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 76,819
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 76,819
- Household income
- $78,722
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4049.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 61% Two or more races 18% White 13% Asian 12% Black 11% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 50%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · Spanish 46% Tagalog/Filipino 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -796.81%
- Current HPI
- 407.4327
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.79%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2006-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $3,425,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $67,044 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…