1795 Belleville Rd · Brookdale, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath traditional home nestled in the heart of Orangeburg. This well-maintained residence offers a comfortable floor plan with spacious living areas, a bright kitchen with ample cabinetry, and a cozy dining space perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The primary suite features a private bath and generous closet space, while two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, home office, or family living. Enjoy quiet mornings or evening relaxation in the backyard, ideal for outdoor gatherings or gardening. Conveniently located near local schools, shopping, dining, and downtown Orangeburg, this home delivers small-town charm with everyday convenience. A great
Key facts
- Private bath
- Backyard
- Local schools
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; 2 parking spaces
- Home design: Single-family detached home; One level
- Exterior features: Asphalt roof
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Carpet flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $490 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 3.4% in Brookdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#144 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety B; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Zoned schools: Brookdale Elementary (math 30%, 244 students, 100% FRL); Robert E. Howard Middle (math 10%, 396 students, 100% FRL); Orangeburg Wilkinson High (math 22%, 1,073 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: 226 active listings in the ZIP; 87 units permitted in Orangeburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orangeburg County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.00%
- DSCR
- 1.93
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $216,972
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1787 Belleville Road Rd | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,872 (+6%) | 10mo | $315,000 | $168 | 78 |
| 528 Shadow Lawn Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,638 (-7%) | 17mo | $202,000 | $123 | 58 |
| 397 Brookdale Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.5 | 2,027 (+15%) | 10mo | $145,000 | $72 | 57 |
| 1628 Belleville Rd | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,945 (+10%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $121 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $14,978
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.90×
- Total profit
- $53,102
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29115
- Home prices YoY
- -27.3%
- Active inventory
- 226
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,384 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $445/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $490
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $100,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $100,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $100,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $100,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-01price $100,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-02-26price $129,000
-
2026-01-20$139,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $445 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $570 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- +$125/yr (+$10/mo · 28.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,607
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$445
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,329
- − Management
- −$1,329
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $4,494
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,079
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,803/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Brookdale
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #144
- US rank
- #13512
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brookdale, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,179
Population outlook (Orangeburg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,698 people
- By 2030
- 78,615 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 69,308 · -16.2%
- By 2050
- 60,629 · -26.7%
- By 2075
- 42,678 · -48.4%
- By 2100
- 28,136 · -66.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 76% White 20% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Orangeburg
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 61.8% · R 37.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 38.1pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+33.2 2016: D+37.0 2012: D+43.5 2008: D+38.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.65%
- Current HPI
- 150.823
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-7.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $129,000 Charleston Trident MLS
- 2026-01-20 Listed $139,000 Charleston Trident MLS
Property tax history
-13.8%/yrLatest (2024): $445 · +43.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…