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3706 37th St
D Composite 43.28
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$183,000

3706 37th St · Lubbock, TX 79413
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,734 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 53 Days on market
Built 1955 9,866 sqft lot $106/sqft · at area comps Est $191k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Calling all investors for this opportunity - leased through April 2023. This three bedroom, 2 bath home is charming - with hardwood floors, 6-burner gas range, and 2 car garage. Did we mention there's a workshop? The backyard is made for entertaining. You'll want to put this on your must-see list today.

Key facts

  • Manicured backyard
  • 15x24 shop
  • Storage shed

Tags

MANICURED BACKYARD15X24 SHOPSTORAGE SHEDTWO LIVING AREAS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Paved road access
  • Home design: Single Family Residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built area above grade: 1,734 finished square feet
  • Exterior features: Awning(s); Exterior storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Oven
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling/air circulation
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Storage; Walk-in closet(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $183k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2 ($-19/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $183k (0.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (10.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $165k (10.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#37 in TX, #1,749 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Lubbock ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #481 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Maedgen El (math 37% / reading 27%, grade F, #2,268 of 4,322 statewide, top 55%, 323 students, 91% FRL); Hutchinson Middle (math 57% / reading 63%, grade B, #158 of 1,662 statewide, top 10%, 833 students, 49% FRL); Lubbock H S (math 45% / reading 52%, grade D, #560 of 1,632 statewide, top 35%, 1,839 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools at 65% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($178k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $164,779 (10.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.28%
Cash-on-cash
-0.04%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$191,129
List price
$183,000
Delta
-4.25%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.6%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-31,444
Equity at exit
$27,286
10-year hold
IRR
-11.8%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-34,296
Equity at exit
$15,822

Cash invested: $51,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79413

Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
187
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,648 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$960
Tax from tax record
$267 /mo · $3,209/yr
Insurance
$76
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$346
Net cashflow
$-2

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,650
Max offer price $182,725
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $102 -5% $50 +0% $-2 +5% $-53 +10% $-105
Rent -10% $-132 -5% $-67 +0% $-2 +5% $64 +10% $129
Rate -1.0pp $91 -0.5pp $45 base $-2 +0.5pp $-49 +1.0pp $-97

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,750
Closing costs
$5,490
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3712 37th St Lubbock, TX 4.0 2.0 1672 $2,100 $1.26 45d 1 0.04mi
3812 36th St Unit A Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1458 $1,500 $1.03 23d 1 0.17mi
3620 32nd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1146 $1,200 $1.05 23d 1 0.31mi
3408 38th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1927 $1,895 $0.98 45d 1 0.37mi
3612 44th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1675 $1,850 $1.10 45d 1 0.47mi
4211 41st St Lubbock, TX 4.0 2.0 1960 $1,599 $0.82 45d 1 0.50mi
3404 42nd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1475 $1,500 $1.02 45d 1 0.51mi
3709 28th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1164 $1,400 $1.20 23d 1 0.52mi
4103 30th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1323 $1,250 $0.94 45d 1 0.53mi
4304 32nd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1174 $1,395 $1.19 15d 1 0.57mi
4310 42nd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1754 $1,700 $0.97 45d 1 0.59mi
4315 41st St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1558 $1,450 $0.93 23d 1 0.61mi
3712 47th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1767 $1,400 $0.79 23d 1 0.64mi
3807 26th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1410 $1,500 $1.06 15d 1 0.66mi
3505 46th St Lubbock, TX 2.0 2.0 1686 $1,550 $0.92 45d 1 0.66mi
3126 38th St Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 1248 $1,195 $0.96 45d 1 0.70mi
4413 40th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,350 $1.17 23d 1 0.70mi
3813 25th St Lubbock, TX 4.0 2.0 1467 $1,400 $0.95 15d 1 0.72mi
3114 40th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1488 $1,375 $0.92 45d 1 0.72mi
3417 47th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,550 $1.07 45d 1 0.73mi
3502 26th St Lubbock, TX 2.0 2.0 1152 $1,295 $1.12 45d 1 0.73mi
3418 26th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1335 $1,350 $1.01 23d 1 0.75mi
3108 39th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1504 $1,295 $0.86 23d 1 0.76mi
3302 28th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.5 1660 $1,725 $1.04 23d 1 0.77mi
3319 26th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1520 $1,500 $0.99 45d 1 0.77mi
3312 47th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1880 $1,795 $0.95 45d 1 0.78mi
4428 33rd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.5 1685 $1,375 $0.82 45d 1 0.80mi
3604 24th St Lubbock, TX 4.0 3.0 2038 $2,300 $1.13 23d 1 0.81mi
3101 33rd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 3.0 1250 $999 $0.80 45d 1 0.81mi
4430 33rd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1402 $1,100 $0.78 45d 1 0.81mi
3709 23rd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1107 $950 $0.86 45d 1 0.83mi
3019 33rd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.5 1573 $1,500 $0.95 15d 1 0.83mi
3404 25th St #3 Lubbock, TX 4.0 4.5 2234 $2,400 $1.07 23d 1 0.84mi
3415 49th St Unit B Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1410 $1,350 $0.96 45d 1 0.84mi
4606 35th St Lubbock, TX 4.0 2.0 1684 $1,800 $1.07 45d 1 0.87mi
3019 42nd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1053 $1,250 $1.19 23d 1 0.88mi
3105 44th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1348 $1,375 $1.02 23d 1 0.90mi
3007 32nd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1353 $1,325 $0.98 23d 1 0.91mi
5018 Kenosha Ave Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.5 1245 $1,275 $1.02 15d 1 0.93mi
3119 26th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 3.0 1888 $1,400 $0.74 23d 1 0.94mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $183,000 Active 53 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $183,000 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    price $183,000 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $184,000 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $184,000 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $184,000 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $184,000 Active 45 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $184,000 Active 44 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $184,000 Active 42 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $184,000 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $184,000 Active 40 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $184,000 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $184,000 Active 36 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $184,000 Active 35 DOM
  15. 2026-06-03
    price $184,000 Active 34 DOM
  16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,000 Active 34 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Active 33 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 32 DOM
  19. 2026-05-30
    days on market $185,000 Active 31 DOM
  20. 2026-04-29
    listed $185,000 Active 340-char remark
  21. 2022-06-09
    soldstatus
  22. 2022-06-04
    historical 304-char remark
    Show marketing remark (304 chars)

    Calling all investors for this opportunity - leased through April 2023. This three bedroom, 2 bath home is charming - with hardwood floors, 6-burner gas range, and 2 car garage. Did we mention there's a workshop? The backyard is made for entertaining. You'll want to put this on your must-see list today.

  23. 2022-06-01
    soldstatus Closed 304-char remark
    Show marketing remark (304 chars)

    Calling all investors for this opportunity - leased through April 2023. This three bedroom, 2 bath home is charming - with hardwood floors, 6-burner gas range, and 2 car garage. Did we mention there's a workshop? The backyard is made for entertaining. You'll want to put this on your must-see list today.

  24. 2022-05-03
    historical 304-char remark
    Show marketing remark (304 chars)

    Calling all investors for this opportunity - leased through April 2023. This three bedroom, 2 bath home is charming - with hardwood floors, 6-burner gas range, and 2 car garage. Did we mention there's a workshop? The backyard is made for entertaining. You'll want to put this on your must-see list today.

  25. 2022-04-21
    listed $180,000 304-char remark
    Show marketing remark (304 chars)

    Calling all investors for this opportunity - leased through April 2023. This three bedroom, 2 bath home is charming - with hardwood floors, 6-burner gas range, and 2 car garage. Did we mention there's a workshop? The backyard is made for entertaining. You'll want to put this on your must-see list today.

  26. 2011-04-13
    soldstatus
  27. 2011-03-30
    soldstatus
  28. 2006-10-31
    soldstatus
  29. 2002-09-01
    soldstatus
  30. 2002-03-29
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,209 · $267/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,349 · $279/mo
Expected delta
+$140/yr (+$12/mo · 4.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,773
− Mortgage interest
−$10,251
− Property taxes
−$3,209
− Insurance
−$915
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,582
− Management
−$1,582
− Depreciation
−$5,324
Taxable loss
−$3,088
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$741
After-tax cash flow
$723/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lubbock ISD
NCES district ID
4828500
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$39,820
Composite
31.44/100
National rank
#5984
State rank
#481 of 826 in TX

Livability — Lubbock

Score
80/100
State rank
#37
US rank
#1749

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lubbock, TX
County
Lubbock County · 293,542 people
City population
283,030
Metro
Lubbock, TX
Population (ZIP)
23,343
Household income
$69,400
Rent vs Own
43.9% rent · 56.1% own
Severe rent burden
1211.0

Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
345,960 people
By 2030
371,449 · +7.4%
By 2040
424,539 · +22.7%
By 2050
481,150 · +39.1%
By 2075
633,467 · +83.1%
By 2100
746,853 · +115.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 18% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 10% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -145.52%
Current HPI
239.8854
Rent YoY
▲ 1.94%
Metro
Lubbock, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1.7% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Price Changed $183,000 LARMLS
  • 2026-06-02 Price Changed $184,000 LARMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $185,000 LARMLS
  • 2022-06-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-06-04 Delisted LARMLS
  • 2022-06-01 Sold (MLS) LARMLS
  • 2022-05-03 Delisted LARMLS
  • 2022-04-21 Listed $180,000 LARMLS
  • 2011-04-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2011-03-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-10-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-09-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-03-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,209 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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