75 Long Ln · Mount Sterling, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3-bedroom, 1-bath single wide mobile home sits on a spacious 1-acre lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors. Inside, you'll find durable laminate flooring that adds both style and easy maintenance throughout the home. The property also includes a convenient storage shed, perfect for tools, equipment, or additional storage. With peaceful surroundings and space to spread out, this property offers a great opportunity for first-time buyers, those looking to downsize, or investors seeking a rental addition. Don't miss your chance to make this property your own. Conventional or Cash only
Key facts
- Storage shed
- 1 acre lot
- 1.01 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $472 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 3.5% in Mount Sterling — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#297 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Montgomery County (rural): math 24% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #76 of 165 in KY (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 114 active listings in the ZIP; 56 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $85k implies a 467% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.81%
- DSCR
- 2.06
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $182,498
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -53.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $16,327
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.23×
- Total profit
- $53,033
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40353
- Home prices YoY
- -24.4%
- Active inventory
- 114
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,341 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $472
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $531 | -5% $502 | +0% $472 | +5% $443 | +10% $414 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $366 | -5% $419 | +0% $472 | +5% $525 | +10% $578 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $515 | -0.5pp $494 | base $472 | +0.5pp $450 | +1.0pp $428 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $85,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $85,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-01-13$85,000 Active 604-char remark
Show marketing remark (604 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 1-bath single wide mobile home sits on a spacious 1-acre lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors. Inside, you'll find durable laminate flooring that adds both style and easy maintenance throughout the home. The property also includes a convenient storage shed, perfect for tools, equipment, or additional storage. With peaceful surroundings and space to spread out, this property offers a great opportunity for first-time buyers, those looking to downsize, or investors seeking a rental addition. Don't miss your chance to make this property your own. Conventional or Cash only
-
2021-03-19soldstatus $15,000
-
2015-06-18soldstatus $20,000
-
2015-01-09soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,097
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,275
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,288
- − Management
- −$1,288
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $4,587
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,101
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,567/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 2104250
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,262
- Composite
- 28.32/100
- National rank
- #6782
- State rank
- #76 of 165 in KY
Livability — Mount Sterling
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #297
- US rank
- #14214
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Montgomery County · 22,725 people
- City population
- 22,725
- Metro
- Mount Sterling, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,725
- Household income
- $57,329
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 454.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 29,814 people
- By 2030
- 30,705 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 32,189 · +8.0%
- By 2050
- 33,131 · +11.1%
- By 2075
- 33,991 · +14.0%
- By 2100
- 32,097 · +7.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Scottish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.6) · D 26.0% · R 72.6% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.0pp toward R · 2008: -16.6pp · 2024: -46.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.6 2020: R+41.8 2016: R+41.1 2012: R+26.3 2008: R+16.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.89%
- Current HPI
- 229.2128
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Mount Sterling, KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+325.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-13 Listed $85,000 ImagineMLS
- 2021-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
- 2015-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 2015-01-09 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…