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431 Holsclaw Hill Rd
C Composite 58.97
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.9/30.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$104,900

431 Holsclaw Hill Rd · Brooks, KY 40109
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,221 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1950 0.35 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Come by and see this solid-built 2 bed / 1 bath home on a spacious lot near town. This property does need some cosmetic TLC but would make a great investment property or allow for a homeowner to put their personal stamp on it. Estate situation, and as such, home is being sold as-is. Conveniently located to Brooks, Louisville, and I-65 access. Call today for your personal tour!

Key facts

  • Investment property
  • Spacious lot
  • I-65 access

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTINVESTMENT PROPERTYCONVENIENTLY LOCATEDI-65 ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: No designated parking
  • Utilities: Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Traditional style; One story
  • Construction: Built in 1950; Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Concrete block foundation
  • Exterior features: Partial fencing; Cleared lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen located on the first floor
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms, both on the first floor; Primary bedroom on the first floor
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Four total rooms; Living room on the first floor; Kitchen on the first floor; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: First-floor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $257 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#277 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Bullitt County (suburban): math 29% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #55 of 165 in KY (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Brooks Elementary School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #393 of 676 statewide, top 63%, 460 students, 77% FRL); Hebron Middle School (math 30% / reading 47%, grade F, #68 of 217 statewide, top 32%, 536 students, 52% FRL); North Bullitt High School (math 30% / reading 28%, grade F, #150 of 254 statewide, top 59%, 1,148 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 41% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 380 units permitted in Bullitt County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bullitt County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $104,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
9.23%
Cash-on-cash
10.48%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$227,106
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
258 Sparks Dr 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,107 (-9%) 15mo $206,000 $186 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.6%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-703
Equity at exit
$15,641
10-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$20,244
Equity at exit
$9,070

Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40109

Home prices YoY
-18.5%
Active inventory
31
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,114 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$550
Tax from tax record
$30 /mo · $356/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$257

Break-even live

Break-even rent $789
Max offer price $104,900
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $316 -5% $286 +0% $257 +5% $227 +10% $197
Rent -10% $169 -5% $213 +0% $257 +5% $301 +10% $345
Rate -1.0pp $309 -0.5pp $283 base $257 +0.5pp $229 +1.0pp $202

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,225
Closing costs
$3,147
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $104,900 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    status $104,900 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-05-20
    status Pending
  4. 2026-05-18
    listed $104,900 Active
  5. 2026-05-18
    historical
  6. 2026-05-17
    listed $104,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$356 · $30/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$902 · $75/mo
Expected delta
+$546/yr (+$45/mo · 153.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,368
− Mortgage interest
−$5,876
− Property taxes
−$356
− Insurance
−$524
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,069
− Management
−$1,069
− Depreciation
−$3,052
Taxable income
$1,421
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$341
After-tax cash flow
$2,738/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bullitt County
NCES district ID
2100750
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$55,009
Composite
30.78/100
National rank
#6151
State rank
#55 of 165 in KY

Livability — Brooks

Score
65/100
State rank
#277
US rank
#13521

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,363

Population outlook (Bullitt County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
89,555 people
By 2030
94,389 · +5.4%
By 2040
102,759 · +14.7%
By 2050
108,955 · +21.7%
By 2075
121,898 · +36.1%
By 2100
126,383 · +41.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Iranian 2% Romanian 1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bullitt

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.0) · D 23.8% · R 74.8% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-18.7pp toward R · 2008: -32.3pp · 2024: -51.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.0 2020: R+48.0 2016: R+49.8 2012: R+35.7 2008: R+32.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -59.41%
Current HPI
261.2976
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $104,900 Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-05-18 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-05-17 Listed $104,900 Metro Search MLS

Property tax history

-5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $356 · -8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…