431 Holsclaw Hill Rd · Brooks, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.9/30.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$104,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Come by and see this solid-built 2 bed / 1 bath home on a spacious lot near town. This property does need some cosmetic TLC but would make a great investment property or allow for a homeowner to put their personal stamp on it. Estate situation, and as such, home is being sold as-is. Conveniently located to Brooks, Louisville, and I-65 access. Call today for your personal tour!
Key facts
- Investment property
- Spacious lot
- I-65 access
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: No designated parking
- Utilities: Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; Traditional style; One story
- Construction: Built in 1950; Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Concrete block foundation
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Cleared lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen located on the first floor
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms, both on the first floor; Primary bedroom on the first floor
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Four total rooms; Living room on the first floor; Kitchen on the first floor; No basement
- Laundry & utility: First-floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $257 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#277 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Bullitt County (suburban): math 29% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #55 of 165 in KY (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Brooks Elementary School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #393 of 676 statewide, top 63%, 460 students, 77% FRL); Hebron Middle School (math 30% / reading 47%, grade F, #68 of 217 statewide, top 32%, 536 students, 52% FRL); North Bullitt High School (math 30% / reading 28%, grade F, #150 of 254 statewide, top 59%, 1,148 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 41% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 380 units permitted in Bullitt County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bullitt County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.48%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $227,106
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 258 Sparks Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,107 (-9%) | 15mo | $206,000 | $186 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-703
- Equity at exit
- $15,641
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $20,244
- Equity at exit
- $9,070
Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40109
- Home prices YoY
- -18.5%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,114 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$550
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $356/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$234
- Net cashflow
- $257
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $316 | -5% $286 | +0% $257 | +5% $227 | +10% $197 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $169 | -5% $213 | +0% $257 | +5% $301 | +10% $345 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $309 | -0.5pp $283 | base $257 | +0.5pp $229 | +1.0pp $202 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,225
- Closing costs
- $3,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $104,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-18status $104,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-20status Pending
-
2026-05-18$104,900 Active
-
2026-05-18historical
-
2026-05-17$104,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $356 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $902 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- +$546/yr (+$45/mo · 153.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,368
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,876
- − Property taxes
- −$356
- − Insurance
- −$524
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,069
- − Management
- −$1,069
- − Depreciation
- −$3,052
- Taxable income
- $1,421
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$341
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,738/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bullitt County
- NCES district ID
- 2100750
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,009
- Composite
- 30.78/100
- National rank
- #6151
- State rank
- #55 of 165 in KY
Livability — Brooks
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #277
- US rank
- #13521
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,363
Population outlook (Bullitt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 89,555 people
- By 2030
- 94,389 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 102,759 · +14.7%
- By 2050
- 108,955 · +21.7%
- By 2075
- 121,898 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 126,383 · +41.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Iranian 2% Romanian 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bullitt
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.0) · D 23.8% · R 74.8% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.7pp toward R · 2008: -32.3pp · 2024: -51.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.0 2020: R+48.0 2016: R+49.8 2012: R+35.7 2008: R+32.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.41%
- Current HPI
- 261.2976
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2026-05-18 Listed $104,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-05-18 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2026-05-17 Listed $104,900 Metro Search MLS
Property tax history
-5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $356 · -8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…