Duplex
9723 Kerr A-b St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$359,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Construction to be completed by APRIL 30th, 2026 • Elevation is copyrighted © | Exceptional Investment Opportunity: Brand New Duplex, Ideal for Discerning Investors/Owners! Stunning, Purposefully designed to meet the exacting demands of the savvy investor. Crafted with meticulous attention, this property promises not only an exceptional living space but also a highly lucrative investment opportunity. 10ft walls, quartz countertop, kitchen drawers soft close. Tile from Tub to ceiling. Key Features: 1.Prime Location. 2.Contemporary Design. 3.Thoughtful Layout. 4.Quality Craftsmanship. 5.Investment Potential. 6.Turnkey equity Investment. No gas, All electric; Gutters; Individual, Driveways, and utilities. This duplex presents a turnkey investment opportunity. You can expect minimal upfront maintenance costs and a smooth transition into the rental market. Don't miss out on this rare chance to secure a lucrative investment property that effortlessly combines modern aesthetics.
Key facts
- Turnkey investment
- Prime location
- 2,500 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/2-bath units multifamily listed at $360k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-18 ($-212/yr) — negative. Per door: $-9/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $357k (0.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $313k (13.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $313k (13.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Galena Park ISD (suburban): math 32% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #578 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,126/mo this rent would consume 78% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 457% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $38k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $36k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $101k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$62k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($349k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.21%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $367,921
- List price
- $359,900
- Delta
- -2.18%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $194,934
- Equity at exit
- $324,226
- IRR
- 21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.71×
- Total profit
- $575,027
- Equity at exit
- $699,207
Cash invested: $100,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77029
- Home prices YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 19.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,126 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,887
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$450 /mo · $5,398/yr
- Insurance
- −$150
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$656
- Net cashflow
- $-18
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 2 | $3,126 |
| #1 | 2 | 2 | $1,563 |
| #2 | 2 | 2 | $1,563 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,126 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $89,975
- Closing costs
- $10,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 220 Armstrong St Houston, TX | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $2,000 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending 1090-char remark
Show marketing remark (1090 chars)
Construction to be completed by APRIL 30th, 2026 • Elevation is copyrighted © | Exceptional Investment Opportunity: Brand New Duplex, Ideal for Discerning Investors/Owners! Stunning, Purposefully designed to meet the exacting demands of the savvy investor. Crafted with meticulous attention, this property promises not only an exceptional living space but also a highly lucrative investment opportunity. 10ft walls, quartz countertop, kitchen drawers soft close. Tile from Tub to ceiling. Key Features: 1.Prime Location. 2.Contemporary Design. 3.Thoughtful Layout. 4.Quality Craftsmanship. 5.Investment Potential. 6.Turnkey equity Investment. No gas, All electric; Gutters; Individual, Driveways, and utilities. This duplex presents a turnkey investment opportunity. You can expect minimal upfront maintenance costs and a smooth transition into the rental market. Don't miss out on this rare chance to secure a lucrative investment property that effortlessly combines modern‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌ aesthetics.
-
2026-05-04status Active 1090-char remark
Show marketing remark (1090 chars)
Construction to be completed by APRIL 30th, 2026 • Elevation is copyrighted © | Exceptional Investment Opportunity: Brand New Duplex, Ideal for Discerning Investors/Owners! Stunning, Purposefully designed to meet the exacting demands of the savvy investor. Crafted with meticulous attention, this property promises not only an exceptional living space but also a highly lucrative investment opportunity. 10ft walls, quartz countertop, kitchen drawers soft close. Tile from Tub to ceiling. Key Features: 1.Prime Location. 2.Contemporary Design. 3.Thoughtful Layout. 4.Quality Craftsmanship. 5.Investment Potential. 6.Turnkey equity Investment. No gas, All electric; Gutters; Individual, Driveways, and utilities. This duplex presents a turnkey investment opportunity. You can expect minimal upfront maintenance costs and a smooth transition into the rental market. Don't miss out on this rare chance to secure a lucrative investment property that effortlessly combines modern‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌ aesthetics.
-
2026-02-24status Pending 1090-char remark
Show marketing remark (1090 chars)
Construction to be completed by APRIL 30th, 2026 • Elevation is copyrighted © | Exceptional Investment Opportunity: Brand New Duplex, Ideal for Discerning Investors/Owners! Stunning, Purposefully designed to meet the exacting demands of the savvy investor. Crafted with meticulous attention, this property promises not only an exceptional living space but also a highly lucrative investment opportunity. 10ft walls, quartz countertop, kitchen drawers soft close. Tile from Tub to ceiling. Key Features: 1.Prime Location. 2.Contemporary Design. 3.Thoughtful Layout. 4.Quality Craftsmanship. 5.Investment Potential. 6.Turnkey equity Investment. No gas, All electric; Gutters; Individual, Driveways, and utilities. This duplex presents a turnkey investment opportunity. You can expect minimal upfront maintenance costs and a smooth transition into the rental market. Don't miss out on this rare chance to secure a lucrative investment property that effortlessly combines modern‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌ aesthetics.
-
2026-01-13$359,900 Active 1090-char remark
Show marketing remark (1090 chars)
Construction to be completed by APRIL 30th, 2026 • Elevation is copyrighted © | Exceptional Investment Opportunity: Brand New Duplex, Ideal for Discerning Investors/Owners! Stunning, Purposefully designed to meet the exacting demands of the savvy investor. Crafted with meticulous attention, this property promises not only an exceptional living space but also a highly lucrative investment opportunity. 10ft walls, quartz countertop, kitchen drawers soft close. Tile from Tub to ceiling. Key Features: 1.Prime Location. 2.Contemporary Design. 3.Thoughtful Layout. 4.Quality Craftsmanship. 5.Investment Potential. 6.Turnkey equity Investment. No gas, All electric; Gutters; Individual, Driveways, and utilities. This duplex presents a turnkey investment opportunity. You can expect minimal upfront maintenance costs and a smooth transition into the rental market. Don't miss out on this rare chance to secure a lucrative investment property that effortlessly combines modern‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌ aesthetics.
-
2026-01-12historical
-
2025-10-17$369,900 Active
-
2025-09-02historical
-
2025-08-10$369,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,512
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,160
- − Property taxes
- −$5,398
- − Insurance
- −$1,800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,001
- − Management
- −$3,001
- − Depreciation
- −$10,470
- Taxable loss
- −$6,318
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,516
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,304/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This brand-new duplex is move-in ready with modern finishes and a prime location, offering exceptional investment potential.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental.
- Both Smart home integration — Improves convenience and adds modern amenities for both buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Smart home integration — Improves convenience and adds modern amenities for both buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Galena Park ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4820250
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,158
- Composite
- 27.62/100
- National rank
- #6927
- State rank
- #578 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,154
- Household income
- $48,279
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 457.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 32% Black 22% White 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 66%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 39% English-only · Spanish 61%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 18.53%
- Current HPI
- 276.1811
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-2.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-05-04 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2026-02-24 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-01-13 Listed $359,900 HARMLS
- 2026-01-12 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-10-17 Listed $369,900 HARMLS
- 2025-09-02 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-08-10 Listed $369,900 HARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…