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9900 Blomberg St SW #14
B Composite 71.64
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.2/15.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

9900 Blomberg St SW #14 · Tumwater, WA 98512
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1981 Est $88k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

In the quiet, all age Manufactured Home community of Los Cedros - Sandalwood, discover this well-cared-for, move-in ready 1,152 sq. ft. double-wide home. Featuring 2 bedrooms, 2 bathroom, and a den that functions perfectly as a third bedroom, this layout offers excellent flexibility for comfortable living. The home boasts updated cabinetry and appliances, along with a mini-split system for efficient year-round climate control. Additional updates include a roof that was replaced just five years ago. Outside, you’ll find gravel parking or two. you'll enjoy a spacious yard ideal for pets or relaxing outdoors, plus a convenient storage shed. This well-maintained community offers a welcomi

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Mini-split system
  • Tree-lined streets

Tags

UPDATED CABINETRYMINI-SPLIT SYSTEMREPLACED ROOFSPACIOUS YARDSTORAGE SHEDTREE-LINED STREETS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Accepts cash and conventional financing
  • HOA & community: Los Cedros Mobile Home Park (39 homes); Monthly land lease payment of $795

Exterior

  • Parking: Uncovered parking
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One level
  • Construction: Manufactured house (double wide)
  • Exterior features: Paved lot; Playground in the mobile home park

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Den/office

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $843 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Cap rate 17.5% vs local median 2.7% in Tumwater — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#39 in WA, #700 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living D-.
  • Tumwater School District (urban): math 57% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #37 of 291 in WA (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 233 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,222 units permitted in Thurston County in 2024 (508 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Thurston County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $90,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.03%
Cap rate
17.54%
Cash-on-cash
40.15%
DSCR
2.79
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$87,552
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9900 Blomberg St SW #8 0.03mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+8%) 1mo $95,000 $76 84
9900 Blomberg St SW #15 0.01mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (0%) 21mo $60,000 $52 77
9900 Blomberg St SW #30 0.02mi 2/2.0 980 (-15%) 17mo $90,000 $92 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.26% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.7%
Equity multiple
2.50×
Total profit
$37,783
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
42.1%
Equity multiple
4.84×
Total profit
$96,653
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98512

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
233
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,823 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$87 /mo · $1,050/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$383
Net cashflow
$843

Break-even live

Break-even rent $756
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3900 93rd Ave SW Unit B Olympia, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,295 $1.44 44d 1 0.99mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 693-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $90,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,050 · $87/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,050 · $87/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,875
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$1,050
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,750
− Management
−$1,750
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$9,216
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,212
After-tax cash flow
$7,906/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tumwater School District
NCES district ID
5309100
Math proficiency
57% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$64,209
Composite
56.38/100
National rank
#2477
State rank
#37 of 291 in WA

Livability — Tumwater

Score
84/100
State rank
#39
US rank
#700

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living D- Crime B- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Thurston County · 269,345 people
City population
46,937
Metro
Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA
Population (ZIP)
31,864
Household income
$101,530
Rent vs Own
27.6% rent · 72.4% own
Severe rent burden
784.0

Population outlook (Thurston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
308,239 people
By 2030
326,483 · +5.9%
By 2040
359,890 · +16.8%
By 2050
391,800 · +27.1%
By 2075
468,024 · +51.8%
By 2100
519,890 · +68.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4% Black 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Italian 4% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Thurston

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.4) · D 58.5% · R 38.1% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
-1.3pp toward R · 2008: 21.7pp · 2024: 20.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.4 2020: D+18.6 2016: D+15.4 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+21.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -348.18%
Current HPI
347.121
Rent YoY
▲ 2.26%
Metro
Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $90,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+9.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,050 · +22.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…