9900 Blomberg St SW #14 · Tumwater, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.2/15.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
In the quiet, all age Manufactured Home community of Los Cedros - Sandalwood, discover this well-cared-for, move-in ready 1,152 sq. ft. double-wide home. Featuring 2 bedrooms, 2 bathroom, and a den that functions perfectly as a third bedroom, this layout offers excellent flexibility for comfortable living. The home boasts updated cabinetry and appliances, along with a mini-split system for efficient year-round climate control. Additional updates include a roof that was replaced just five years ago. Outside, you’ll find gravel parking or two. you'll enjoy a spacious yard ideal for pets or relaxing outdoors, plus a convenient storage shed. This well-maintained community offers a welcomi
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Mini-split system
- Tree-lined streets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Accepts cash and conventional financing
- HOA & community: Los Cedros Mobile Home Park (39 homes); Monthly land lease payment of $795
Exterior
- Parking: Uncovered parking
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One level
- Construction: Manufactured house (double wide)
- Exterior features: Paved lot; Playground in the mobile home park
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Den/office
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $843 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Cap rate 17.5% vs local median 2.7% in Tumwater — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#39 in WA, #700 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living D-.
- Tumwater School District (urban): math 57% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #37 of 291 in WA (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 233 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,222 units permitted in Thurston County in 2024 (508 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Thurston County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.15%
- DSCR
- 2.79
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $87,552
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9900 Blomberg St SW #8 | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+8%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $76 | 84 |
| 9900 Blomberg St SW #15 | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (0%) | 21mo | $60,000 | $52 | 77 |
| 9900 Blomberg St SW #30 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 980 (-15%) | 17mo | $90,000 | $92 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $37,783
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 42.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.84×
- Total profit
- $96,653
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98512
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 233
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,823 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,050/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$383
- Net cashflow
- $843
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3900 93rd Ave SW Unit B Olympia, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,295 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-18$90,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,050 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,050 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,875
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,050
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,750
- − Management
- −$1,750
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $9,216
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,212
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,906/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tumwater School District
- NCES district ID
- 5309100
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,209
- Composite
- 56.38/100
- National rank
- #2477
- State rank
- #37 of 291 in WA
Livability — Tumwater
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #39
- US rank
- #700
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Thurston County · 269,345 people
- City population
- 46,937
- Metro
- Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,864
- Household income
- $101,530
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 784.0
Population outlook (Thurston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 308,239 people
- By 2030
- 326,483 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 359,890 · +16.8%
- By 2050
- 391,800 · +27.1%
- By 2075
- 468,024 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 519,890 · +68.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4% Black 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Italian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Thurston
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.4) · D 58.5% · R 38.1% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 21.7pp · 2024: 20.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.4 2020: D+18.6 2016: D+15.4 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+21.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -348.18%
- Current HPI
- 347.121
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.26%
- Metro
- Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $90,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+9.8%/yrLatest (2026): $1,050 · +22.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…