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1626 N Golden Ave
B+ Composite 77.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

1626 N Golden Ave · Springfield, MO 65802
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 956 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1959 7,405 sqft lot $84/sqft · 44% below area Est $143k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Property being sold as-is.

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Built 1959
  • Listed 2 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Exterior features: Lot in the Homeland subdivision; 0.17-acre lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Heating present (other type)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $407 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Bissett Elem. (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #879 of 1,115 statewide, top 81%, 215 students, 86% FRL); Hillcrest High (math 9% / reading 35%, grade F, #462 of 521 statewide, top 90%, 1,017 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 46% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 23% at this address vs 39% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Springfield R-XII average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 512 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $80,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
12.40%
Cash-on-cash
21.83%
DSCR
1.97
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$142,847
List price
$80,000
Delta
-44.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1807 N Tyler Ave 0.14mi 3/1.0 (+1) 930 (-3%) 4mo $105,000 $113 81
1635 N Colgate Ave 0.05mi 2/1.0 868 (-9%) 4mo $129,000 $149 79
1819 N Tyler Ave 0.15mi 2/2.0 1,008 (+5%) 11mo $149,900 $149 71
2956 W Lynn St 0.39mi 3/1.0 (+1) 936 (-2%) 7mo $133,000 $142 68
1523 N Western Ave 0.45mi 2/1.0 992 (+4%) 8mo $64,900 $65 66
1830 N Hillcrest Ave 0.22mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,008 (+5%) 11mo $179,900 $178 63
1330 N Fulbright Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 1,008 (+5%) 1mo $115,000 $114 61
1936 N Golden Ave 0.28mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (+10%) 3mo $169,500 $161 58
1972 N Colgate Ave 0.34mi 2/1.0 851 (-11%) 9mo $125,000 $147 58
3243 W Lynn St 0.43mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,095 (+14%) 10mo $165,000 $151 38
1108 N Oak Park Dr 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,068 (+12%) 8mo $155,000 $145 37
1335 N Clifton Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,048 (+10%) 7mo $120,000 $115 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
1.67×
Total profit
$15,106
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
26.2%
Equity multiple
3.48×
Total profit
$55,595
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65802

Home prices YoY
-31.9%
Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
512
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,145 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $531/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$240
Net cashflow
$407

Break-even live

Break-even rent $629
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3031 W Pacific St Springfield, MO 3.0 1.5 1008 $1,295 $1.28 21d 1 0.11mi
3016 W Hovey St Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1059 $1,350 $1.27 44d 1 0.31mi
922 N Glenn Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 780 $1,100 $1.41 44d 1 0.75mi
2712 W Nichols St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 619 $795 $1.28 44d 1 0.83mi
2224 N Clifton Ave Unit 2238-A Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 756 $695 $0.92 14d 1 0.93mi
2115 N Grace Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 650 $850 $1.31 44d 1 1.00mi
741 N West Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 912 $950 $1.04 44d 1 1.10mi
740 N West Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 23d 1 1.13mi
2601 N Cresthaven Ave Springfield, MO 4.0 1.0–2.0 1007 $1,340 $1.33 14d 16 1.25mi
2711 W Olive St Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 621 $750 $1.21 23d 1 1.37mi
522 N Park Ave Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 608 $950 $1.56 44d 1 1.44mi
2117 N Lexington Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,195 $1.15 44d 1 1.46mi
3028 W Walnut St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 975 $850 $0.87 21d 1 1.46mi
2126 N Lexington Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 990 $895 $0.90 14d 1 1.49mi
2854 W Walnut St Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 945 $995 $1.05 21d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-16
    status Pending 26-char remark
  2. 2026-05-14
    listed $80,000 Active 26-char remark
  3. 2022-11-15
    historical
  4. 2019-05-31
    soldstatus $150,000
  5. 2016-12-01
    listed $694,000
  6. 2016-01-16
    listed $77,155
  7. 2009-05-28
    listed $59,999
  8. 2006-10-30
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$531 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$776 · $65/mo
Expected delta
+$245/yr (+$20/mo · 46.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,741
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$531
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,099
− Management
−$1,099
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$3,802
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$913
After-tax cash flow
$3,977/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield R-XII
NCES district ID
2928860
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$37,886
Composite
32.45/100
National rank
#5717
State rank
#174 of 324 in MO

Livability — Springfield

Score
75/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#4121

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, MO
County
Greene County · 244,327 people
City population
223,044
Metro
Springfield, MO
Population (ZIP)
46,739
Household income
$55,019
Rent vs Own
41.4% rent · 58.6% own
Severe rent burden
1818.0

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,054 people
By 2030
335,135 · +5.0%
By 2040
366,186 · +14.8%
By 2050
397,431 · +24.6%
By 2075
477,035 · +49.5%
By 2100
520,828 · +63.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.72%
Current HPI
212.9826
Rent YoY
▲ 4.82%
Metro
Springfield, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+33.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Pending SOMO
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $80,000 SOMO
  • 2022-11-15 Rental Removed RENT.
  • 2019-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
  • 2016-12-01 Listed $694,000 SOMO
  • 2016-01-16 Listed $77,155 SOMO
  • 2009-05-28 Listed $59,999 SOMO
  • 2006-10-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $531 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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