30464 Cannon Dr · Salisbury, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NEW CONSTRUCTION BY CHANDLER PROPERTIES. READY TO MOVE INTO. NICE WOODED LOT.
Key facts
- Pool
- Built 1998
- Listed 4 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,100
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: Well water; Septic system; Electric service available; Cable TV available; Phone service available
- Home design: Detached home; Frame (stick built) construction; Crawl space foundation; Estimated year built
- Construction: Frame construction; Stick-built; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Above-ground personal pool; Not in a federal flood zone; Outside city limits; Directions: Zion Rd. to Cannon Dr.
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning; Electric heating and cooling; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Estimated living area; No basement; Two or more access exits
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $620 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 4.8% in Salisbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#351 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- Wicomico County Public Schools (urban): math 16% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #19 of 24 in MD (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 195 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Wicomico County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wicomico County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.8% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $150k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.73%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $256,300
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30590 Bennett Rd | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,136 (+3%) | 10mo | $225,000 | $198 | 72 |
| 30444 Bennett Rd | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-8%) | 8mo | $262,000 | $260 | 70 |
| 30420 Cannon Dr | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-13%) | 2mo | $258,000 | $269 | 69 |
| 30506 Zion Rd | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,064 (-3%) | 23mo | $175,000 | $164 | 58 |
| 801 Outten Rd | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,224 (+11%) | 1mo | $285,000 | $233 | 57 |
| 30483 Bennett Rd | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (-15%) | 16mo | $235,000 | $251 | 53 |
| 221 Wall St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+9%) | 5mo | $52,000 | $43 | 50 |
| 425 Lindenhurst Ct | 0.38mi | 3/3.0 | 1,242 (+13%) | 11mo | $239,900 | $193 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $16,771
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $72,005
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21804
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 195
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,004 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$115 /mo · $1,379/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$421
- Net cashflow
- $620
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 303 Mill Pond Ln Salisbury, MD | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1196 | $1,885 | $1.58 | 13d | 6 | 0.68mi |
| 416 E N Pointe Dr Salisbury, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 999 | $2,055 | $2.06 | 13d | 12 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $149,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,900 Coming Soon 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Coming Soon 21 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,900 Coming Soon 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Coming Soon 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Coming Soon 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Coming Soon 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Coming Soon 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Coming Soon 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Coming Soon 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Coming Soon 9 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $149,900 Coming Soon 8 DOM
-
2026-05-22historical $149,900
-
1998-06-16soldstatus $77,900
-
1998-06-09soldstatus $77,900 78-char remark
Show marketing remark (78 chars)
NEW CONSTRUCTION BY CHANDLER PROPERTIES. READY TO MOVE INTO. NICE WOODED LOT.
-
1997-07-31$77,900 78-char remark
Show marketing remark (78 chars)
NEW CONSTRUCTION BY CHANDLER PROPERTIES. READY TO MOVE INTO. NICE WOODED LOT.
-
1996-05-17soldstatus $23,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,379 · $115/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,506 · $126/mo
- Expected delta
- +$128/yr (+$11/mo · 9.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,053
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$1,379
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,924
- − Management
- −$1,924
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $5,319
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,276
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,164/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wicomico County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400690
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,745
- Composite
- 18.87/100
- National rank
- #8860
- State rank
- #19 of 24 in MD
Livability — Salisbury
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #351
- US rank
- #18948
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Wicomico County · 75,969 people
- City population
- 70,518
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,430
- Household income
- $73,156
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2096.0
Population outlook (Wicomico County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 108,548 people
- By 2030
- 111,783 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 118,139 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 123,641 · +13.9%
- By 2075
- 139,784 · +28.8%
- By 2100
- 145,334 · +33.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 30% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 8% Romanian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wicomico
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.5) · D 46.1% · R 51.5% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.3pp no change · 2008: -5.8pp · 2024: -5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.5 2020: R+1.9 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+6.9 2008: R+5.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -84.15%
- Current HPI
- 230.6099
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.78%
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+551.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Coming Soon $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1998-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $77,900 Public Records
- 1998-06-09 Sold (MLS) $77,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1997-07-31 Listed $77,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1996-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,379 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…