CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
9803 Walnut St #302
B Composite 72.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.7/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.8/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$51,500

9803 Walnut St #302 · Dallas, TX 75243
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 423 sqft · Condo · 71 Days on market
Built 1981 Good condition $122/sqft · 5% below area Est $54k · 5% under $176/mo HOA · 19% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

ALL WOOD FLOOR, NO CARPET! PRICE TO SELL! Well maintained 1-Bedroom Condo in Dallas perfect for first time buyers or investors! Spacious living room with open kitchen. Bedroom with walk-in closet and a balcony. Full size bath with a walk-in shower. Central AC and heating. Ceiling fans in the living and bedroom. Water is included in the HOA fee. Minutes from Richland College and HWY 635 and HWY 75. Great locations!

Key facts

  • Central ac
  • Walk-in closet
  • Balcony

Tags

WOOD FLOORWALK-IN CLOSETBALCONYWALK-IN SHOWERCENTRAL ACHEATING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $52k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $187 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($910 rent vs $52k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Richardson ISD (urban): math 40% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #316 of 826 in TX (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.3%/yr); 279 active listings in the ZIP; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $356 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $48,410 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.77%
Cap rate
10.66%
Cash-on-cash
15.58%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$54,302
List price
$51,500
Delta
-5.16%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$1,033
Equity at exit
$7,679
10-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$6,440
Equity at exit
$4,453

Cash invested: $14,420 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75243

Rents YoY
-5.3%
Active inventory
279
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$910 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$270
Tax est. 1.5%
$64 /mo · $772/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$176
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$191
Net cashflow
$187

Break-even live

Break-even rent $673
Max offer price $51,500
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $223 -5% $205 +0% $187 +5% $169 +10% $152
Rent -10% $115 -5% $151 +0% $187 +5% $223 +10% $259
Rate -1.0pp $213 -0.5pp $200 base $187 +0.5pp $174 +1.0pp $160

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,875
Closing costs
$1,545
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$176 · $2,112/yr
Likely covers
water
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $51,500 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $51,500 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $51,500 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $51,500 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $51,500 Active 63 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $51,500 Active 62 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $51,500 Active 61 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $51,500 Active 58 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $51,500 Active 57 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $51,500 Active 56 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $51,500 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $51,500 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-04-08
    price $51,500 417-char remark
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    ALL WOOD FLOOR, NO CARPET! PRICE TO SELL! Well maintained 1-Bedroom Condo in Dallas perfect for first time buyers or investors! Spacious living room with open kitchen. Bedroom with walk-in closet and a balcony. Full size bath with a walk-in shower. Central AC and heating. Ceiling fans in the living and bedroom. Water is included in the HOA fee. Minutes from Richland College and HWY 635 and HWY 75. Great locations!

  14. 2026-04-07
    listed $515,000 Active 417-char remark
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    ALL WOOD FLOOR, NO CARPET! PRICE TO SELL! Well maintained 1-Bedroom Condo in Dallas perfect for first time buyers or investors! Spacious living room with open kitchen. Bedroom with walk-in closet and a balcony. Full size bath with a walk-in shower. Central AC and heating. Ceiling fans in the living and bedroom. Water is included in the HOA fee. Minutes from Richland College and HWY 635 and HWY 75. Great locations!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,923
− Mortgage interest
−$2,885
− Property taxes
−$772
− Insurance
−$258
− Repairs & maintenance
−$874
− Management
−$874
− HOA
−$2,112
− Depreciation
−$1,498
Taxable income
$1,651
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$396
After-tax cash flow
$1,851/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained 1-bedroom condo is move-in ready with good condition and minimal repairs needed. It offers a spacious living room, open kitchen, and a full bath with a walk-in shower. The location is convenient to Richland College and major highways.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both New blinds — Enhances curb appeal and resale value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both New blinds — Enhances curb appeal and resale value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richardson ISD
NCES district ID
4837020
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$54,609
Composite
36.58/100
National rank
#4633
State rank
#316 of 826 in TX

Livability — Dallas

Score
81/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#1380

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dallas, TX
County
Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
City population
1,168,437
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
63,481
Household income
$53,618
Rent vs Own
73.4% rent · 26.6% own
Severe rent burden
5970.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,979,839 people
By 2030
3,191,823 · +7.1%
By 2040
3,619,611 · +21.5%
By 2050
4,026,915 · +35.1%
By 2075
4,957,073 · +66.4%
By 2100
5,508,725 · +84.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
Black 43% Hispanic / Latino 23% White 22% Two or more races 10% Asian 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Swiss 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
34% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
56% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -203.08%
Current HPI
317.5287
Rent YoY
▼ -5.31%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-90.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $51,500 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $515,000 NTREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…