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1415A Julia St
B Composite 71.95
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

1415A Julia St · New Iberia, LA 70560
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,114 sqft · SingleFamily · 133 Days on market
Fair condition 7,293 sqft lot $58/sqft · 33% below area Est $97k · 33% under ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 7,293 sq ft lot
  • Listed 133 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $65k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $202 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($825 rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 5.8% in New Iberia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#33 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Iberia Parish (other): math 32% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #27 of 98 in LA (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 237 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 94 units permitted in Iberia Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Iberia County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
10.03%
Cash-on-cash
13.34%
DSCR
1.59
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$97,499
List price
$65,000
Delta
-33.33%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1806 S Iberia St 0.46mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,158 (+4%) 2mo $129,500 $112 65
1708 Short Weeks St 0.28mi 2/1.0 985 (-12%) 3mo $113,000 $115 63
1353 Weeks St 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,240 (+11%) 10mo $32,551 $26 62
1112 Julia St 0.26mi 2/1.0 1,022 (-8%) 20mo $62,000 $61 56
717 Julia St 0.73mi 2/1.0 1,094 (-2%) 10mo $22,000 $20 53
221 Saint Mary St 0.47mi 2/1.0 1,000 (-10%) 13mo $32,000 $32 48
1010 Versailles Cres 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,190 (+7%) 16mo $145,000 $122 46
1601 St Jude Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 1,056 (-5%) 23mo $27,500 $26 43
826 Henshaw Dr 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,039 (-7%) 11mo $43,000 $41 41
111 Zan Aly 0.27mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,254 (+13%) 22mo $90,000 $72 41
1502 Adam St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,068 (-4%) 18mo $30,000 $28 38
720 S Weeks St 0.75mi 2/1.0 1,000 (-10%) 21mo $90,000 $90 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.4%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$2,366
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
12.9%
Equity multiple
2.03×
Total profit
$18,703
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70560

Home prices YoY
-29.8%
Active inventory
237
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$825 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $975/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$173
Net cashflow
$202

Break-even live

Break-even rent $569
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1500 Adam St New Iberia, LA 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 43d 1 0.74mi
212 Hacker St New Iberia, LA 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 43d 1 0.90mi
713 W Admiral Doyle Dr New Iberia, LA 2.0 1.0 830 $938 $1.13 13d 5 1.16mi
419 Charles St New Iberia, LA 1.0 1.0 800 $600 $0.75 43d 1 1.33mi
405 Anderson St New Iberia, LA 2.0 1.0 950 $650 $0.68 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 133 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 132 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 131 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 130 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $65,000 Active 129 DOM
  6. 2026-01-27
    price $65,000
  7. 2026-01-23
    price $68,000
  8. 2026-01-21
    listed $70,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,897
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$975
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$792
− Management
−$792
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$1,481
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$355
After-tax cash flow
$2,072/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Fair 40/100 Moderate rehab

The home requires moderate repairs to the exterior and driveway, with potential value increases from painting and improving the driveway condition.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Driveway and patio — Concrete shows cracks and wear
  • Moderate Roof — Aged appearance suggests potential leaks

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Seal and repair driveway and patio — Improved condition of driveway and patio boosts curb appeal and functionality

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Driveway and patio · Concrete shows cracks and wear Minor $500–3,000
Roof · Aged appearance suggests potential leaks Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $3,500–18,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Seal and repair driveway and patio — Improved condition of driveway and patio boosts curb appeal and functionality

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Iberia Parish
NCES district ID
2200720
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -43.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -35.00%
Median HH income
$43,289
Composite
31.74/100
National rank
#5904
State rank
#27 of 98 in LA

Livability — New Iberia

Score
73/100
State rank
#33
US rank
#5376

Category grades

Amenities C Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Iberia, LA
Population (ZIP)
37,589

Population outlook (Iberia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
74,632 people
By 2030
74,368 · -0.4%
By 2040
73,223 · -1.9%
By 2050
71,728 · -3.9%
By 2075
69,028 · -7.5%
By 2100
65,018 · -12.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Black 35% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 11% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Iberia

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.1) · D 32.4% · R 66.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-11.1pp toward R · 2008: -23.0pp · 2024: -34.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.1 2020: R+31.2 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+26.2 2008: R+23.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.82%
Current HPI
154.9018
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-27 Price Changed $65,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2026-01-23 Price Changed $68,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2026-01-21 Listed $70,000 ForSaleByOwner.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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