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21 N Anthracite St
C Composite 57.77
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.5/30.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.5/15.0

$59,900

21 N Anthracite St · Shamokin, PA 17872
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 640 sqft · Other · 98 Days on market
Built 1930 768 sqft lot $94/sqft · 16% above area Est $52k · 16% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Two bedroom, one bath house conveniently located near downtown Shamokin. Great starter home or investment property featuring efficient gas heating.

Key facts

  • Built 1930
  • Listed 97 days

Tags

EFFICIENT GAS HEATING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $139 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($695 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $55k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 11.4% in Shamokin — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#887 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
  • Shamokin Area SD (town): math 19% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #450 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Shamokin Area El Sch (math 22% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,146 of 1,518 statewide, top 76%, 832 students, 100% FRL); Shamokin Area Ms (math 12% / reading 40%, grade F, #412 of 512 statewide, top 81%, 346 students, 100% FRL); Shamokin Area Hs (math 42% / reading 30%, grade F, #300 of 437 statewide, top 70%, 702 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 57% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
  • Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $60k implies a 114% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $54,509 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
9.08%
Cash-on-cash
9.95%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$51,834
List price
$59,900
Delta
15.56%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
1.76×
Total profit
$12,676
Equity at exit
$23,315
10-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
3.22×
Total profit
$37,165
Equity at exit
$33,337

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17872

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
78
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$695 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $852/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$146
Net cashflow
$139

Break-even live

Break-even rent $519
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $173 -5% $156 +0% $139 +5% $122 +10% $105
Rent -10% $84 -5% $112 +0% $139 +5% $166 +10% $194
Rate -1.0pp $169 -0.5pp $154 base $139 +0.5pp $123 +1.0pp $108

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
169 N Grant St Shamokin, PA 1.0 1.0 750 $695 $0.93 45d 1 0.17mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $59,900 Active 98 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 97 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 96 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 95 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 94 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,900 Active 92 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $59,900 Active 91 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 88 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 87 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 86 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,900 Active 82 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 81 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 80 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 79 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,900 Active 78 DOM
  16. 2026-03-13
    listed $59,900 Active 147-char remark
    Show marketing remark (147 chars)

    Two bedroom, one bath house conveniently located near downtown Shamokin. Great starter home or investment property featuring efficient gas heating.

  17. 2022-04-20
    soldstatus $28,000 23-char remark
    Show marketing remark (23 chars)

    Investment Property!!!!

  18. 2022-03-11
    listed $23,900 23-char remark
    Show marketing remark (23 chars)

    Investment Property!!!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$852 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$899 · $75/mo
Expected delta
+$47/yr (+$4/mo · 5.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$8,340
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$852
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$667
− Management
−$667
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$757
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$182
After-tax cash flow
$1,486/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shamokin Area SD
NCES district ID
4221240
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$35,380
Composite
24.31/100
National rank
#7709
State rank
#450 of 539 in PA

Livability — Shamokin

Score
68/100
State rank
#887
US rank
#9448

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shamokin, PA
City population
9,808
Population (ZIP)
8,950

Population outlook (Northumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
90,896 people
By 2030
89,084 · -2.0%
By 2040
84,822 · -6.7%
By 2050
80,521 · -11.4%
By 2075
72,152 · -20.6%
By 2100
62,257 · -31.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Iranian 6% Subsaharan African 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Northumberland

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-26.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+13.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.90%
Current HPI
124.6288
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $59,900 CSVBR
  • 2022-04-20 Sold (MLS) $28,000 CSVBR
  • 2022-03-11 Listed $23,900 CSVBR

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $852 · +59.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…