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1303 E Illinois St
B- Composite 66.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

1303 E Illinois St · Evansville, IN 47711
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 112 Days on market
Built 1929 5,663 sqft lot Est $134k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment opportunity. This 3 bed 1 bath home with detached garage is conveniently located close to schools, shopping, and grocery. Large eat in kitchen, unfinished basement.

Key facts

  • 5,663 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1929

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached off-street garage with 2 spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built home; 1 story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Built on foundation with partial basement
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Covered porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
  • Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Partial, unfinished basement; Covered porch
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $191 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Evans School (math 9% / reading 7%, grade F, #945 of 994 statewide, top 95%, 499 students, 85% FRL); North Junior High School (math 44% / reading 57%, grade C, #43 of 330 statewide, top 14%, 929 students, 42% FRL); North High School (math 57% / reading 74%, grade B, #29 of 369 statewide, top 8%, 1,674 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 234 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $95k implies a 692% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $86,450 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
8.70%
Cash-on-cash
8.61%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$134,160
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1432 E Franklin St 0.20mi 2/1.0 1,004 (-4%) 3mo $45,000 $45 83
1303 E Indiana St 0.06mi 2/1.0 962 (-8%) 5mo $22,000 $23 81
201 S Willow Rd 0.25mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,064 (+2%) 3mo $67,000 $63 77
1423 John St 0.23mi 2/1.0 972 (-6%) 5mo $99,900 $103 75
1409 E Walnut St 0.39mi 2/2.0 1,022 (-2%) 2mo $155,000 $152 73
1638 E Illinois St 0.32mi 2/1.0 950 (-9%) 1mo $130,000 $137 69
1500 E Indiana St 0.17mi 3/2.0 (+1) 984 (-5%) 7mo $130,000 $132 68
503 S Grand Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 1,000 (-4%) 7mo $60,000 $60 56
1628 E Division St 0.32mi 2/2.0 917 (-12%) 7mo $98,000 $107 56
1905 E Franklin St 0.55mi 2/1.0 922 (-11%) 1mo $149,900 $163 54
628 S Harlan Ave 0.70mi 2/1.0 1,092 (+5%) 6mo $141,000 $129 54
2022 E Franklin St 0.72mi 2/1.0 1,101 (+6%) 4mo $160,000 $145 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.7%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$760
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
13.7%
Equity multiple
2.28×
Total profit
$34,027
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47711

Home prices YoY
-32.3%
Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
234
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,031 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$86 /mo · $1,027/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$216
Net cashflow
$191

Break-even live

Break-even rent $789
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $245 -5% $218 +0% $191 +5% $164 +10% $137
Rent -10% $109 -5% $150 +0% $191 +5% $232 +10% $272
Rate -1.0pp $239 -0.5pp $215 base $191 +0.5pp $166 +1.0pp $141

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1321 E Indiana St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 964 $1,050 $1.09 15d 1 0.07mi
1303 E Indiana St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 975 $1,195 $1.23 15d 1 0.07mi
1415 E Indiana St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 814 $795 $0.98 15d 1 0.15mi
304 S Grand Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 967 $955 $0.99 22d 1 0.58mi
210 S Weinbach Ave Evansville, IN 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,450 $1.34 22d 1 0.66mi
913 N Spring St Evansville, IN 3.0 1.5 1232 $1,350 $1.10 15d 1 0.86mi
507 S Evans Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 750 $795 $1.06 22d 1 0.87mi
1133 Bayard Park Dr Unit B Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 990 $800 $0.81 22d 1 0.91mi
734 Bayard Park Dr Evansville, IN 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,425 $1.43 22d 1 1.11mi
1021 Jefferson Ave Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 798 $795 $1.00 15d 1 1.30mi
610 N Main St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 751 $675 $0.90 22d 1 1.34mi
200 N Main St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0–2.0 857 $1,599 $1.86 15d 7 1.35mi
2015 N Weinbach Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 22d 1 1.36mi
41 W Division St Apt 200 Evansville, IN 2.0 2.0 1083 $1,500 $1.39 22d 1 1.41mi
1505 Jackson Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 780 $995 $1.28 22d 1 1.46mi
1219 Joan Ave Unit 1219 Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 725 $845 $1.17 15d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $95,000 Pending 112 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 109 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 108 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 107 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $95,000 Active 106 DOM
  6. 2026-02-12
    listed $95,000 Active
  7. 2018-12-19
    listed $35,000
  8. 2015-02-13
    soldstatus $12,000 181-char remark
    Show marketing remark (181 chars)

    Great investment opportunity. This 3 bed 1 bath home with detached garage is conveniently located close to schools, shopping, and grocery. Large eat in kitchen, unfinished basement.

  9. 2014-12-29
    listed $18,900 181-char remark
    Show marketing remark (181 chars)

    Great investment opportunity. This 3 bed 1 bath home with detached garage is conveniently located close to schools, shopping, and grocery. Large eat in kitchen, unfinished basement.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,027 · $86/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,027 · $86/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,368
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,027
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$989
− Management
−$989
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$802
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$193
After-tax cash flow
$2,098/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803450
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,270
Composite
33.41/100
National rank
#5471
State rank
#153 of 301 in IN

Livability — Evansville

Score
63/100
State rank
#416
US rank
#15047

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Evansville, IN
County
Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
City population
146,793
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
Population (ZIP)
30,944
Household income
$66,320
Rent vs Own
24.4% rent · 75.6% own
Severe rent burden
659.0

Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,038 people
By 2030
188,907 · +1.0%
By 2040
190,272 · +1.7%
By 2050
188,871 · +1.0%
By 2075
180,751 · -3.4%
By 2100
163,015 · -12.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Black 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh

2024 margin
R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.98%
Current HPI
205.62
Rent YoY
▲ 6.72%
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+402.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-12 Listed $95,000 IRMLS
  • 2018-12-19 Listed $35,000 IRMLS
  • 2015-02-13 Sold (MLS) $12,000 IRMLS
  • 2014-12-29 Listed $18,900 IRMLS

Property tax history

+13.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,027 · -11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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