3127 Varley Ave SW · Canton, OH 44706

$25,145

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 16 Days on market

Built 1940 1.90 ac lot $27/sqft · 84% below area ↓ 7% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.5/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Bring your imagination to this 2 acre property in fabulous Canton South. Home on first parcel needs extensive repairs and renovations, or maybe you just want to build your dream home instead. There is a double wide to the rear of the property that the seller does not have the deed and there appears to be a shared well between the two properties. The second, vacant parcel is also . 95 acres with plenty of room to roam for the kids or maybe the dogs. Sold as-is.

Key facts

• Vacant parcel
• Double wide
• 95 acres

Tags

• 2 ACRE PROPERTY
• DOUBLE WIDE
• SHARED WELL
• VACANT PARCEL
• 95 ACRES

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway
• Utilities: Septic tank; Shared well
• Home design: Single-story home; 924 above-grade finished area
• Construction: Year built (per public records)
• Exterior features: Driveway; 1.9-acre lot

Interior

• Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
• Interior features: Unfinished basement

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $629 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
• Recommended offer: $25k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 36.3% vs local median 5.1% in Canton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#441 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, employment F.
• Canton Local (suburban): math 54% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #401 of 656 in OH (top 61%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 528 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $174 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $754 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Stark County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $24,767 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 4.12% ✓
• Cap rate: 36.30%
• Cash-on-cash: 107.18%
• DSCR: 5.77
• GRM: 2.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $161,630
• List price: $25,145
• Delta: -84.44%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 11 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 6.11×
• Total profit: $36,001
• Equity at exit: $3,749

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 12.79×
• Total profit: $83,024
• Equity at exit: $2,174

Cash invested: $7,041 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 73 Landlord-Friendly
• State Ohio: 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 44706

• Active inventory: 87
• Price-to-rent: 2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,037 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$132
• Tax from tax record: −$48 /mo · $577/yr
• Insurance: −$10
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$218
• Net cashflow: $629

Break-even live

Break-even rent $241

Max offer price $25,145

Occupancy floor 34%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $6,286
• Closing costs: $754
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-05-04
   listed $25,145 Active 464-char remark
2. 2002-06-03
   soldstatus $45,000
3. 1985-12-31
   soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $577 · $48/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $577 · $48/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,444
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,409
• − Property taxes: −$577
• − Insurance: −$126
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$996
• − Management: −$996
• − Depreciation: −$731
• Taxable income: $7,610
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,826
• After-tax cash flow: $5,719/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Canton Local
• NCES district ID: 3904983
• Math proficiency: 54% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 52% ▼ -11.00%
• Median HH income: $46,980
• Composite: 45.0/100
• National rank: #2699
• State rank: #401 of 656 in OH

Livability — Canton

• Score: 71/100
• State rank: #441
• US rank: #7259

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety C User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Stark County · 272,865 people
• City population: 103,614
• Metro: Canton-Massillon, OH
• Population (ZIP): 16,496
• Household income: $58,228
• Rent vs Own: 32.3% rent · 67.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 502.0

Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 373,708 people
• By 2030: 371,245 · -0.7%
• By 2040: 361,331 · -3.3%
• By 2050: 345,290 · -7.6%
• By 2075: 302,669 · -19.0%
• By 2100: 238,870 · -36.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (84%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 84% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Stark

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+21.9) · D 38.6% · R 60.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -21.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+21.9 2020: R+18.5 2016: R+17.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+5.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -156.35%
• Current HPI: 239.851
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Canton-Massillon, OH
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.98%
• F500 in state: 48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	3	$145B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$49B
▸Financial Services	3	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$93B
▸Aerospace / Defense	2	$47B
▸Utilities	2	$33B

Price history

-7.0% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-10 Sold (MLS) $27,900 MLSNOW
• 2026-05-21 Pending — MLSNOW
• 2026-05-04 Listed $25,145 MLSNOW
• 2002-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
• 1985-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+26.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $577 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.