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143 E Church St
B+ Composite 77.11
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$145,000

143 E Church St · Ludowici, GA 31316
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,298 sqft · SingleFamily · 190 Days on market
Built 1950 Fair condition 0.33 ac lot $112/sqft · 32% below area Est $214k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming frame home sits on 2 lots with an inviting front porch. The oversized rooms have high ceilings and the large windows flood the home with natural light. Home is being sold AS-IS. Newer roof, hvac, and updated kitchen cabinets. Outside is nice one car carport and a storage building to stash all the lawn equipment. Exterior of the home will be painted to include the front porch. Situated on a corner lot just minutes from the downtown area.

Key facts

  • Large windows
  • Oversized rooms
  • Newer roof

Tags

FRONT PORCHOVERSIZED ROOMSHIGH CEILINGSLARGE WINDOWSNEWER ROOFUPDATED KITCHEN CABINETS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $459 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 5.4% in Ludowici — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#74 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: schools D, employment D, amenities F.
  • Long County (rural): math 26% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #115 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 409 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 298 units permitted in Long County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
  • Long County population projected at +72% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
10.09%
Cash-on-cash
13.56%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$214,288
List price
$145,000
Delta
-32.33%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
613 S Macon St 0.30mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,282 (-1%) 10mo $217,000 $169 67
371 Cutters Gap SE 0.31mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,300 (+0%) 12mo $225,000 $173 66
177 Palmetto Way NE 0.21mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,369 (+6%) 8mo $242,900 $177 64
142 Railroad St 0.32mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,292 (-0%) 20mo $220,000 $170 59
398 Macon St 0.07mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,172 (-10%) 18mo $210,500 $180 57
167 NE Hendrix St 0.54mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,363 (+5%) 3mo $232,000 $170 55
819 S Mcdonald St 0.50mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,194 (-8%) 3mo $51,000 $43 51
3722 Old Darien-macon Darien Rd 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,223 (-6%) 2mo $244,000 $200 47
60 Oak Ridge Cemetery Rd 0.71mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,300 (+0%) 14mo $227,000 $175 46
1046 Buster Phillips Rd SE 0.72mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,249 (-4%) 16mo $240,000 $192 38
21 SW Oak Ridge Cemetery Rd SW 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,473 (+14%) 8mo $285,000 $193 29
173 Franklin Tree Dr NE 0.57mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,132 (-13%) 19mo $222,300 $196 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.8%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$33,091
Equity at exit
$50,700
10-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
3.34×
Total profit
$95,186
Equity at exit
$68,314

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31316

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
409
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,849 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax est. 1.5%
$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$388
Net cashflow
$459

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,268
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $559 -5% $509 +0% $459 +5% $409 +10% $359
Rent -10% $313 -5% $386 +0% $459 +5% $532 +10% $605
Rate -1.0pp $532 -0.5pp $496 base $459 +0.5pp $421 +1.0pp $383

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
34 Pine St Unit C C Ludowici, GA 2.0 1.0 990 $1,395 $1.41 44d 1 0.43mi
149 W Franklin St Ludowici, GA 3.0 2.5 1704 $2,250 $1.32 44d 1 0.55mi
15 Clark St Ludowici, GA 3.0 2.0 1497 $1,995 $1.33 44d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $145,000 Active 190 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 189 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 188 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 187 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 186 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $145,000 Active 184 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 183 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $145,000 Active 181 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 180 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 179 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 178 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $145,000 Active 175 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 174 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 173 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 172 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 171 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $145,000 Active 170 DOM
  18. 2025-09-30
    listed $145,000 Active 450-char remark
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Charming frame home sits on 2 lots with an inviting front porch. The oversized rooms have high ceilings and the large windows flood the home with natural light. Home is being sold AS-IS. Newer roof, hvac, and updated kitchen cabinets. Outside is nice one car carport and a storage building to stash all the lawn equipment. Exterior of the home will be painted to include the front porch. Situated on a corner lot just minutes from the downtown area.

  19. 2025-09-30
    listed $145,000 Active 449-char remark
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Charming frame home sits on 2 lots with an inviting front porch. The oversized rooms have high ceilings and the large windows flood the home with natural light. Home is being sold AS-IS. Newer roof, hvac, and updated kitchen cabinets. Outside is nice one car carport and a storage building to stash all the lawn equipment. Exterior of the home will be painted to include the front porch. Situated on a corner lot just minutes from the downtown area.

  20. 2025-09-29
    listed $145,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,191
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$2,175
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,775
− Management
−$1,775
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$3,400
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$816
After-tax cash flow
$4,690/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This charming frame home requires moderate renovations to improve its curb appeal and interior aesthetics, enhancing its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior painting — exterior siding is weathered
  • Minor kitchen appliances — basic appliances
  • Minor bathroom fixtures — dated fixtures

Value-add opportunities

  • Both exterior painting — enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both kitchen appliances — modernizes the space and attracts buyers
  • Both bathroom fixtures — updates the space and improves functionality

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior painting · exterior siding is weathered Major $15,000–50,000
kitchen appliances · basic appliances Minor $500–3,000
bathroom fixtures · dated fixtures Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $16,000–56,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both exterior painting — enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both kitchen appliances — modernizes the space and attracts buyers
  • Both bathroom fixtures — updates the space and improves functionality

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Long County
NCES district ID
1303360
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$45,958
Composite
22.51/100
National rank
#8090
State rank
#115 of 174 in GA

Livability — Ludowici

Score
72/100
State rank
#74
US rank
#6449

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ludowici, GA
County
Long County · 13,812 people
City population
13,812
Metro
Hinesville, GA
Population (ZIP)
13,812
Household income
$74,766
Rent vs Own
29.6% rent · 70.4% own
Severe rent burden
109.0

Population outlook (Long County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,669 people
By 2030
28,223 · +14.4%
By 2040
35,430 · +43.6%
By 2050
42,403 · +71.9%
By 2075
56,996 · +131.0%
By 2100
64,185 · +160.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Long

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.5) · D 35.1% · R 64.6%
2008→2024 swing
-5.4pp toward R · 2008: -24.1pp · 2024: -29.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.5 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+30.8 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+24.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.16%
Current HPI
195.2978
Rent YoY
Metro
Hinesville, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-30 Listed $145,000 HABR
  • 2025-09-30 Listed $145,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-09-29 Listed $145,000 GAMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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