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147 Pr 3297
B- Composite 66.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

147 Pr 3297 · Gladewater, TX 75647
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily · 253 Days on market
Built 1975 Fair condition 0.98 ac lot $139/sqft · 50% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tucked away off FM 2685 and hidden by natural surroundings, this charming two-story home offers privacy, character, and peace. Featuring three bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and rustic log railings, the home's warm, well-defined layout provides a cozy alternative to the open-concept style. Ideal for investors, the property is currently tenant-occupied—providing immediate rental income. Or, for those seeking a private retreat just minutes from Gladewater, it offers a unique blend of charm and seclusion. Showings by appointment only to respect the current lease in place Current Tennant has a lease set to expire July 2026. Rental amounts in Confidential Agent Remarks.

Key facts

  • Rustic log railings
  • Private retreat
  • 0.98 acre lot

Tags

RUSTIC LOG RAILINGSPRIVATE RETREAT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $120k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $463 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 5.0% in Gladewater — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#805 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, amenities F.
  • Gladewater ISD (suburban): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #594 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Upshur County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Upshur County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 253 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 54% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 253 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
10.92%
Cash-on-cash
16.53%
DSCR
1.74
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$79,819
List price
$120,000
Delta
50.34%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.7%
Equity multiple
1.30×
Total profit
$10,067
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
16.9%
Equity multiple
2.39×
Total profit
$46,835
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75647

Home prices YoY
-8.2%
Active inventory
178
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,636 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax est. 1.5%
$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$344
Net cashflow
$463

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,050
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $120,000 Active 253 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 252 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 251 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 250 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 249 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $120,000 Active 247 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 246 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $120,000 Active 244 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 243 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 242 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 241 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 237 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 236 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 235 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 234 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $120,000 Active 233 DOM
  17. 2025-10-10
    listed $120,000 Active 670-char remark
    Show marketing remark (670 chars)

    Tucked away off FM 2685 and hidden by natural surroundings, this charming two-story home offers privacy, character, and peace. Featuring three bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and rustic log railings, the home's warm, well-defined layout provides a cozy alternative to the open-concept style. Ideal for investors, the property is currently tenant-occupied—providing immediate rental income. Or, for those seeking a private retreat just minutes from Gladewater, it offers a unique blend of charm and seclusion. Showings by appointment only to respect the current lease in place Current Tennant has a lease set to expire July 2026. Rental amounts in Confidential Agent Remarks.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 54% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,629
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,800
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,570
− Management
−$1,570
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$3,876
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$930
After-tax cash flow
$4,625/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This two-story home requires significant repairs and maintenance, including exterior siding, flooring, and interior walls. Landscaping also needs attention. While currently tenant-occupied, the property has potential for increased value with targeted renovations.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Exterior siding — Significant wear and tear.
  • Major Flooring — Worn and in need of replacement.
  • Major Interior walls — Potential water damage and discoloration.
  • Major Landscaping — Overgrown and in need of maintenance.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace flooring — Improves living space and adds value.
  • Both Landscaping maintenance — Enhances curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Exterior siding repair — Improves curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Interior wall repairs — Enhances interior aesthetics and property value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exterior siding · Significant wear and tear. Major $15,000–50,000
Flooring · Worn and in need of replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Interior walls · Potential water damage and discoloration. Major $15,000–50,000
Landscaping · Overgrown and in need of maintenance. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $60,000–200,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace flooring — Improves living space and adds value.
  • Both Landscaping maintenance — Enhances curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Exterior siding repair — Improves curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Interior wall repairs — Enhances interior aesthetics and property value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gladewater ISD
NCES district ID
4820760
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$41,485
Composite
26.62/100
National rank
#7177
State rank
#594 of 826 in TX

Livability — Gladewater

Score
64/100
State rank
#805
US rank
#14670

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
13,457

Population outlook (Upshur County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,771 people
By 2030
43,788 · +2.4%
By 2040
45,574 · +6.6%
By 2050
46,683 · +9.1%
By 2075
49,137 · +14.9%
By 2100
47,457 · +11.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Upshur

2024 margin
Solid R (+71.0) · D 14.2% · R 85.2%
2008→2024 swing
-22.0pp toward R · 2008: -49.0pp · 2024: -71.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+71.0 2020: R+68.5 2016: R+68.0 2012: R+59.8 2008: R+49.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -27.12%
Current HPI
303.1316
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-10-10 Listed $120,000 LAAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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