8096 Ashbrook Dr · Southaven, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.6/30.0
- ARV discount +8.2/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This charming home features an open living room, kitchen, & dining room. There are 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, 1 car garage, and a large fenced backyard with a patio. Kitchen cabinets and flooring were replaced in February 2024 (No Carpet). Combination washer/dryer unit is staying with the home, the refrigerator also stays and it is approx 3 years, HVAC system is 4 yrs, & water heater 2 yrs.
Key facts
- Open living room
- Flooring replaced
- Kitchen cabinets
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car) on concrete
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
- Home design: Single family house; One story; Entry on main level
- Construction: Brick and wood siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built in (year per assessor)
- Exterior features: Front porch; Patio; Chain link fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $156 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (10.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $144k (10.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 5.2% in Southaven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#107 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Desoto County School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #20 of 130 in MS (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Southaven Elementary (math 20% / reading 23%, grade F, #239 of 375 statewide, top 64%, 684 students, 100% FRL); Southaven Middle School (math 33% / reading 25%, grade F, #90 of 179 statewide, top 52%, 1,456 students, 100% FRL); Southaven High School (math 26% / reading 35%, grade F, #88 of 197 statewide, top 45%, 1,850 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 43% district-wide (56 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 45% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Desoto County School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 193 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,155 units permitted in DeSoto County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- DeSoto County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.18%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $162,503
- List price
- $159,900
- Delta
- -1.60%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213 Hillbrook Dr | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+3%) | 12mo | $160,000 | $160 | 73 |
| 8182 Cedarbrook Dr | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,075 (+10%) | 2mo | $176,900 | $165 | 70 |
| 601 Cottonbrook Cv | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+13%) | 8mo | $145,000 | $132 | 50 |
| 7640 Iris Dr | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 1,100 (+13%) | 2mo | $199,900 | $182 | 42 |
| 7629 Iris Dr | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,121 (+15%) | 3mo | $209,900 | $187 | 38 |
| 8181 Martha Ann Ln | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+13%) | 22mo | $160,000 | $145 | 36 |
| 7708 Lilly Ln | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 | 1,117 (+15%) | 14mo | $215,000 | $192 | 35 |
| 7633 Iris Dr | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,100 (+13%) | 12mo | $200,000 | $182 | 35 |
| 7594 Lilly Dr | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 | 1,091 (+12%) | 12mo | $210,000 | $192 | 34 |
| 7643 Lilly Ln | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 1,100 (+13%) | 20mo | $183,000 | $166 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-15,739
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- 0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $59
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38671
- Home prices YoY
- -18.2%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 193
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,437 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $891/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$302
- Net cashflow
- $156
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8082 Whitebrook Dr Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 8254 Pinebrook Dr Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $1,385 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 8085 Creekwood Cir E Southaven, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 8375 Old Forge Rd Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,295 | $1.20 | 4d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 7187 Gazebo Dr Southaven, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1026 | $1,450 | $1.41 | 14d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 7560 Chesteridge Ave Southaven, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 887 | $1,312 | $1.48 | 1d | 7 | 0.98mi |
| 769 Barrington Woods Cv Unit 6 Southaven, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,345 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 818 Barrington Woods Cv Unit 769-6 Southaven, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,345 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1000 Sutton Pl Horn Lake, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,328 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1000 Sutton Pl Horn Lake, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,454 | $1.62 | 11d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1000 Sutton Pl Horn Lake, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,336 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1000 Sutton Pl Horn Lake, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,540 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1590 Custer Dr Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,295 | $1.44 | 20d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5572 Lochinvar Dr Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1065 | $1,090 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4896 Lochinvar Dr Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1112 | $1,081 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 8297 Baldwyn Cv Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1065 | $1,323 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1296 Vicksburg Dr Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1699 Whitehead Dr Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $159,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-01$159,900 Active 394-char remark
-
2026-02-10price $164,900
-
2025-12-05price $169,900
-
2025-11-21status Active
-
2025-10-21status Pending
-
2025-10-21historical
-
2025-10-06$174,900 Active
-
2021-10-11historical
-
2007-09-19soldstatus
-
2001-09-07$58,000
-
2000-09-01soldstatus
-
2000-08-05$53,900
-
1999-10-08soldstatus
-
1999-07-20$57,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $891 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,263 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$372/yr (+$31/mo · 41.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,248
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$891
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,380
- − Management
- −$1,380
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable loss
- −$811
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$195
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,067/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Desoto County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801320
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,272
- Composite
- 39.56/100
- National rank
- #3933
- State rank
- #20 of 130 in MS
Livability — Southaven
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #107
- US rank
- #12584
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Southaven, MS
- County
- DeSoto County · 176,513 people
- City population
- 53,755
- Metro
- Memphis, TN-MS-AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,319
- Household income
- $61,843
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1583.0
Population outlook (DeSoto County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 203,338 people
- By 2030
- 217,692 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 245,320 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 270,133 · +32.8%
- By 2075
- 323,341 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 348,742 · +71.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 42% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · DeSoto
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 36.7% · R 60.8% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.2pp toward D · 2008: -38.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+23.9 2016: R+34.8 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+38.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.08%
- Current HPI
- 220.7875
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.20%
- Metro
- Memphis, TN-MS-AR
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+180.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Listed $159,900 MLSU
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $164,900 MLSU
- 2025-12-05 Price Changed $169,900 MLSU
- 2025-11-21 Relisted — MLSU
- 2025-10-21 Pending — MLSU
- 2025-10-21 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-10-06 Listed $174,900 MLSU
- 2021-10-11 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2007-09-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2001-09-07 Listed $58,000 MLSU
- 2000-09-01 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2000-08-05 Listed $53,900 MLSU
- 1999-10-08 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 1999-07-20 Listed $57,000 MLSU
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $891 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…