627 S 8th St · Upper Sandusky, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Appreciation +6.4/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
South end home. Eat in kitchen ,Large main floor laundry has room to create an all new 2nd bathroom . Bring your creative updating ideas to make this a real gem .
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1921
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($952 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.4% in Upper Sandusky — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#248 in OH, #3,965 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Upper Sandusky Exempted Village (town): math 60% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #268 of 656 in OH (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: South Elementary School (math 62% / reading 47%, grade C, #788 of 1,584 statewide, top 52%, 130 students, 40% FRL); Upper Sandusky Middle School (math 63% / reading 66%, grade A-, #205 of 654 statewide, top 34%, 526 students, 37% FRL); Upper Sandusky High School (math 42% / reading 62%, grade D+, #343 of 781 statewide, top 47%, 540 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools at 33% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Wyandot County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
- Wyandot County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $31k; list at $80k implies a 158% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.15%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $144,426
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -44.68%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716 Marseilles Ave | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,178 (+4%) | 4mo | $77,000 | $65 | 80 |
| 804 & 806 Shields Dr | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 1,137 (+0%) | 6mo | $245,000 | $215 | 69 |
| 305 S 5th St | 0.43mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 1,030 (-9%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $73 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.86% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.05×
- Total profit
- $23,462
- Equity at exit
- $35,299
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.86×
- Total profit
- $64,049
- Equity at exit
- $53,916
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43351
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 40
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $952 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $880/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$200
- Net cashflow
- $227
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $272 | -5% $249 | +0% $227 | +5% $204 | +10% $181 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $151 | -5% $189 | +0% $227 | +5% $264 | +10% $302 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $267 | -0.5pp $247 | base $227 | +0.5pp $206 | +1.0pp $185 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $79,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $79,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $79,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-04-20price $87,000 164-char remark
Show marketing remark (164 chars)
South end home. Eat in kitchen ,Large main floor laundry has room to create an all new 2nd bathroom . Bring your creative updating ideas to make this a real gem .
-
2026-04-06$95,000 Active 164-char remark
Show marketing remark (164 chars)
South end home. Eat in kitchen ,Large main floor laundry has room to create an all new 2nd bathroom . Bring your creative updating ideas to make this a real gem .
-
1993-07-06soldstatus $31,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $880 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,063 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$183/yr (+$15/mo · 20.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,426
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$880
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$914
- − Management
- −$914
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $1,518
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$364
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,354/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Upper Sandusky Exempted Village
- NCES district ID
- 3910024
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,745
- Composite
- 52.22/100
- National rank
- #1603
- State rank
- #268 of 656 in OH
Livability — Upper Sandusky
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #248
- US rank
- #3965
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Upper Sandusky, OH
- County
- Wyandot · 23,050 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,568
- Household income
- $71,748
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3.6
Population outlook (Wyandot County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,485 people
- By 2030
- 20,883 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 19,425 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 17,815 · -17.1%
- By 2075
- 14,208 · -33.9%
- By 2100
- 10,744 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 5% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wyandot
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.2) · D 24.0% · R 75.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.5pp · 2024: -51.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.2 2020: R+50.3 2016: R+46.8 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+16.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.86%
- Current HPI
- 343.75
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+180.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $87,000 NORIS
- 2026-04-06 Listed $95,000 NORIS
- 1993-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2025): $880 · +16.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…