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400 Murchison Ln 🔨 Auction
F Composite 32.15
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1

400 Murchison Ln · Riverside, OH 45431
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 768 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1954 7,841 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Court Ordered Sale by Private Selling Officer. Auction ends on June 25, 2026. All information we have on the property is included. We have no additional information, property condition is unknown. NO SHOWINGS, NO trespassing for any reason. Information is thought to be correct but not guaranteed. 10% Buyer Premium added to the high bid, $5,000 deposit is due within 24 hours of bidding end.

Key facts

  • 7,841 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1954

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Auction listed
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas; Other water heating
  • Home design: Ranch single-family home; One level; Poured foundation
  • Construction: Aluminum siding construction
  • Exterior features: Aluminum siding; Aluminum windows; Shingle roof; Lot approximately 0.18 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen approx. 10 x 10
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms (both on main level); Primary bedroom approx. 10 x 10; Second bedroom approx. 10 x 10
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on main level with shower
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Full basement; Total of 4 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🔨 Auction listing. The $1 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $159,744 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $1.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-194 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#775 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, schools D.
  • Mad River Local (suburban): math 34% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #531 of 656 in OH (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 239616.0% of price; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $1

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
4.84%
Cash-on-cash
-5.19%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$159,744
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
372 Trunk Dr 0.08mi 2/1.0 768 (0%) 8mo $159,900 $208 90
383 Travis Dr 0.05mi 2/1.0 768 (0%) 15mo $105,000 $137 85
5833 Willaston Dr 0.08mi 2/1.0 768 (0%) 15mo $120,000 $156 84
313 Willaston Dr 0.26mi 2/2.0 768 (0%) 13mo $186,000 $242 73
5872 Hendon Ave 0.25mi 2/1.5 768 (0%) 17mo $175,000 $228 72
345 Murchison Ln 0.08mi 2/1.0 864 (+12%) 4mo $95,000 $110 72
5798 Hendon Ave 0.23mi 2/1.0 768 (0%) 21mo $89,900 $117 72
358 Lawver Ln 0.23mi 3/2.0 (+1) 864 (+12%) 22mo $205,000 $237 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.79% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.1%
Equity multiple
0.22×
Total profit
$-34,872
Equity at exit
$23,818
10-year hold
IRR
-10.4%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-31,722
Equity at exit
$13,812

Cash invested: $44,728 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45431

Home prices YoY
-35.0%
Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
124

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,152 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$838
Tax est. 1.5%
$200 /mo · $2,396/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$242
Net cashflow
$-194

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,397
Max offer price $131,733
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-83 -5% $-138 +0% $-194 +5% $-249 +10% $-304
Rent -10% $-285 -5% $-239 +0% $-194 +5% $-148 +10% $-103
Rate -1.0pp $-113 -0.5pp $-153 base $-194 +0.5pp $-235 +1.0pp $-277

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,936
Closing costs
$4,792
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1501 Rausch Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 865 $800 $0.92 24d 1 1.47mi
1517 Rausch Ave Apt 4 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 950 $950 $1.00 3d 1 1.48mi
1517 Rausch Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 950 $950 $1.00 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    remarks 392-char remark
  2. 2026-06-16
    listed $1 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,829
− Mortgage interest
−$8,948
− Property taxes
−$2,396
− Insurance
−$799
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,106
− Management
−$1,106
− Depreciation
−$4,647
Taxable loss
−$5,174
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,242
After-tax cash flow
$-1,081/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mad River Local
NCES district ID
3904870
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$41,560
Composite
35.28/100
National rank
#4972
State rank
#531 of 656 in OH

Livability — Riverside

Score
64/100
State rank
#775
US rank
#14045

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Riverside, OH
County
Greene County · 132,120 people
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
27,951
Household income
$83,175
Rent vs Own
49.6% rent · 50.4% own
Severe rent burden
622.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 5% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · South Korea, Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -148.58%
Current HPI
276.444
Rent YoY
▲ 5.79%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+46.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $1 Cincy MLS
  • 1987-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
  • 1982-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,945 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…