463 Bailey Ave · Beckley, WV 25801

$90,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 865 sqft · Manufactured · 3 Days on market

Built 2015 0.36 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +7.1/10.0
• Rent growth +3.6/5.0
• Schools +3.0/10.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Lovely starter home situated on 3 lots in central Beckley location. Very well kept 2 bed 1 bath home with extra room in back for additional building or yard space. This home can also be purchased as a lot with the two neighboring properties.

Key facts

• Three lots
• Space for gardening
• 0.36 acre lot

Tags

• THREE LOTS
• SPACE FOR GARDENING
• BACK YARD ENTERTAINING

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Open parking on gravel; no garage
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Residential single-wide mobile home; Has a view
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
• Exterior features: Garden; Level to rolling slope lot

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Cooktop; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
• Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
• Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Laminate flooring
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Has cooling
• Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Other
• Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $337 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
• Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 7.0% in Beckley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#235 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
• Raleigh County Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #14 of 55 in WV (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Beckley Elementary (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #350 of 377 statewide, top 95%, 320 students, 0% FRL); Beckley-Stratton Middle School (math 14% / reading 27%, grade F, #102 of 109 statewide, top 94%, 674 students, 0% FRL); Woodrow Wilson High School (math 24% / reading 56%, grade F, #20 of 110 statewide, top 17%, 1,330 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 112 active listings in the ZIP; 41 units permitted in Raleigh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Raleigh County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $64k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Recommended offer $90,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.21% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.78%
• Cash-on-cash: 16.04%
• DSCR: 1.71
• GRM: 6.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 8.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.33×
• Total profit: $8,219
• Equity at exit: $13,419

10-year hold

• IRR: 18.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.61×
• Total profit: $40,467
• Equity at exit: $7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State West Virginia: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 25801

• Home prices YoY: -17.8%
• Rents YoY: 4.2%
• Active inventory: 112
• Price-to-rent: 6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,092 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$472
• Tax from tax record: −$17 /mo · $201/yr
• Insurance: −$38
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$229
• Net cashflow: $337

Break-even live

Break-even rent $666

Max offer price $90,000

Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $388	-5% $362	+0% $337	+5% $311	+10% $286
Rent	-10% $251	-5% $294	+0% $337	+5% $380	+10% $423
Rate	-1.0pp $382	-0.5pp $360	base $337	+0.5pp $314	+1.0pp $290

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $22,500
• Closing costs: $2,700
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $90,000 Active 3 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $90,000 Active 2 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   remarks 277-char remark
4. 2026-06-17
   listed $90,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $201 · $17/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $531 · $44/mo
• Expected delta: +$330/yr (+$28/mo · 164.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,110
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,041
• − Property taxes: −$201
• − Insurance: −$450
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,049
• − Management: −$1,049
• − Depreciation: −$2,618
• Taxable income: $2,702
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$648
• After-tax cash flow: $3,394/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Raleigh County Schools
• NCES district ID: 5401230
• Math proficiency: 29% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 42% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $39,828
• Composite: 29.74/100
• National rank: #6445
• State rank: #14 of 55 in WV

Livability — Beckley

• Score: 59/100
• State rank: #235
• US rank: #20551

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Raleigh County · 31,128 people
• City population: 31,128
• Metro: Beckley, WV
• Population (ZIP): 31,128
• Household income: $56,836
• Rent vs Own: 33.1% rent · 66.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 1384.0

Population outlook (Raleigh County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 73,505 people
• By 2030: 70,954 · -3.5%
• By 2040: 66,038 · -10.2%
• By 2050: 61,919 · -15.8%
• By 2075: 51,954 · -29.3%
• By 2100: 39,724 · -46.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (81%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 81% Black 10% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Raleigh

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.0% · R 76.3% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -28.5pp toward R · 2008: -25.9pp · 2024: -54.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+54.3 2020: R+50.4 2016: R+52.8 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+25.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -45.60%
• Current HPI: 210.0114
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.25%
• Metro: Beckley, WV
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

+63.6% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-16 Listed $90,000 BBOR
• 2023-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $64,500 Public Records
• 2023-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $33,334 Public Records
• 2023-05-04 Sold (MLS) $33,334 BBOR
• 2022-05-27 Listed $55,000 BBOR

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $201 · -38.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.