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1518 Melrose Ave
D- Composite 35.16
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.7/30.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,900

1518 Melrose Ave · Waukegan, IL 60085
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,437 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1910 Est $233k · 29% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* * * Multiple offers received. Seller is asking for Highest & Best offers by 6pm on Sunday, June 14. Appraisal Gap Coverage would be helpful * * * Recently rehabbed 4 bedroom & 2 bathroom with 1-car detached garage. 3 bedrooms & 1 bathroom on main floor. Living room, dining room, & all 3 bedrooms with hardwood floors. Full finished basement with a family room, rec room, 4th bedroom, & 2nd full bathroom. Enclosed front porch. Large fenced back yard. Come visit your new home today!!

Key facts

  • Hardwood floors
  • Enclosed front porch
  • Garage

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSFULL FINISHED BASEMENTENCLOSED FRONT PORCHLARGE FENCED BACK YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership is fee simple; Not currently leased
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (garage owned) with brick driveway; Total of 1 parking space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story layout; Rehab projects completed in 2026; Property over 100 years old
  • Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Finished below-grade living area
  • Exterior features: Curbs, sidewalks, street lights and paved streets; Lot less than 0.25 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; One additional bedroom in the basement (can be used as a 4th bedroom)
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring throughout main living areas and bedrooms; Vinyl flooring in basement recreation and family rooms and basement bedroom
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Basement contains a bathroom; Separate shower
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom and first-floor full bath; Finished full basement; Nine total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry with gas dryer hookup and utility sink

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $131 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $279k (7.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $279k (7.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.6% in Waukegan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#216 in IL, #4,074 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D, schools F.
  • Waukegan CUSD 60 (suburban): math 7% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #587 of 620 in IL (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 86 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,790/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 2742% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $117k; list at $300k implies a 156% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $278,963 (7.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.82%
Cash-on-cash
1.88%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$232,794
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
108 S Fulton Ave 0.16mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,365 (-5%) 15mo $269,000 $197 64
201 Dorchester Ct 0.45mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,419 (-1%) 22mo $222,000 $156 54
1508 W Monroe St 0.51mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,444 (+0%) 24mo $210,000 $145 51
419 S Lewis Ave 0.32mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,287 (-10%) 16mo $208,000 $162 46
2209 Melrose Ave 0.53mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,632 (+14%) 3mo $265,000 $162 45
616 Bluff St 0.56mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,628 (+13%) 20mo $265,900 $163 30
524 Archer Ave 0.59mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,628 (+13%) 21mo $155,000 $95 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.0%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-39,519
Equity at exit
$44,716
10-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-20,692
Equity at exit
$25,930

Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60085

Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,790 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax est. 1.5%
$375 /mo · $4,498/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$586
Net cashflow
$131

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,623
Max offer price $299,900
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,975
Closing costs
$8,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
708 Keller Ave Waukegan, IL 4.0 2.0 1800 $4,500 $2.50 1d 1 1.03mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,900 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,900 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,900 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 503-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $299,900 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,476
− Mortgage interest
−$16,799
− Property taxes
−$4,498
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,678
− Management
−$2,678
− Depreciation
−$8,724
Taxable loss
−$3,402
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$816
After-tax cash flow
$2,392/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waukegan CUSD 60
NCES district ID
1741250
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
10% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$43,248
Composite
7.73/100
National rank
#9939
State rank
#587 of 620 in IL

Livability — Waukegan

Score
75/100
State rank
#216
US rank
#4074

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waukegan, IL
County
Lake County · 591,991 people
City population
99,634
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
72,341
Household income
$66,793
Rent vs Own
51.8% rent · 48.2% own
Severe rent burden
2742.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
700,217 people
By 2030
693,290 · -1.0%
By 2040
673,588 · -3.8%
By 2050
643,556 · -8.1%
By 2075
562,792 · -19.6%
By 2100
457,715 · -34.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 62% Two or more races 24% Black 14% White 14% Asian 6% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 51% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% British 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
34% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
39% English-only · Spanish 54% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.8) · D 59.7% · R 38.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+1.1pp toward D · 2008: 19.6pp · 2024: 20.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.8 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+20.3 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+19.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -114.04%
Current HPI
203.6304
Rent YoY
▲ 3.24%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+566.4% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $299,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-07-20 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-06-04 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-03-31 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $117,000 Public Records
  • 1990-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $63,900 Public Records
  • 1985-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-17.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $161 · -97.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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