7327 Charles Loring Jr Rd · Panama City, FL 32404

$239,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,281 sqft · SingleFamily · 89 Days on market

Built 2026 Excellent condition 5,663 sqft lot $187/sqft · 6% below area Est $256k · 6% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +10.4/15.0
• Cash flow +9.4/30.0
• Condition / age +4.8/5.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• 1% rule +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.8/5.0
• DSCR +2.7/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to the Poppy, a new plan located at Liberty in Panama City, Florida. The Poppy is a spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home spanning 1,281 square feet and features a single car garage. As you walk inside, you will be welcomed by the Engineered Vinyl Plank flooring which spans the main areas and bathrooms with soft carpet in the bedrooms. Upon entering, the front entrance is met with a long hallway next to the bedrooms and full bathroom next to the garage. Walking down the hallway, you'll find the natural light pouring into the open kitchen and living area, offering ample space for all your needs. The Primary bedroom is conveniently located off the living area, providing a private retreat at the back of the home, complete with a bathroom and walk-in closet. The kitchen comes with an island for extra counter space, and you'll find stylish granite countertops in the kitchen and bathrooms seated on beautiful white cabinetry. Your new home also comes with our Smart Home Technology package, designed to elevate your living experience with elegance and modernity. This package offers unparalleled convenience, giving you effortless control over key features such as lighting automation, an IQ panel, a video doorbell, keyless front door entry, and temperature control from your smartphone. On the outside of this popular plan, you will see durable vinyl siding, a rear patio to enjoy the spacious back yard. Sidewalks line the neighborhood streets for you to enjoy the beautiful Florida weather. Our Liberty community features underground utilities making it less susceptible to damage from severe weather leading to fewer outages and more reliable service. Residents of Liberty can enjoy exclusive access to two amenity centers, complete with two pools, a children's splash pad, two playgrounds for endless fun, a well-equipped fitness center, two pickleball courts and a basketball court to name a few things. To learn more about this home for yourself, call us to get connected today!

Key facts

• Durable vinyl siding
• Amenity centers
• Granite countertops

Tags

• GRANITE COUNTERTOPS
• SMART HOME TECHNOLOGY PACKAGE
• DURABLE VINYL SIDING
• REAR PATIO
• UNDERGROUND UTILITIES
• AMENITY CENTERS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-169 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $215k (10.2% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (21.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $188k (21.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#350 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 969 active listings in the ZIP; 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $188,440 (21.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.79% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.45%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.02%
• DSCR: 0.87
• GRM: 10.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $256,400
• List price: $239,900
• Delta: -6.44%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 8 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
7326 Charles Loring Jr Rd	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,281 (0%)	3mo	$252,900	$197	98
7306 Charles Loring Jr Rd	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,443 (+13%)	4mo	$259,900	$180	76

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -23.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.21×
• Total profit: $-53,122
• Equity at exit: $35,770

10-year hold

• IRR: -24.2%
• Equity multiple: -0.10×
• Total profit: $-73,847
• Equity at exit: $20,742

Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32404

• Home prices YoY: -16.1%
• Rents YoY: 1.1%
• Active inventory: 969
• Price-to-rent: 10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,884 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,258
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$300 /mo · $3,598/yr
• Insurance: −$100
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$396
• Net cashflow: $-169

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,099

Max offer price $215,414

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $59,975
• Closing costs: $7,197
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 10 events

1. 2026-06-07
   statusdays on market $239,900 Pending 89 DOM
2. 2026-06-05
   days on market $239,900 Active 87 DOM
3. 2026-06-03
   days on market $239,900 Active 86 DOM
4. 2026-06-02
   days on market $239,900 Active 85 DOM
5. 2026-06-01
   pricedays on market $239,900 Active 84 DOM
6. 2026-05-31
   days on market $252,900 Active 83 DOM
7. 2026-05-30
   days on market $252,900 Active 82 DOM
8. 2026-03-30
   status Active 1999-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1999 chars)

   Welcome to the Poppy, a new plan located at Liberty in Panama City, Florida. The Poppy is a spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home spanning 1,281 square feet and features a single car garage. As you walk inside, you will be welcomed by the Engineered Vinyl Plank flooring which spans the main areas and bathrooms with soft carpet in the bedrooms. Upon entering, the front entrance is met with a long hallway next to the bedrooms and full bathroom next to the garage. Walking down the hallway, you'll find the natural light pouring into the open kitchen and living area, offering ample space for all your needs. The Primary bedroom is conveniently located off the living area, providing a private retreat at the back of the home, complete with a bathroom and walk-in closet. The kitchen comes with an island for extra counter space, and you'll find stylish granite countertops in the kitchen and bathrooms seated on beautiful white cabinetry. Your new home also comes with our Smart Home Technology package, designed to elevate your living experience with elegance and modernity. This package offers unparalleled convenience, giving you effortless control over key features such as lighting automation, an IQ panel, a video doorbell, keyless front door entry, and temperature control from your smartphone. On the outside of this popular plan, you will see durable vinyl siding, a rear patio to enjoy the spacious back yard. Sidewalks line the neighborhood streets for you to enjoy the beautiful Florida weather. Our Liberty community features underground utilities making it less susceptible to damage from severe weather leading to fewer outages and more reliable service. Residents of Liberty can enjoy exclusive access to two amenity centers, complete with two pools, a children's splash pad, two playgrounds for endless fun, a well-equipped fitness center, two pickleball courts and a basketball court to name a few things. To learn more about this home for yourself, call us to get connected today!

9. 2026-02-02
   status Pending 1999-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1999 chars)

   Welcome to the Poppy, a new plan located at Liberty in Panama City, Florida. The Poppy is a spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home spanning 1,281 square feet and features a single car garage. As you walk inside, you will be welcomed by the Engineered Vinyl Plank flooring which spans the main areas and bathrooms with soft carpet in the bedrooms. Upon entering, the front entrance is met with a long hallway next to the bedrooms and full bathroom next to the garage. Walking down the hallway, you'll find the natural light pouring into the open kitchen and living area, offering ample space for all your needs. The Primary bedroom is conveniently located off the living area, providing a private retreat at the back of the home, complete with a bathroom and walk-in closet. The kitchen comes with an island for extra counter space, and you'll find stylish granite countertops in the kitchen and bathrooms seated on beautiful white cabinetry. Your new home also comes with our Smart Home Technology package, designed to elevate your living experience with elegance and modernity. This package offers unparalleled convenience, giving you effortless control over key features such as lighting automation, an IQ panel, a video doorbell, keyless front door entry, and temperature control from your smartphone. On the outside of this popular plan, you will see durable vinyl siding, a rear patio to enjoy the spacious back yard. Sidewalks line the neighborhood streets for you to enjoy the beautiful Florida weather. Our Liberty community features underground utilities making it less susceptible to damage from severe weather leading to fewer outages and more reliable service. Residents of Liberty can enjoy exclusive access to two amenity centers, complete with two pools, a children's splash pad, two playgrounds for endless fun, a well-equipped fitness center, two pickleball courts and a basketball court to name a few things. To learn more about this home for yourself, call us to get connected today!

10. 2026-01-12
    listed $252,900 Active 1999-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1999 chars)

    Welcome to the Poppy, a new plan located at Liberty in Panama City, Florida. The Poppy is a spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home spanning 1,281 square feet and features a single car garage. As you walk inside, you will be welcomed by the Engineered Vinyl Plank flooring which spans the main areas and bathrooms with soft carpet in the bedrooms. Upon entering, the front entrance is met with a long hallway next to the bedrooms and full bathroom next to the garage. Walking down the hallway, you'll find the natural light pouring into the open kitchen and living area, offering ample space for all your needs. The Primary bedroom is conveniently located off the living area, providing a private retreat at the back of the home, complete with a bathroom and walk-in closet. The kitchen comes with an island for extra counter space, and you'll find stylish granite countertops in the kitchen and bathrooms seated on beautiful white cabinetry. Your new home also comes with our Smart Home Technology package, designed to elevate your living experience with elegance and modernity. This package offers unparalleled convenience, giving you effortless control over key features such as lighting automation, an IQ panel, a video doorbell, keyless front door entry, and temperature control from your smartphone. On the outside of this popular plan, you will see durable vinyl siding, a rear patio to enjoy the spacious back yard. Sidewalks line the neighborhood streets for you to enjoy the beautiful Florida weather. Our Liberty community features underground utilities making it less susceptible to damage from severe weather leading to fewer outages and more reliable service. Residents of Liberty can enjoy exclusive access to two amenity centers, complete with two pools, a children's splash pad, two playgrounds for endless fun, a well-equipped fitness center, two pickleball courts and a basketball court to name a few things. To learn more about this home for yourself, call us to get connected today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 17% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,613
• − Mortgage interest: −$13,438
• − Property taxes: −$3,598
• − Insurance: −$1,200
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,809
• − Management: −$1,809
• − Depreciation: −$6,979
• Taxable loss: −$6,220
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,493
• After-tax cash flow: $-538/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It is move-in ready and located in a desirable community with amenities like a pool and playground.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and value
• Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and rental value
• Both Interior paint touch-ups — Fresh paint in interior enhances curb appeal and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and value ↑
• Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
• Both Interior paint touch-ups — Fresh paint in interior enhances curb appeal and rental value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Bay
• NCES district ID: 1200090
• Math proficiency: 51% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 51% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $47,740
• Composite: 43.41/100
• National rank: #3014
• State rank: #29 of 73 in FL

Livability — Panama City

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #350
• US rank: #5823

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Bay County · 163,593 people
• Metro: Panama City, FL
• Population (ZIP): 42,514
• Household income: $74,708
• Rent vs Own: 30.8% rent · 69.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 1218.0

Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 206,264 people
• By 2030: 217,740 · +5.6%
• By 2040: 238,738 · +15.7%
• By 2050: 255,545 · +23.9%
• By 2075: 288,295 · +39.8%
• By 2100: 288,638 · +39.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (69%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 69% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada, Vietnam, Mexico
• Languages at home: 90% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bay

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -50.59%
• Current HPI: 263.7178
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.12%
• Metro: Panama City, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-30 Relisted — CPARMLS
• 2026-02-02 Pending — CPARMLS
• 2026-01-12 Listed $252,900 CPARMLS